Carmel
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #1
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 81.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 94 59 103 88 116 105
Team Adjusted Rating 59 86 88 116 105
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
11  Sadie Foley 11 18:29 18:41 18:02 18:20 18:24 18:53 18:34
21  Larkin Taylor 10 18:46 19:11 18:15 18:44 18:42 18:55 18:43
25  Annabel Pollert 10 18:49 19:10 18:49 18:32 18:40 18:54 18:48
34  Margo Halle 9 19:02 18:52 19:04 19:04 19:10 18:50
40  Olivia Mundt 12 19:09 18:59 18:34 19:04 19:10 19:46
98  Katy Dascoli 12 19:42 20:03 19:36 19:35 19:31 19:44 19:42
106  Kaitlyn Oshimura 11 19:45 19:20 19:57 20:01 19:34
107  Ella Gaddis 12 19:46 20:22 20:00 19:42 19:22 19:43 19:42
155  Charlotte Konow 12 20:12 19:53 20:07 20:08 20:12 20:20
189  Kalinda Lee 9 20:23 20:08 24:08 20:23 20:29 20:28
191  Lilliana Cate 11 20:24 21:16 20:09 20:38 20:22 20:17 20:09
219  Nola Elling 12 20:33 20:14 20:10 21:04 20:28 20:34
233  Maija Gilhooly 10 20:35 20:47 20:41 20:25 20:18 20:45
238  Ella Weaver 9 20:37 21:19 20:17 20:38 20:18 20:33
255  Noelle Avila 11 20:40 20:55 20:44 20:13 20:32 20:44
269  Ellie Smith 11 20:44 21:01 20:43 20:33 20:34
326  Raya Chauhan 12 20:56 20:55 20:50
328  Arden Finley 11 20:56 21:28 24:15 20:51 21:02 20:55 20:32
360  Sophia Vasquez 12 21:06 21:06 20:58
386  Katie Zhuravlev 9 21:15 21:04 20:59 21:05 21:26 21:30
401  Veronica Strzynski 12 21:18 21:50 25:15 21:35 20:49 21:00 21:26
418  Maddie Cox 11 21:21 21:15 21:34 21:09 21:21
423  Malia Larger 10 21:22 21:32 21:26 20:59 21:08 21:10 22:12
506  Elise Maurer 9 21:34 21:30 34:20 22:23 21:28 21:05
512  Caroline Schmidt 11 21:36 21:23 21:35 21:21 21:42 21:39 21:37
566  Emma Meisner 10 21:44 21:45 22:03 21:48 21:44 21:15 21:35
569  Brianna Roper 12 21:45 21:25 21:33 22:28 21:35 21:34 21:58
588  Ananya Potluri 9 21:48 21:47 34:17
589  Emma Kistler 11 21:48 22:29 21:24 22:17 21:31 22:00 21:28
679  Andrea Bendaly 12 22:02 21:01 21:58 22:28 21:54
757  Lauren Goedde 9 22:15 22:24 22:07
817  Eleanor Snopek 9 22:26 22:19 21:59 22:39 22:56 22:09
818  Sophie Frey 9 22:27 23:27 22:25 22:18 22:09 22:18
852  Annabelle Inman 10 22:31 20:41 23:47 22:06 22:32 22:23 22:42
869  Hanna Schaller 10 22:35 21:48 22:49 23:43 23:19 22:02 21:56
925  Eza Ahmad 9 22:42 22:40 22:34 23:06 22:52 22:11
1,109  Mia Watson 10 23:10 23:24 23:35 23:49 21:58 22:41
1,123  Vera Griffin 10 23:11 23:25 23:31 23:12 23:14 22:43 22:53
1,141  Gia Ferrettie 10 23:13 23:28 23:05 23:07 23:22 22:57
1,205  Sarina Patel 10 23:22 23:18 23:10 23:36 23:44 22:57
1,207  Regan Murphy 11 23:23 23:01 23:29 23:24 24:54
Francesca Andersen 9 23:31 23:29
Camrin Petro 11 23:41 23:33 23:37 23:42 23:56 23:45 23:15
Frannie Anderson 9 23:41 23:42 23:41 23:35
Izzie Shin 9 23:43 23:25 23:35 24:11 25:55
Ashlyn Neuoff 11 23:46 23:21 23:49 23:45 23:40 24:10
Lexi Marsella 11 23:53 23:11 24:16 23:52 23:43 23:55
Maddy Hill 9 23:55 23:24 23:39 24:45 23:38 24:59
Marie Perrin 9 23:56 23:34 24:03 23:59 23:45 24:07
Audrey Nace 12 23:58 23:26 24:01 23:36 24:40 23:49 24:06
Emma Imler 12 24:05 24:22 24:21 23:52 24:06 23:49 24:00
Ansley Lyons 9 24:11 23:31 23:02 25:22 24:55
Madelyn Putman 12 24:15 23:22 23:54 23:57 24:38 25:19
