Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #40
New Prairie Regional Rank #8
Chesterton Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Flashrock Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 511 432 713 437 807 500 555 834 830 524 530 475
Team Adjusted Rating 432 713 437 507 500 555 506 511 524 530 475
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Flashrock Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
185  Jessica Martin 10 20:21 19:53 27:56 21:14 20:22 20:15 20:27 20:36 20:41 20:28 20:10 20:18
261  Allison Van Kley 11 20:42 20:42 20:49 22:15 20:31 20:35 21:44 20:54 20:45 20:30
321  Paige Clancy 9 20:56 20:29 21:44 20:24 21:08 21:19 20:56 20:35 20:49
365  Veronica Wilgocki 12 21:05 22:22 20:22 22:00 20:59 20:52 21:10 21:03 21:34 20:54
391  Ellie McClelland 12 21:13 23:12 20:50 21:53 21:05 21:16 20:58 20:57 21:20 21:12
393  Lauren Kroft 11 21:13 21:51 20:23 21:28 20:45 21:05 21:01 21:14 21:29 21:29
479  Thea Kirk 9 21:31 21:26 21:26 21:31 21:31
610  Aubrey Bamber 11 21:52 20:56 21:45 21:48 22:01 28:29 22:03 21:48 21:51
684  Alexa Jaworski 11 22:03 23:07 21:44 21:47 21:45 22:37 21:40 22:00 22:14
723  Eva Solomos 9 22:08 22:26 21:55 21:54 22:37 21:54 23:56
810  Natascha Lepinasse 10 22:19 23:30 21:50 23:54 21:56 22:08 22:32
841  Natalie Williams 9 22:24 22:13 22:21 23:10 22:13 22:08 22:34 22:04 22:31
1,059  Caroline Mills 12 22:55 21:51 24:48 23:35 23:42 23:01 22:25 22:47 22:32
1,148  Eshaal Ali 10 23:08 23:04 23:03 22:59 23:28 22:42 22:39 23:46
1,274  Kylia Peterson 12 23:24 24:03 23:44 24:01 22:33 23:03 24:11 22:50 23:32
Sierra Grant 11 23:31 24:07 23:18 23:03 23:15 23:25 23:45 23:41 23:33
Jany Zhang 11 23:43 23:33 26:03 23:59 23:46 23:09 24:13 23:31
Luci Raffin 12 24:07 24:09 24:43 24:29 23:36 24:52 22:52 23:52 24:26
Kyndal Haynes 12 24:28 21:40 24:26
Mailen Davison 9 24:36 25:50 23:58 21:08 25:14 25:00
Alaina McGrogan 12 25:04 23:12 25:05 25:51 24:32 25:13 24:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.0 265 0.3 2.5 8.1 21.5 38.5 15.7 7.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.7 85 0.0 0.9 32.8 66.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 19.2% 152.5 19.2% 19.2%
Allison Van Kley 1.2% 172.0 1.2% 1.2%
Paige Clancy 0.1% 180.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 100% 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 100.0%
Allison Van Kley 100% 51.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Paige Clancy 100% 61.5 0.0 100.0%
Veronica Wilgocki 100% 68.4 100.0%
Ellie McClelland 100% 73.6 100.0%
Lauren Kroft 100% 74.6 100.0%
Aubrey Bamber 100% 110.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 10.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.9 5.5 8.8 11.8 12.1 14.0 14.2 12.7 7.5 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2
Allison Van Kley 14.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.2 4.8 7.8 11.6 16.0 15.1 11.5 8.9 6.4 4.2 3.0 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2
Paige Clancy 17.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.8 6.1 9.0 11.1 10.7 10.8 10.7 8.5 7.7 6.1 4.8 3.7 2.2
Veronica Wilgocki 20.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.4 5.9 6.6 8.1 8.9 9.6 10.0 10.7 9.2 7.6 7.0
Ellie McClelland 22.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.0 4.0 4.4 6.4 7.7 8.5 9.4 10.9 11.8 9.7
Lauren Kroft 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.2 4.4 5.6 7.3 8.1 9.8 10.4 11.2 10.6
Aubrey Bamber 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2