Avon
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #30
Brownsburg Regional Rank #8
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Harrier Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Twilight Delta Eagle Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 446 350 404 433 556 595 437 639 653 570 537
Team Adjusted Rating 350 404 433 477 413 437 474 456 497 537
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Harrier Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Twilight Delta Eagle Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
22  Eve Schurr 12 18:42 19:06 19:11 19:45 19:40 19:38 18:56 18:57 19:10 18:50 18:34
233  Lily Hwang 9 20:36 20:25 20:26 20:32 20:37 20:48 20:16 20:30 20:40 20:47
293  Ella Staton 10 20:50 19:56 20:37 20:39 20:25 20:26 21:23 21:04 21:18
375  Ava Watkins 12 21:08 19:42 20:21 20:28 20:38 21:08 21:02 21:24 22:14 22:58
408  Malak Marzak 11 21:15 21:05 21:09 20:57 21:02 21:22 21:41 20:47 21:10 21:26
477  Ava Lillpop 10 21:31 21:29 21:01 20:58 21:14 21:15 21:37 21:30 21:50 21:45
658  Vivian Ford 9 21:59 21:50 22:21 22:28 22:29 22:25 21:37 22:33 21:37 22:42
766  Gwen Parsons 10 22:13 23:59 21:55 21:59 21:49 22:08 22:30 22:21 22:09 22:19
1,062  Haley Uberta 12 22:55 22:34 22:58 22:21 22:58 22:41 23:11 22:46 23:24 22:41
1,065  Ava Webb 11 22:56 23:06 22:38 22:59
1,087  Olivia Haberman 10 22:59 23:39 23:14 22:34 23:11 22:33
1,182  Isabella Ventura 12 23:12 23:03 23:59 23:26 24:07 23:54 23:17 22:48
Claire Vetter 11 24:26 21:56 24:03 24:04 23:47 24:38 25:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.8 223 0.7 18.8 80.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.9 71 13.2 86.7 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eve Schurr 100% 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.9 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.1 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.5 100.0% 100.0%
Lily Hwang 36.0% 180.7 36.0% 36.0%
Ella Staton 10.7% 194.2 10.7% 10.7%
Ava Watkins 0.6% 204.5 0.6% 0.6%
Malak Marzak 0.2% 220.0 0.2% 0.2%
Ava Lillpop 0.0% 226.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eve Schurr 100% 5.5 0.5 7.8 10.4 10.4 13.3 15.6 16.6 9.3 5.4 4.1 2.6 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lily Hwang 100% 45.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Ella Staton 100% 53.2 100.0%
Ava Watkins 100% 64.9 100.0%
Malak Marzak 100% 69.2 100.0%
Ava Lillpop 100% 79.0 100.0%
Vivian Ford 100% 102.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eve Schurr 1.2 37.5 54.3 5.6 2.2 0.4 0.1
Lily Hwang 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.9 7.5 15.5 18.6 13.5 11.5 9.3 6.6 4.7 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ella Staton 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.7 3.9 6.9 10.5 12.1 11.7 12.9 10.7 10.7 9.2 5.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ava Watkins 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.0 6.3 7.1 10.0 13.8 16.2 15.0 9.9 5.5 3.6 1.8
Malak Marzak 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.9 4.6 6.0 9.1 13.9 16.8 15.8 10.6 6.2 4.5
Ava Lillpop 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.5 4.2 7.3 12.8 15.4 13.1 12.2
Vivian Ford 30.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 3.9