All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion County |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Date | | |
8/18 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
Team Rating |
274 | |
711 |
315 |
247 |
270 |
921 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
277 |
315 |
247 |
270 |
274 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion County |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
33 |
Savana Miller |
12 |
19:00 |
18:29 |
|
18:29 |
19:12 |
19:15 |
|
71 |
Natalie Vandesteene |
9 |
19:29 |
|
|
19:34 |
19:21 |
19:27 |
|
145 |
Kaitlyn Pettet |
11 |
20:07 |
19:41 |
|
20:22 |
20:03 |
20:05 |
|
169 |
Dakota Miller |
12 |
20:15 |
19:33 |
|
20:40 |
20:10 |
20:12 |
|
181 |
Makenna Bowling |
9 |
20:22 |
|
20:27 |
20:47 |
19:50 |
20:15 |
|
257 |
Evelyn Medina |
12 |
20:40 |
20:22 |
|
21:41 |
20:44 |
20:11 |
|
435 |
McKenna VanVleet |
9 |
21:24 |
|
21:38 |
21:27 |
21:20 |
21:10 |
|
608 |
Rebecca George |
12 |
21:53 |
21:36 |
22:04 |
|
|
|
|
620 |
Camryn Simons |
11 |
21:54 |
19:52 |
|
|
21:56 |
22:05 |
|
665 |
Ella Matlock |
10 |
22:01 |
|
21:51 |
22:18 |
22:14 |
|
21:26 |
686 |
Corinne McDermott |
9 |
22:03 |
|
21:38 |
21:53 |
22:56 |
|
|
816 |
Addison Weatherford |
9 |
22:26 |
|
22:35 |
22:06 |
22:23 |
|
22:38 |
886 |
Luci Ball |
12 |
22:37 |
24:01 |
22:44 |
22:48 |
22:20 |
|
22:10 |
914 |
Reese Coffey |
10 |
22:41 |
23:52 |
22:37 |
23:30 |
22:10 |
|
22:13 |
1,010 |
Emma Litvan |
10 |
22:55 |
22:50 |
|
|
23:04 |
|
22:40 |
|
Macie Oden |
9 |
23:38 |
|
23:40 |
23:32 |
23:39 |
|
23:34 |
|
Jenna Li |
10 |
24:37 |
23:58 |
25:01 |
27:41 |
24:57 |
|
24:10 |
|
Zoe Aikman |
10 |
24:44 |
23:01 |
|
25:48 |
24:18 |
|
24:57 |
|
Kyla Smith |
11 |
26:21 |
23:19 |
26:29 |
25:42 |
27:00 |
|
26:52 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
96.1% |
13.3 |
354 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
5.3 |
7.6 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
8.8 |
8.0 |
6.1 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
Regionals |
100% |
3.2 |
134 |
7.4 |
23.6 |
30.5 |
22.4 |
12.3 |
2.8 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Savana Miller |
100% |
34.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Natalie Vandesteene |
98.5% |
72.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
62.4% |
92.0% |
Kaitlyn Pettet |
96.2% |
140.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
17.7% |
Dakota Miller |
96.1% |
155.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.5% |
Makenna Bowling |
96.1% |
166.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.4% |
Evelyn Medina |
96.1% |
195.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
McKenna VanVleet |
96.1% |
229.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Savana Miller |
100% |
9.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
2.1 |
4.0 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
10.6 |
11.1 |
12.1 |
11.5 |
9.2 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Natalie Vandesteene |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
Kaitlyn Pettet |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
Dakota Miller |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
Makenna Bowling |
100% |
42.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
Evelyn Medina |
100% |
58.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
McKenna VanVleet |
100% |
99.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Savana Miller |
1.0 |
81.0 |
17.6 |
1.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natalie Vandesteene |
2.3 |
1.5 |
33.6 |
54.4 |
9.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kaitlyn Pettet |
4.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
22.0 |
31.1 |
21.6 |
12.1 |
6.3 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dakota Miller |
6.0 |
|
|
0.2 |
8.7 |
18.0 |
23.7 |
20.4 |
12.5 |
7.1 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Makenna Bowling |
7.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
3.4 |
8.0 |
16.3 |
22.2 |
18.7 |
11.3 |
7.1 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
Evelyn Medina |
10.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
4.5 |
10.4 |
15.4 |
12.7 |
11.0 |
9.1 |
7.6 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
McKenna VanVleet |
22.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
|