Demi Zhang 9 24:21 25:05 23:38 26:05 24:09 24:29
Sam Feys 10 24:25 22:58 24:28 24:02 24:36 24:57
Misha Desai 10 24:38 23:41 24:36 25:56 24:38 24:20
Ella Cantafio 11 24:46 23:23 25:17
Keeley Rohrer 12 24:53 24:14 25:45 24:35 24:38 25:23
Eva Marsden 11 25:02 24:03 25:34 24:17 25:44
Emma Warner 10 25:06 23:36 25:29 25:02 25:05 24:37 25:58
Emily Migut 9 25:20 26:32 23:23 25:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 1.3 98 81.8 12.3 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 36 96.8 2.9 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 98.8 1.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 11.8 0.2 0.2 1.1 3.6 6.0 7.2 7.1 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.3 5.5 4.6 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.8 3.1 2.8 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.1 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 22.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.1 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.3 3.8 4.5 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.6 3.9 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.7 2.6 3.4 2.9 3.8 3.1 3.6 3.8 3.3 3.8 3.3 3.9 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 36.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.5 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 43.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.4 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 96.9 0.0 99.7%
Kaitlyn Oshimura 100% 102.9 99.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 2.4 1.8 33.8 39.1 14.3 5.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 4.5 0.2 3.7 12.5 22.9 21.1 13.9 8.5 6.0 3.7 2.5 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 5.0 0.0 1.9 8.1 18.5 20.9 15.4 11.0 7.6 4.9 3.7 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 8.4 0.2 0.6 3.1 6.7 11.5 13.4 11.2 9.8 8.5 7.1 6.0 4.4 3.4 3.8 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 10.4 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.6 8.9 10.3 9.2 9.7 7.8 7.9 6.6 6.1 5.2 4.8 3.6 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 22.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 3.3 3.6 4.6 5.4 6.2 6.4 7.9 7.8 7.3 7.3 100.0%
Kaitlyn Oshimura 100% 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.8 5.1 6.4 6.5 7.3 8.0 7.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 1.6 2.4 76.3 15.1 4.5 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Larkin Taylor 3.1 0.1 9.7 38.5 26.3 11.8 5.7 3.7 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Annabel Pollert 3.5 0.1 5.9 27.1 31.0 16.0 8.7 4.8 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Margo Halle 5.8 0.4 3.5 9.7 22.5 17.0 13.8 10.7 7.3 5.9 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Olivia Mundt 7.1 0.0 1.1 4.6 11.1 18.0 14.3 12.7 10.4 8.8 6.6 5.4 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Katy Dascoli 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 2.1 3.4 5.5 7.5 10.2 13.9 15.3 13.6 10.0 6.6 4.4 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kaitlyn Oshimura 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.7 5.1 8.2 11.4 14.5 14.0 13.6 9.4 6.2 3.9 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1