Northrop
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #39
New Haven Regional Rank #7
Woodlan Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 500 587 559 551 520 579 571 591 557 572
Team Adjusted Rating 587 559 551 520 491 477 536 466 513
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference New Haven Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
46  Maren Wilson 11 19:10 19:15 19:38 19:21 19:22 19:19 19:05 19:20 19:07 19:09 19:09 19:02
238  Ella Schmidt 12 20:37 20:47 20:38 20:28 20:32 20:34 20:33 20:30 21:26 20:15 20:38
306  Maleah Williams 12 20:52 20:53 20:45 20:19 20:45 21:28
478  Mandy Williams 11 21:31 22:00 22:01 23:05 22:26 21:30 21:17 21:19 21:05 21:34 21:29
480  Andrea Madrigal 12 21:32 22:16 21:44 21:39 21:15 21:43 21:20 21:44 21:10 21:51
633  Ariana Sheckler 12 21:56 22:12 22:33 22:47 22:19 22:30 22:20 22:26 21:47 23:12 21:44
799  Lexie Gutierrez 9 22:18 25:13 24:37 24:04 23:23 22:34 22:56 22:31 22:22 22:06
1,268  Gabriana Schoenle 11 23:24 23:49 23:08 23:12 23:26 23:38 23:20 23:40 22:46 23:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.7 264 0.0 1.6 4.9 11.5 27.5 32.0 12.8 5.6 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.5 115 54.3 45.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maren Wilson 100% 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Ella Schmidt 1.9% 167.3 1.9% 1.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maren Wilson 100% 11.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 4.2 6.0 6.7 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.1 7.2 6.1 6.0 5.0 5.2 3.5 3.8 3.0 2.4 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 100.0%
Ella Schmidt 100% 46.1 0.0 100.0%
Mandy Williams 100% 79.9 100.0%
Andrea Madrigal 100% 80.2 100.0%
Ariana Sheckler 100% 101.0 100.0%
Lexie Gutierrez 100% 123.1 100.0%
Gabriana Schoenle 100% 184.6 59.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maren Wilson 5.8 1.0 11.9 12.2 14.1 12.9 10.3 9.1 7.5 6.9 5.6 3.7 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1
Ella Schmidt 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 3.1 8.0 15.8 22.6 21.0 15.5 8.5 3.2 0.7
Mandy Williams 26.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.9 12.3
Andrea Madrigal 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 6.5 13.0
Ariana Sheckler 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.5
Lexie Gutierrez 36.8
Gabriana Schoenle 45.5