Brownsburg
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #24
Brownsburg Regional Rank #7
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Twilight NCXC JV Invite Brownsburg JV Invite Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/28 10/5 10/9 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 386 439 350 372 343 346 901 488 472
Team Adjusted Rating 362 350 372 343 346 386 393 472
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Twilight NCXC JV Invite Brownsburg JV Invite Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
133  Scout Newman 11 19:59 19:11 19:38 19:39 19:54 20:01 20:11 20:07 19:59
138  MacKenzie Steele 12 20:00 19:54 19:53 19:45 19:51 19:58 19:53 20:31
171  Savannah Dyer 10 20:15 20:42 19:57 19:48 20:02 20:06 20:12 20:27 20:35 20:25
278  Lucy Tolliver 11 20:47 19:43 20:32 20:52 20:42 20:33 20:48 20:46 21:00
279  Sofia Bragg 11 20:47 22:14 20:53 20:48 21:05 20:30 20:03 20:40 21:19
559  Mya Richer 10 21:45 23:39 23:07 22:15 21:39 21:39 21:50 21:33
627  Sophia Lone 11 21:55 22:31 21:36 21:33 21:55 21:48 22:02 21:59 21:46 22:16
703  Kennedy York 11 22:05 22:21 22:32 21:58 22:17 21:38 21:52
910  Grace Adamowicz 10 22:34 24:28 22:41 22:41 23:26 22:23 22:07 22:15
925  Aly Ewing 9 22:35 21:27 21:28 22:25 23:12 23:23
1,128  Charlotte Robison 10 23:05 22:16 23:11 23:03 22:56 22:21 23:10 23:04 23:34
Aubrey Packard 9 23:37 24:35 23:32 23:46 23:37 23:16 23:23
Kendall Taylor  9 23:39 23:56 24:20 23:35 23:59 23:08 23:16
Abigail Altschul 10 23:53 22:03 24:03 23:13 23:35 23:28 24:02 24:49
Gigi Miller 10 23:54 23:34 24:25 23:30
Carly Boone 12 25:07 24:06 23:57 25:26 24:54 25:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.1 193 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.4 73.7 19.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.1 56 0.1 86.7 13.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 98.8% 130.4 98.8% 98.8%
MacKenzie Steele 97.9% 133.6 97.9% 97.9%
Savannah Dyer 86.1% 155.9 86.1% 86.1%
Lucy Tolliver 13.7% 191.5 13.7% 13.7%
Sofia Bragg 13.6% 189.5 13.6% 13.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 100% 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.8 4.5 5.0 100.0%
MacKenzie Steele 100% 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.9 3.0 4.1 4.5 100.0%
Savannah Dyer 100% 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 100.0%
Lucy Tolliver 100% 52.1 100.0%
Sofia Bragg 100% 52.1 100.0%
Mya Richer 100% 89.5 100.0%
Sophia Lone 100% 98.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 7.1 0.9 1.7 7.1 16.1 22.4 23.0 16.3 8.3 2.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
MacKenzie Steele 7.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 5.5 14.2 20.4 22.4 19.8 9.9 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Savannah Dyer 9.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.6 10.7 19.0 29.5 16.1 8.5 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lucy Tolliver 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 5.6 10.6 11.4 13.5 12.5 10.4 9.2 8.2 6.4 4.6 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1
Sofia Bragg 14.6 0.1 0.3 1.7 6.0 9.9 13.0 11.8 11.6 10.3 10.3 8.6 6.3 4.6 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
Mya Richer 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.0 3.7 6.1 8.0 10.0
Sophia Lone 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.3 4.5