All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
205 | |
177 |
181 |
551 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
177 |
181 |
192 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| 27 |
Ansley Applegate |
11 |
18:52 |
18:59 |
18:42 |
18:52 |
|
| 30 |
Riley Flynn |
12 |
18:54 |
18:59 |
18:56 |
18:37 |
|
| 61 |
Brinkley Cooper |
12 |
19:22 |
20:14 |
19:15 |
19:12 |
|
| 109 |
Jayde Stamm |
10 |
19:46 |
21:28 |
19:19 |
19:48 |
|
| 202 |
Lexi Miller |
12 |
20:29 |
21:15 |
20:28 |
20:09 |
|
| 248 |
Ella Wirkner |
12 |
20:39 |
21:56 |
20:31 |
20:16 |
20:45 |
| 249 |
Kate Mumaw |
10 |
20:39 |
20:11 |
20:48 |
21:02 |
20:10 |
| 268 |
Gretchen Graham |
11 |
20:44 |
20:21 |
20:42 |
20:44 |
20:51 |
| 486 |
Addie Scott |
10 |
21:31 |
|
21:00 |
21:42 |
21:43 |
| 535 |
Norah Mathes |
9 |
21:39 |
|
21:51 |
21:36 |
21:23 |
| 639 |
Izzy Salinas |
9 |
21:56 |
|
|
21:48 |
22:03 |
| 705 |
Emmerson Dougherty |
12 |
22:06 |
21:54 |
21:58 |
22:17 |
|
| 805 |
Katie Horbett |
12 |
22:24 |
23:14 |
22:05 |
22:27 |
22:17 |
| 813 |
Anna Miller |
10 |
22:26 |
21:47 |
|
24:04 |
22:39 |
| 880 |
Olivia Ozimek |
9 |
22:37 |
|
22:55 |
22:23 |
22:31 |
| 882 |
Kenley Johnson |
10 |
22:37 |
21:25 |
23:31 |
22:34 |
22:24 |
| 913 |
Addi Struck |
10 |
22:41 |
22:34 |
22:56 |
22:36 |
22:34 |
| 1,210 |
Addison Emmerson |
12 |
23:23 |
21:46 |
23:24 |
23:38 |
|
|
Grace Crawford |
10 |
23:34 |
|
|
23:32 |
|
|
Selby Jackson |
11 |
24:10 |
23:49 |
24:19 |
24:29 |
23:50 |
|
Hailee Ballard |
12 |
24:44 |
23:38 |
24:49 |
24:59 |
24:39 |
|
Mallory Stewart |
12 |
25:24 |
24:34 |
25:40 |
25:26 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100.0% |
7.5 |
251 |
0.1 |
1.6 |
4.0 |
6.5 |
11.0 |
14.1 |
16.0 |
14.5 |
12.2 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.4 |
96 |
71.3 |
18.9 |
7.3 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
58 |
77.1 |
18.8 |
3.3 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ansley Applegate |
100% |
26.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Riley Flynn |
100% |
28.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Brinkley Cooper |
100.0% |
60.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
50.0% |
96.1% |
| Jayde Stamm |
100.0% |
104.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
63.0% |
| Lexi Miller |
100.0% |
178.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.7% |
| Ella Wirkner |
100.0% |
193.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Kate Mumaw |
100.0% |
193.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ansley Applegate |
100% |
7.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.8 |
9.8 |
12.9 |
12.7 |
13.6 |
12.6 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
5.6 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Riley Flynn |
100% |
8.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
4.2 |
7.2 |
10.8 |
12.0 |
13.4 |
12.3 |
11.8 |
9.1 |
6.4 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Brinkley Cooper |
100% |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
5.5 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
9.5 |
9.4 |
7.9 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jayde Stamm |
100% |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Lexi Miller |
100% |
47.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Wirkner |
100% |
56.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Kate Mumaw |
100% |
57.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ansley Applegate |
4.4 |
|
0.0 |
14.8 |
24.2 |
27.7 |
21.5 |
6.1 |
3.2 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Riley Flynn |
4.7 |
|
0.0 |
11.0 |
18.4 |
28.4 |
26.1 |
8.8 |
3.9 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brinkley Cooper |
8.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
5.4 |
21.9 |
17.0 |
14.6 |
12.1 |
9.1 |
6.8 |
5.2 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Jayde Stamm |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
2.6 |
4.2 |
6.3 |
7.6 |
9.9 |
10.3 |
12.1 |
12.3 |
11.8 |
7.7 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
| Lexi Miller |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
| Ella Wirkner |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
| Kate Mumaw |
29.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
|
