Penn
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #10
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 42.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Minutemen Classic
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/7 9/14 9/14
Team Rating 253 267 264 250 1,211 216 1,153
Team Adjusted Rating 267 233 250 253 216 253
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational State Preview Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Minutemen Classic
44  Shreya Nayee 9 19:14 19:27 19:06 19:21 19:16
67  Lila Van Hoveln 10 19:26 20:44 19:31 19:20 19:22 19:17
102  Ari Balinnang 11 19:44 19:46 20:24 19:20 19:26
117  Gabby Smith 11 19:50 20:21 19:40 19:45 20:18 19:24
212  Sami Pentelow 9 20:31 20:05 20:18 20:52 20:45
214  Aubrey Morgan 12 20:32 20:36 20:36 20:30 20:20 20:28
304  Janine Mbianda 12 20:51 20:59 20:54 20:39 20:46
447  Luna Liu 12 21:26 21:59 21:23 21:14
583  Katelyn Van Luchene 12 21:47 22:16 21:49 21:45 21:28 21:47
624  Ella Neuenschwander 10 21:55 21:56 21:43 22:01 21:48 21:50
923  Marisa Manbeck 12 22:42 22:44 22:20 22:54 22:46
941  Morgan Pfeiffer 12 22:44 23:19 22:32 22:25 22:42 22:57
973  Amelia Little 12 22:50 22:33 22:50 22:43 23:03 22:50
1,077  Becca Kollar 9 23:05 22:34 23:38 22:58 23:05
1,110  Sarah Hungeman 9 23:10 23:31 22:41 23:16 23:06
1,192  Heila Liu 10 23:21 23:04 23:14 23:47 23:16
1,203  Lauren Westbrook 10 23:22 23:55 23:25 23:15 23:12 23:19
1,236  Belle Rebolloso 11 23:26 22:19 23:16 23:26 23:55
Hannah Luck 10 23:33 23:34 23:32 23:50 23:32 22:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 11.4 321 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 3.1 5.6 8.0 10.8 12.2 13.3 10.9 8.7 7.3 5.5 4.4 3.0 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 102 4.6 78.7 12.9 3.2 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 100% 51.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 99.9%
Lila Van Hoveln 100% 68.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 99.3%
Ari Balinnang 100% 101.1 0.0 0.0 91.5%
Gabby Smith 100% 112.6 85.4%
Sami Pentelow 100% 183.6 7.1%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 183.8 6.5%
Janine Mbianda 100% 208.1 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 100% 7.8 0.2 0.4 1.2 4.0 9.0 21.7 16.8 12.5 10.2 6.8 4.6 3.6 2.4 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Lila Van Hoveln 100% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.1 6.1 10.2 11.0 10.4 9.8 9.2 7.8 6.3 4.6 3.9 3.6 3.1 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 100.0%
Ari Balinnang 100% 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.1 3.7 4.0 5.2 5.0 6.0 6.5 5.8 5.5 5.1 5.3 5.6 4.3 4.7 4.0 3.6 100.0%
Gabby Smith 100% 21.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 2.3 2.3 3.3 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.7 5.3 5.5 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.7 100.0%
Sami Pentelow 100% 45.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Aubrey Morgan 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Janine Mbianda 100% 61.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shreya Nayee 1.1 47.4 33.1 13.8 4.4 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Lila Van Hoveln 2.3 11.3 28.5 31.6 18.5 7.0 2.2 0.8 0.2
Ari Balinnang 4.6 0.3 2.8 10.4 22.0 25.6 20.7 10.6 5.6 2.0 0.1 0.0
Gabby Smith 5.3 0.1 0.9 4.6 13.0 22.8 25.1 18.7 9.3 4.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Sami Pentelow 10.2 0.1 0.3 2.4 6.4 12.2 24.3 23.5 14.4 9.3 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Aubrey Morgan 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 5.3 12.7 24.9 23.3 14.8 10.3 4.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
Janine Mbianda 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.9 7.2 18.6 18.3 23.0 14.3 7.0 4.0 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0