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State Rank #70
Mater Dei Regional Rank #9
Jasper Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Harrier Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Invitational Patriot Invitational
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/4 9/14
Team Rating 817 1,100 870 784 1,117 752
Team Adjusted Rating 804 870 784 784 752
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Harrier Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Invitational Patriot Invitational
45  Xavery Weisman 12 19:15 19:23 18:58 19:26
489  Kaylyn Warner 12 21:32 23:09 21:36 21:36 21:14 21:40 20:54
561  Emiley Riker 10 21:43 22:55 21:38 22:05 21:15 21:13 21:53
794  Kylee Weathers 11 22:23 21:54 22:11 22:44 22:37 22:33 21:46
Kylie Meyer 10 24:12 24:14 24:14 24:14 24:28 23:47 23:59
Eva Cox 9 25:34 25:13 25:32 28:07 26:27 25:13
Channing Sorgius 9 27:58 28:20 27:42 28:46 27:59 26:52
Caleigh Cox 10 28:22 27:16 27:35 28:20 29:11 30:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.4 363 1.6 17.3 21.9 17.9 14.3 10.4 6.7 4.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.4 101 66.9 26.7 6.0 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Xavery Weisman 100% 51.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Kaylyn Warner 0.1% 223.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Xavery Weisman 100% 7.3 0.3 1.8 4.4 7.0 9.6 11.2 11.9 11.2 10.8 9.6 7.6 5.3 3.6 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kaylyn Warner 100% 66.9 100.0%
Emiley Riker 100% 76.7 100.0%
Kylee Weathers 100% 109.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Xavery Weisman 1.4 37.7 33.8 27.0 1.4 0.1
Kaylyn Warner 13.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.2 7.3 10.5 13.0 13.4 12.9 10.5 8.2 5.6 4.5 3.3 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2
Emiley Riker 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.1 5.8 8.3 11.0 11.9 11.5 9.0 8.3 7.0 5.7 4.5 3.4 2.8 1.8 1.3
Kylee Weathers 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.1 3.2 4.0 5.2 7.6 8.5 11.1