IN CC Stats

Homestead
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank	#2
New Haven Regional Rank	#1
Woodlan Sectional Rank	#1
Most Likely Finish	2nd place at State Finals

State Champion	8.2%
Top 5 at State Finals	85.1%
Top 10 at State Finals	99.7%
Advance to State Finals	100.0%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.


			Season Rating	Preseason Rating	John Cleland Invitational (4k)	Taylor University Invitational	Marion Invitational	Bruin Invitational
Date					8/24	8/31	9/7	9/14
Team Rating			152		149	139	129	146
Team Adjusted Rating					141	139	129	146
State Rank	Runner		Season Rating	Preseason Rating	John Cleland Invitational (4k)	Taylor University Invitational	Marion Invitational	Bruin Invitational
14	Caterina Perego	11	18:34	19:14	18:33	18:25	18:34	18:53
26	Lucy Kramer	10	18:49	18:55	18:53	18:50	18:44	18:38
66	Avalyn Goldstone	9	19:26			19:26	19:26	19:19
74	Lindsey Arnold	10	19:32	19:46	19:34	19:26	19:14	19:34
76	Daisy Niezer	11	19:32	20:36	19:38	19:25	19:20	19:26
90	Kaitlynn Hansen	10	19:39	19:58	19:12	19:25	19:43	19:59
121	Ella Antibus	10	19:53	19:14	19:57	19:41	19:57	20:03
128	Brier Saddington	11	19:59	19:50	20:07	19:47	20:09	19:59
154	Kylie Kottkamp	9	20:12		20:07	20:08	20:12	20:16
170	Alexis Goebel	12	20:16	20:22	20:26	20:12	19:55	20:12
193	Harper Stiltner	9	20:25		20:30	20:20	20:15	20:29
274	Ember Gaff	9	20:45		20:34	21:20	20:44	20:18
352	Leah Smits	10	21:03	21:59	21:04	20:42	21:35	20:21
454	Lilia Chadwick	10	21:26	21:24	21:14	21:09	21:35	21:32
463	Kendall Burch	10	21:27	21:22	21:22			21:33
829	Alice Ford	9	22:28		22:01	22:49	22:40	22:05
936	Kaelyn Godfrey	10	22:43		22:26	22:48	22:27	23:16
1,145	Zuri Christensen	11	23:13	23:29	23:14	22:54	23:13	23:10
1,152	Yevva Ireland	11	23:14	23:09	22:59		23:29	23:00
1,174	Savannah Weaver	9	23:18		23:07	23:12	23:24	23:23
1,234	Elsie Loshe	10	23:26	22:59	23:31	23:34	23:41	22:48

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
State Finals	100%	3.5	168	8.2	29.2	21.9	15.6	10.3	7.2	4.1	2.0	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
Regionals	100%	1.4	52	55.9	44.1
Sectionals	100%	1.4	30	55.7	44.3

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Caterina Perego	100%	14.8		0.0	0.2	0.5	2.3	3.3	4.0	4.6	4.7	4.9	5.5	5.3	5.2	5.7	4.8	4.7	4.3	4.0	4.0	3.5	3.3	3.2	2.6	2.4	2.0		100.0%
Lucy Kramer	100%	24.9				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	1.1	1.6	1.6	2.1	2.4	2.4	2.7	3.1	3.4	3.3	3.6	3.6	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.8	3.3		100.0%
Avalyn Goldstone	100%	67.8										0.0			0.0		0.0		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3		99.9%
Lindsey Arnold	100%	78.1																	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.0	0.1		99.7%
Daisy Niezer	100%	79.2														0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.1			99.7%
Kaitlynn Hansen	100%	91.0																		0.0						0.0			99.0%
Ella Antibus	100%	116.8																											93.0%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Caterina Perego	100%	3.2	8.3	14.9	20.2	26.2	16.5	7.4	3.4	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0														100.0%
Lucy Kramer	100%	5.2	0.6	2.6	6.9	12.7	22.7	21.0	13.3	8.2	5.1	3.0	1.8	1.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0							100.0%
Avalyn Goldstone	100%	13.7			0.0	0.1	0.2	1.2	2.6	4.3	6.3	6.5	7.2	8.0	7.7	8.3	7.7	6.8	6.5	5.1	4.9	4.0	2.8	2.6	2.0	1.5	1.1		100.0%
Lindsey Arnold	100%	16.1					0.0	0.4	1.2	2.1	2.9	4.0	4.8	6.1	6.8	6.7	7.0	7.4	7.0	7.2	6.6	5.5	4.8	4.5	3.6	3.2	2.3		100.0%
Daisy Niezer	100%	16.4					0.1	0.1	0.8	2.0	3.1	3.7	5.0	5.0	6.3	6.5	7.0	7.2	7.2	7.0	6.3	6.2	5.0	4.8	4.1	3.6	2.4		100.0%
Kaitlynn Hansen	100%	19.3				0.0		0.1	0.2	0.7	0.9	1.9	2.4	3.1	3.9	4.2	5.1	5.8	6.5	6.2	7.3	6.2	7.5	6.5	6.5	5.3	4.6		100.0%
Ella Antibus	100%	25.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	1.5	1.7	2.5	2.7	3.4	4.6	5.2	5.4	6.1	7.0	7.7		100.0%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Caterina Perego	1.3	33.0	50.9	12.6	2.5	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
Lucy Kramer	2.5	3.8	19.0	52.5	15.8	6.0	1.8	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
Avalyn Goldstone	7.2		0.0	0.4	9.0	11.2	13.6	13.3	11.6	10.8	9.9	7.8	5.2	3.7	2.0	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
Lindsey Arnold	8.8			0.2	3.4	7.3	7.8	10.6	11.1	12.0	12.1	10.8	8.8	6.9	4.9	2.6	1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0
Daisy Niezer	9.1			0.2	3.1	5.3	8.4	10.2	11.4	10.7	11.5	11.1	10.3	7.3	5.3	2.9	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
Kaitlynn Hansen	10.7			0.1	1.3	2.5	3.8	5.9	7.6	9.7	10.1	12.4	12.0	12.3	10.9	5.7	3.5	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0
Ella Antibus	14.0					0.2	0.4	0.7	1.5	2.5	3.8	5.5	8.1	11.4	16.3	20.1	12.8	9.8	4.5	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.1	0.0