All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
State Preview |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
226 | |
281 |
277 |
263 |
1,199 |
221 |
1,172 |
232 |
252 |
855 |
237 |
221 |
216 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
281 |
240 |
263 |
226 |
221 |
226 |
232 |
252 |
226 |
237 |
221 |
216 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
State Preview |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Minutemen Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 16 |
Shreya Nayee |
9 |
18:33 |
|
19:31 |
19:10 |
19:25 |
|
19:18 |
|
19:11 |
19:10 |
|
18:46 |
18:30 |
18:25 |
| 67 |
Lila Van Hoveln |
10 |
19:23 |
20:44 |
19:35 |
19:23 |
19:26 |
|
19:19 |
|
19:30 |
19:21 |
|
19:23 |
19:14 |
19:18 |
| 102 |
Ari Balinnang |
11 |
19:42 |
19:46 |
20:28 |
|
19:24 |
|
19:28 |
|
19:28 |
19:38 |
|
19:55 |
19:44 |
19:38 |
| 124 |
Gabby Smith |
11 |
19:54 |
20:21 |
19:45 |
19:49 |
20:22 |
|
19:25 |
|
20:12 |
20:17 |
|
20:01 |
20:03 |
19:46 |
| 183 |
Aubrey Morgan |
12 |
20:21 |
20:36 |
20:41 |
20:35 |
20:24 |
|
20:30 |
|
19:53 |
20:16 |
|
20:10 |
20:11 |
20:25 |
| 231 |
Sami Pentelow |
9 |
20:36 |
|
20:10 |
20:22 |
20:56 |
|
20:47 |
|
20:35 |
20:20 |
|
21:32 |
20:31 |
20:28 |
| 241 |
Janine Mbianda |
12 |
20:37 |
20:59 |
|
20:59 |
20:43 |
|
20:48 |
|
20:45 |
21:34 |
|
20:54 |
21:09 |
20:29 |
| 443 |
Luna Liu |
12 |
21:24 |
21:59 |
|
21:28 |
21:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 515 |
Katelyn Van Luchene |
12 |
21:37 |
22:16 |
21:54 |
21:50 |
21:33 |
|
21:50 |
|
21:30 |
21:05 |
21:36 |
|
|
|
| 637 |
Ella Neuenschwander |
10 |
21:56 |
21:56 |
21:48 |
22:06 |
21:53 |
|
21:52 |
|
21:41 |
21:38 |
22:09 |
|
|
|
| 977 |
Morgan Pfeiffer |
12 |
22:43 |
23:19 |
22:38 |
22:30 |
22:47 |
|
|
23:01 |
22:23 |
22:14 |
23:02 |
|
|
|
| 991 |
Marisa Manbeck |
12 |
22:45 |
|
22:49 |
22:25 |
|
22:52 |
22:49 |
|
23:03 |
22:58 |
22:30 |
|
|
|
| 1,165 |
Amelia Little |
12 |
23:10 |
22:33 |
22:56 |
22:48 |
|
23:01 |
22:52 |
|
23:47 |
22:51 |
23:22 |
|
|
|
| 1,247 |
Heila Liu |
10 |
23:21 |
|
23:09 |
23:20 |
|
23:44 |
|
23:19 |
23:13 |
23:23 |
23:12 |
|
|
|
| 1,278 |
Lauren Westbrook |
10 |
23:25 |
23:55 |
23:31 |
23:21 |
|
23:10 |
|
23:23 |
23:20 |
23:07 |
23:34 |
|
|
|
| 1,302 |
Sarah Hungeman |
9 |
23:29 |
|
23:37 |
22:46 |
|
23:14 |
|
23:10 |
23:06 |
23:14 |
24:11 |
|
|
|
|
Siena Mammolenti |
9 |
23:32 |
|
24:21 |
|
|
23:53 |
|
23:52 |
24:02 |
23:01 |
23:09 |
|
|
|
|
Kelsey Meyer |
11 |
23:36 |
|
24:44 |
|
|
|
|
24:01 |
23:25 |
23:28 |
23:20 |
|
|
|
|
Hannah Luck |
10 |
23:38 |
23:34 |
23:38 |
23:55 |
|
23:30 |
|
22:41 |
|
25:30 |
23:42 |
|
|
|
|
Becca Kollar |
9 |
23:42 |
|
22:40 |
23:44 |
23:04 |
|
|
23:08 |
24:22 |
23:43 |
23:55 |
|
|
|
|
Melia Lotaki-Reynolds |
10 |
23:42 |
|
23:56 |
23:59 |
|
23:47 |
|
23:43 |
23:13 |
23:30 |
23:39 |
|
|
|
|
Belle Rebolloso |
11 |
23:44 |
22:19 |
23:22 |
23:31 |
|
|
|
24:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
10.2 |
293 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
4.7 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
9.6 |
10.7 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
10.4 |
8.8 |
7.0 |
4.1 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.1 |
97 |
7.7 |
76.6 |
14.1 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
22 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Shreya Nayee |
100% |
16.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Lila Van Hoveln |
100% |
68.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
99.5% |
| Ari Balinnang |
100% |
101.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.4% |
| Gabby Smith |
100% |
123.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.1% |
| Aubrey Morgan |
100% |
167.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.5% |
| Sami Pentelow |
100% |
190.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.3% |
| Janine Mbianda |
100% |
192.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Shreya Nayee |
100% |
3.6 |
2.5 |
11.9 |
23.0 |
22.7 |
18.1 |
14.2 |
5.0 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lila Van Hoveln |
100% |
11.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
5.1 |
8.3 |
10.0 |
10.0 |
10.5 |
10.2 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ari Balinnang |
100% |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Gabby Smith |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Aubrey Morgan |
100% |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sami Pentelow |
100% |
47.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Janine Mbianda |
100% |
48.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Shreya Nayee |
1.0 |
99.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lila Van Hoveln |
1.9 |
|
53.1 |
31.3 |
11.7 |
2.9 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ari Balinnang |
3.8 |
|
5.0 |
19.9 |
31.1 |
27.8 |
11.6 |
3.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gabby Smith |
5.2 |
|
0.4 |
3.4 |
13.3 |
25.3 |
34.1 |
16.7 |
4.6 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aubrey Morgan |
7.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
19.5 |
27.3 |
17.9 |
11.5 |
8.4 |
4.7 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sami Pentelow |
10.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
3.2 |
7.8 |
13.5 |
15.0 |
15.8 |
14.4 |
14.4 |
12.3 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Janine Mbianda |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
2.2 |
6.2 |
12.8 |
15.1 |
15.9 |
15.9 |
14.3 |
12.6 |
3.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
