Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #3
New Haven Regional Rank #2
Woodlan Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 5.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 78.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 154 214 185 137 855
Team Adjusted Rating 166 185 115 154
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational DeKalb Baron Classic Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational
10  Mallory Weller 11 18:26 17:59 19:10 18:12
39  Daphne Weller 9 19:07 19:22 19:13 18:30
51  Brylee Crass 10 19:18 18:57 19:21 19:18
78  Lilly Schlicker 11 19:33 19:41 19:23 19:44 19:16
84  Hannah Clark 11 19:35 19:30 19:46 19:36 19:22
142  Ellie Walters 12 20:05 20:57 19:56 20:00 20:01
157  Maddie Gentz 10 20:12 20:12 20:11 20:19 19:51
234  Riley Zent 20:35 20:44 20:28
337  Joelle Borchelt 11 20:58 21:48 20:47 20:40 21:03
483  Natalie Cordes 9 21:31 21:27 21:28 21:52 21:00
590  Cocoa Milleman 10 21:48 22:45 21:39 21:49 21:37
683  Leona Dumford 9 22:03 21:55 22:21 22:00 21:47
695  Sierra Luttik 12 22:04 21:38 21:51 22:17 22:08
1,257  Anna Clem 11 23:28 22:40 23:46 23:54 23:01
Naomi Hendrickson 10 24:02 23:44 24:25 24:27 23:39 23:51
Helene Hendrickson 11 24:13 25:13 24:08 23:31
Sera Shelton 9 24:25 21:57 24:47 25:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 4.0 180 5.7 23.1 20.7 15.2 13.9 8.4 5.6 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.6 56 44.1 55.9
Sectionals 100% 1.6 33 44.3 55.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 10.8 0.2 0.6 2.1 5.2 7.4 8.2 8.1 6.7 6.9 6.0 6.0 5.1 4.6 4.0 3.6 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.2 2.0 2.1 1.4 1.3 1.2 100.0%
Daphne Weller 100% 41.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.9 1.7 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 55.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 79.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
Hannah Clark 100% 84.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
Ellie Walters 100% 138.7 75.2%
Maddie Gentz 100% 151.6 60.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 100% 2.2 20.5 25.3 23.2 14.6 8.9 4.6 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Daphne Weller 100% 8.2 0.0 0.8 2.9 5.5 9.7 13.9 14.3 13.7 10.7 7.3 5.3 4.0 3.2 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brylee Crass 100% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.7 5.7 8.5 10.2 10.8 10.0 9.7 7.6 6.4 5.5 5.0 3.5 3.2 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Lilly Schlicker 100% 16.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.4 5.1 5.6 6.5 6.7 6.5 7.4 6.1 6.9 5.8 5.8 5.3 4.6 4.2 4.1 3.2 100.0%
Hannah Clark 100% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.7 3.3 4.9 5.2 6.1 6.8 5.8 6.5 6.6 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.2 4.7 4.4 3.7 100.0%
Ellie Walters 100% 29.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.2 3.3 3.5 4.6 100.0%
Maddie Gentz 100% 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mallory Weller 1.0 63.1 23.9 12.2 0.6 0.0 0.1
Daphne Weller 3.9 0.1 4.7 14.2 34.8 20.0 10.3 5.6 3.9 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
Brylee Crass 5.5 0.9 4.2 13.5 23.5 17.0 11.8 7.8 6.6 4.8 4.2 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lilly Schlicker 9.2 0.1 0.2 1.5 4.2 10.2 10.9 10.7 10.3 9.9 10.0 10.4 8.9 6.8 4.7 1.1 0.2
Hannah Clark 9.8 0.2 1.0 2.9 7.4 9.5 10.5 10.1 10.6 10.3 11.0 9.4 8.8 6.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Ellie Walters 15.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.9 3.1 5.1 7.7 13.1 25.2 21.3 11.6 5.2 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.1
Maddie Gentz 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 4.4 9.2 16.5 25.5 18.8 10.6 5.5 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1