Brownsburg
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #20
Brownsburg Regional Rank #6
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.0%
Advance to State Finals 11.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 347 409 338 341
Team Adjusted Rating 321 338 341
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
77  Scout Newman 11 19:32 19:11 19:36 19:32
116  MacKenzie Steele 12 19:50 19:54 19:47 19:42 19:44
125  Savannah Dyer 10 19:57 20:42 19:51 19:45 19:55
224  Lucy Tolliver 11 20:34 19:43 20:25 20:49 20:34
333  Sofia Bragg 11 20:57 22:14 20:46 20:45 20:57
527  Aly Ewing 9 21:38 21:19 21:25 22:15
555  Sophia Lone 11 21:42 22:31 21:28 21:29 21:47
740  Kennedy York 11 22:12 22:13 22:28 21:49
890  Grace Adamowicz 10 22:37 24:18 22:38 22:32
1,000  Charlotte Robison 10 22:53 22:16 23:02 22:59 22:46
1,179  Mya Richer 10 23:18 23:30 23:03
1,240  Abigail Altschul 10 23:27 22:03 23:53 23:09 23:36
Gigi Miller 10 23:45 23:34 24:15 23:26
Aubrey Packard 9 23:54 24:25 23:28 23:46
Carly Boone 12 24:01 24:06 23:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 11.2% 14.6 377 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 6.5 173 0.0 0.2 1.3 9.7 40.3 33.3 15.1
Sectionals 100% 2.2 54 0.3 78.4 21.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 100.0% 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
MacKenzie Steele 99.4% 110.7 99.4% 99.4%
Savannah Dyer 98.4% 123.4 98.2% 98.4%
Lucy Tolliver 39.8% 175.4 32.1% 37.3%
Sofia Bragg 12.6% 199.2 1.6% 3.6%
Aly Ewing 11.2% 229.4 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Lone 11.2% 231.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 100% 19.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.5 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.7 5.7 6.2 7.0 7.1 7.5 7.2 6.5 5.8 4.6 100.0%
MacKenzie Steele 100% 25.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.1 3.0 3.2 4.7 5.8 6.0 8.2 7.3 100.0%
Savannah Dyer 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 2.0 3.6 3.7 5.1 5.5 100.0%
Lucy Tolliver 100% 45.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sofia Bragg 100% 59.1 100.0%
Aly Ewing 100% 85.5 100.0%
Sophia Lone 100% 89.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Scout Newman 4.4 0.1 6.6 12.1 20.4 24.6 21.6 9.8 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
MacKenzie Steele 6.7 0.5 1.3 4.9 8.9 16.4 26.3 20.9 11.0 5.0 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Savannah Dyer 7.7 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.6 9.5 16.0 26.2 20.5 10.2 5.4 2.9 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
Lucy Tolliver 14.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 5.3 9.3 9.9 11.2 11.3 12.3 11.6 11.0 6.9 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sofia Bragg 18.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.5 4.1 6.0 10.2 14.3 14.6 13.8 11.2 8.1 5.3 3.2 1.7
Aly Ewing 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 3.3 5.7 9.1 11.1
Sophia Lone 27.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.5 6.6 9.0