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State Rank #34
New Prairie Regional Rank #7
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 474 394 495 497 506 541 423 504 506 434 512
Team Adjusted Rating 394 495 497 506 541 423 504 506 434 512
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invite Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
57  Madisyn Mikels 11 19:17 19:48 19:39 19:29 19:39 19:39 19:34 19:01 19:30 19:15 19:13 19:47 19:09
158  Briana Krapf 12 20:09 20:42 19:42 20:13 19:50 19:55 20:11 19:32 20:03 20:20 20:16 20:36
322  Madilynn Fehlman 10 20:56 20:44 20:26 20:40 21:10 20:44 21:52 20:32 21:00 21:47 20:37 20:46
361  Brooklyn Reed 11 21:05 21:02 21:32 21:40 21:15 21:35 21:22 21:29 21:08 20:58 20:43 21:25
541  Arabella Sweeney 10 21:42 22:12 21:33 22:21 22:12 21:52 22:14 22:05 22:01 21:26 22:18 21:30
543  Kara Krapf 10 21:42 21:49 20:26 21:50 21:40 21:58 21:26 21:27 21:42 22:03
685  Alannah Sweeney 12 22:03 21:45 21:59 22:12 22:03 21:56 22:39 22:03 21:52 21:52 21:51
754  Ave Gurley 11 22:12 22:17 22:19 21:35 21:59 22:02 22:24 22:31 22:24 21:57
919  Aubrey Clouse 9 22:34 22:09 22:01 23:18 22:32 22:15 22:02 22:48 23:09
997  Jocelyn Martinez 12 22:46 22:24 22:46 23:00 23:25 22:21 22:20 22:59 22:41
Cheyenne Conroy 9 24:10 23:24 24:51 23:54 23:50 24:01 24:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.9 239 0.0 1.3 11.6 23.0 36.3 18.0 6.0 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.3 78 0.0 2.7 63.9 33.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 99.9% 59.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 99.9% 99.9%
Briana Krapf 44.9% 139.3 44.9% 44.9%
Madilynn Fehlman 0.1% 202.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 100% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.8 8.6 13.7 14.1 11.6 9.9 7.5 6.5 5.3 4.2 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Briana Krapf 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.0 4.5 100.0%
Madilynn Fehlman 100% 61.6 100.0%
Brooklyn Reed 100% 67.6 100.0%
Arabella Sweeney 100% 99.8 100.0%
Kara Krapf 100% 99.9 100.0%
Alannah Sweeney 100% 120.7 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madisyn Mikels 1.7 1.6 68.1 15.8 9.3 3.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1
Briana Krapf 8.3 1.4 2.7 5.4 10.2 11.9 15.2 12.8 12.3 10.1 8.0 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Madilynn Fehlman 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.1 4.4 7.1 8.7 9.4 10.8 9.5 8.4 7.6 6.8 6.0 5.2 4.7 3.3
Brooklyn Reed 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.9 5.7 7.1 7.5 8.6 9.7 9.0 8.9 8.4 7.4 6.8
Arabella Sweeney 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.3 2.6 4.1
Kara Krapf 28.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.6 4.0
Alannah Sweeney 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3