Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #34
New Prairie Regional Rank #7
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 3.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 488 414 709 437 816 465
Team Adjusted Rating 414 709 437 482 465
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic
196  Jessica Martin 10 20:25 19:53 27:48 21:13 20:22 20:16 20:19
242  Allison Van Kley 11 20:38 20:42 20:45 22:14 20:30 20:27
305  Paige Clancy 9 20:51 20:25 21:44 20:24 21:00
334  Lauren Kroft 11 20:57 21:51 20:19 21:27 20:45 20:57
354  Veronica Wilgocki 12 21:03 22:22 20:18 22:00 20:58 20:44
404  Ellie McClelland 12 21:18 23:12 20:46 21:53 21:05 21:08
461  Thea Kirk 21:27 21:26 21:26
516  Aubrey Bamber 11 21:36 20:52 21:45 21:50
656  Alexa Jaworski 11 21:59 23:07 21:39 21:46 21:45 22:28
687  Eva Solomos 9 22:03 22:26 21:57 21:46
786  Natalie Williams 9 22:21 22:08 22:20 23:10 22:15 22:00
1,090  Eshaal Ali 10 23:08 23:03 23:03 23:01 23:18
1,135  Natascha Lepinasse 10 23:12 23:24 21:49 23:54
1,186  Sierra Grant 11 23:20 24:07 23:12 23:02 23:15 23:27
1,235  Kylia Peterson 12 23:26 24:03 23:38 24:00 22:33 23:05
1,246  Kyndal Haynes 12 23:27 21:40 24:25
Caroline Mills 12 23:34 21:51 24:42 23:34 23:42 23:03
Jany Zhang 11 23:39 23:33 25:56 23:58 23:46 23:11
Luci Raffin 12 24:24 24:09 24:37 24:29 23:36 24:55
Alaina McGrogan 12 24:47 23:12 24:58 25:50 24:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 3.4% 22.6 543 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.3
Regionals 100% 8.1 260 0.1 0.5 2.9 17.4 23.2 20.6 15.3 9.4 5.7 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.4 81 0.3 2.3 51.6 45.4 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 15.5% 150.6 12.5% 13.6%
Allison Van Kley 5.8% 165.2 2.5% 3.1%
Paige Clancy 3.6% 184.6 0.2% 0.3%
Lauren Kroft 3.4% 195.1 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Wilgocki 3.4% 200.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie McClelland 3.4% 215.5 0.0% 0.0%
Thea Kirk 3.4% 222.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 100% 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Allison Van Kley 100% 50.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Paige Clancy 100% 61.2 100.0%
Lauren Kroft 100% 66.1 100.0%
Veronica Wilgocki 100% 69.9 0.0 100.0%
Ellie McClelland 100% 82.7 100.0%
Thea Kirk 100% 90.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Martin 10.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.1 4.9 9.2 14.7 17.0 13.1 10.1 7.7 6.1 4.5 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Allison Van Kley 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.2 5.2 7.6 11.1 10.7 10.8 9.3 8.8 8.3 7.4 5.8 4.3 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2
Paige Clancy 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.2 4.4 5.5 7.2 7.6 9.0 9.9 9.9 10.0 8.6 6.9 5.4 3.6 2.5 1.5
Lauren Kroft 18.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.5 4.2 5.6 6.9 7.7 8.7 10.6 10.9 9.5 7.9 6.6 4.2 3.3
Veronica Wilgocki 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.7 3.3 4.4 5.5 6.7 8.8 10.3 11.2 10.2 8.6 7.2 5.8
Ellie McClelland 24.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.7 6.0 7.4 11.0 10.0 10.1
Thea Kirk 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.6 5.2 7.3 9.0