Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #35
New Haven Regional Rank #6
West Noble Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Nike Twilight West Noble Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 477 423 517 492 485 938 803 473 492 459 471
Team Adjusted Rating 423 517 492 482 477 452 471 492 459 471
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Nike Twilight West Noble Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
144  Haile Schiffeneder 12 20:03 19:39 19:42 20:20 20:05 19:39 19:58 20:06 19:58 20:17
173  Natalie Blume 11 20:16 21:11 20:31 20:36 20:17 20:32 20:15 20:29 20:05 20:09
309  Mavee Clark 11 20:53 21:38 20:53 21:11 21:43 20:52 20:26 21:02 21:02 20:55 20:44
362  Olivia Conlon 9 21:05 20:41 21:12 21:14 21:15 20:52 21:05 20:56 21:05
403  Emre Lieland 12 21:15 20:31 21:15 21:12
440  Claire Lane 10 21:23 20:59 20:49 21:38 21:11 21:35 21:16 21:11 21:42 21:21
476  Audrey Fraser 10 21:30 21:18 20:59 21:01 21:00 21:17 22:05 21:28 21:30 21:47 21:50
530  Rachel Kuhlman 10 21:40 21:57 21:53 21:56 21:49 21:16 21:17
623  Cora Evans 9 21:54 21:14 21:53 22:32 21:49 23:22 21:52
943  Hailey Morgan 9 22:38 22:52 22:10 22:41 22:42 22:39
963  Reagan Ganshorn 10 22:41 23:37 23:15 22:27 22:19 22:26 22:40 22:59
1,075  Claire Michael 10 22:57 23:41 23:30 23:13 22:41 22:44 22:24
1,248  Elena Barb 11 23:21 22:54 23:53 22:59 23:56 23:24 22:41 23:24
Samantha Hoekstra 9 23:56 25:09 23:59 23:15 23:32 24:07 24:00
Madeline Schroeder 9 23:58 23:55 24:13 24:02 23:41 23:57
Lauren Johnson 10 24:00 22:44 24:35 23:56 25:10 23:51 23:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 24.1 604 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.4 6.2 12.4 26.7 50.6
Regionals 100% 5.2 211 1.7 28.4 36.0 22.8 7.9 2.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.3 52 70.5 29.5 0.1 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 138.5 46.8%
Natalie Blume 100% 160.6 20.2%
Mavee Clark 100% 209.4 0.1%
Olivia Conlon 100% 218.5 0.0%
Emre Lieland 100% 224.4 0.0%
Claire Lane 100% 228.6 0.0%
Audrey Fraser 100% 231.9 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haile Schiffeneder 100% 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.9 100.0%
Natalie Blume 100% 37.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Mavee Clark 100% 53.8 100.0%
Olivia Conlon 100% 60.6 100.0%
Emre Lieland 100% 67.5 100.0%
Claire Lane 100% 73.7 100.0%
Audrey Fraser 100% 79.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haile Schiffeneder 4.9 0.1 0.2 3.5 49.2 23.2 13.1 6.0 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.1
Natalie Blume 6.4 0.6 12.3 29.4 20.0 18.5 10.3 6.3 2.2 0.3 0.1
Mavee Clark 11.1 0.2 1.5 3.4 7.6 12.6 21.5 23.6 14.5 8.3 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Conlon 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.9 4.1 8.6 16.0 20.6 18.4 11.8 8.0 5.0 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emre Lieland 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.9 11.3 16.8 17.9 13.9 12.4 8.0 5.2 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Claire Lane 16.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 4.5 8.6 12.6 17.7 15.4 13.9 10.3 6.6 4.5 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
Audrey Fraser 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 3.9 7.2 10.6 14.4 17.3 15.0 11.7 9.0 4.6 2.3 0.7 0.4