Penn
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 7.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 53.6%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Indiana Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/7 9/14 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 226 281 277 263 1,199 221 1,172 232 252 855 237 221 216
Team Adjusted Rating 281 240 263 226 221 226 232 252 226 237 221 216
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Indiana Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
16  Shreya Nayee 9 18:33 19:31 19:10 19:25 19:18 19:11 19:10 18:46 18:30 18:25
67  Lila Van Hoveln 10 19:23 20:44 19:35 19:23 19:26 19:19 19:30 19:21 19:23 19:14 19:18
102  Ari Balinnang 11 19:42 19:46 20:28 19:24 19:28 19:28 19:38 19:55 19:44 19:38
124  Gabby Smith 11 19:54 20:21 19:45 19:49 20:22 19:25 20:12 20:17 20:01 20:03 19:46
183  Aubrey Morgan 12 20:21 20:36 20:41 20:35 20:24 20:30 19:53 20:16 20:10 20:11 20:25
231  Sami Pentelow 9 20:36 20:10 20:22 20:56 20:47 20:35 20:20 21:32 20:31 20:28
241  Janine Mbianda 12 20:37 20:59 20:59 20:43 20:48 20:45 21:34 20:54 21:09 20:29
443  Luna Liu 12 21:24 21:59 21:28 21:18
515  Katelyn Van Luchene 12 21:37 22:16 21:54 21:50 21:33 21:50 21:30 21:05 21:36
637  Ella Neuenschwander 10 21:56 21:56 21:48 22:06 21:53 21:52 21:41 21:38 22:09
977  Morgan Pfeiffer 12 22:43 23:19 22:38 22:30 22:47 23:01 22:23 22:14 23:02
991  Marisa Manbeck 12 22:45 22:49 22:25 22:52 22:49 23:03 22:58 22:30
1,165  Amelia Little 12 23:10 22:33 22:56 22:48 23:01 22:52 23:47 22:51 23:22
1,247  Heila Liu 10 23:21 23:09 23:20 23:44 23:19 23:13 23:23 23:12
1,278  Lauren Westbrook 10 23:25 23:55 23:31 23:21 23:10 23:23 23:20 23:07 23:34
1,302  Sarah Hungeman 9 23:29 23:37 22:46 23:14 23:10 23:06 23:14 24:11
Siena Mammolenti 9 23:32 24:21 23:53 23:52 24:02 23:01 23:09
Kelsey Meyer 11 23:36 24:44 24:01 23:25 23:28 23:20
Hannah Luck 10 23:38 23:34 23:38 23:55 23:30 22:41 25:30 23:42
Becca Kollar 9 23:42 22:40 23:44 23:04 23:08 24:22 23:43 23:55
Melia Lotaki-Reynolds 10 23:42 23:56 23:59 23:47 23:43 23:13 23:30 23:39
Belle Rebolloso 11 23:44 22:19 23:22 23:31 24:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 10.2 293 0.1 0.8 2.0 4.7 6.6 7.6 9.6 10.7 11.4 11.5 10.4 8.8 7.0 4.1 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 97 7.7 76.6 14.1 1.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 100% 16.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.6 3.8 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.5 5.3 5.6 4.7 5.0 4.5 4.3 3.5 4.0 3.7 3.6 2.9 3.0 2.6 100.0%
Lila Van Hoveln 100% 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.5%
Ari Balinnang 100% 101.4 92.4%
Gabby Smith 100% 123.4 76.1%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 167.6 17.5%
Sami Pentelow 100% 190.6 3.3%
Janine Mbianda 100% 192.5 2.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 100% 3.6 2.5 11.9 23.0 22.7 18.1 14.2 5.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Lila Van Hoveln 100% 11.4 0.1 0.3 1.4 5.1 8.3 10.0 10.0 10.5 10.2 7.8 6.8 6.1 5.8 4.3 3.0 3.1 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 100.0%
Ari Balinnang 100% 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.1 3.3 4.5 4.9 5.4 5.9 6.3 6.4 7.6 6.1 6.4 5.9 5.4 5.0 4.0 100.0%
Gabby Smith 100% 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.5 5.2 6.0 6.5 6.8 6.0 6.0 100.0%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.6 100.0%
Sami Pentelow 100% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Janine Mbianda 100% 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 1.0 99.6 0.4
Lila Van Hoveln 1.9 53.1 31.3 11.7 2.9 0.8 0.1
Ari Balinnang 3.8 5.0 19.9 31.1 27.8 11.6 3.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Gabby Smith 5.2 0.4 3.4 13.3 25.3 34.1 16.7 4.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1
Aubrey Morgan 7.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 5.1 19.5 27.3 17.9 11.5 8.4 4.7 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0
Sami Pentelow 10.6 0.0 0.4 3.2 7.8 13.5 15.0 15.8 14.4 14.4 12.3 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Janine Mbianda 10.8 0.4 2.2 6.2 12.8 15.1 15.9 15.9 14.3 12.6 3.5 0.9 0.2