All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
Team Rating |
311 | |
438 |
297 |
262 |
231 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
438 |
297 |
262 |
231 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Larry James Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
9 |
Whitney Anderson |
10 |
18:26 |
18:06 |
19:07 |
18:34 |
18:19 |
18:09 |
110 |
Meredith Isley |
12 |
19:47 |
20:14 |
20:21 |
19:38 |
19:37 |
19:24 |
165 |
Ena Gilliana |
11 |
20:14 |
20:11 |
20:39 |
20:17 |
20:07 |
19:42 |
246 |
Ani Gilliana |
12 |
20:38 |
20:22 |
21:43 |
|
20:13 |
20:38 |
254 |
Lydia Becker |
11 |
20:40 |
20:40 |
21:15 |
20:26 |
20:22 |
|
264 |
Eavan Daly |
10 |
20:42 |
21:08 |
21:15 |
20:38 |
20:35 |
20:00 |
298 |
Amber Johnson |
10 |
20:50 |
|
21:11 |
20:39 |
20:42 |
20:52 |
303 |
Avi Greiner |
11 |
20:51 |
21:41 |
21:15 |
20:39 |
20:47 |
20:30 |
306 |
Izzy Amendola |
12 |
20:52 |
21:01 |
21:15 |
20:42 |
20:48 |
20:29 |
316 |
Ingrid Danger |
11 |
20:53 |
21:53 |
21:16 |
20:42 |
20:48 |
20:31 |
471 |
Marin Anderson |
10 |
21:29 |
22:18 |
22:40 |
21:35 |
20:59 |
20:42 |
564 |
Isla Bakker |
12 |
21:43 |
24:18 |
22:06 |
21:26 |
21:18 |
21:45 |
610 |
Emerson Svilar |
10 |
21:53 |
22:46 |
22:08 |
21:56 |
21:38 |
21:27 |
700 |
Allison Sedevic |
9 |
22:05 |
|
22:20 |
|
21:57 |
21:58 |
709 |
Naia Nikitaras |
10 |
22:07 |
23:40 |
22:20 |
22:09 |
21:35 |
21:53 |
796 |
Maura Lazar |
11 |
22:23 |
|
22:21 |
22:58 |
22:09 |
22:08 |
851 |
Allison Martin |
11 |
22:31 |
22:29 |
23:34 |
22:08 |
22:30 |
22:11 |
1,018 |
Lucy Moye |
12 |
22:56 |
22:47 |
22:53 |
|
23:01 |
24:41 |
1,241 |
Sophia Swigon |
|
23:27 |
|
23:22 |
23:28 |
|
|
|
Emily Seymour |
12 |
23:35 |
23:29 |
|
24:47 |
|
22:49 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
98.0% |
16.1 |
400 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
11.5 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
9.7 |
6.8 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
Regionals |
100% |
3.6 |
145 |
0.2 |
8.7 |
44.8 |
29.2 |
15.0 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.4 |
41 |
64.0 |
34.2 |
1.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Whitney Anderson |
100% |
10.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Meredith Isley |
99.0% |
104.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
46.9% |
90.2% |
Ena Gilliana |
98.0% |
153.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
34.6% |
Ani Gilliana |
98.0% |
193.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.1% |
Lydia Becker |
98.0% |
195.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
2.6% |
Eavan Daly |
98.0% |
197.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.8% |
Amber Johnson |
98.0% |
206.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Whitney Anderson |
100% |
1.9 |
19.9 |
32.8 |
22.3 |
13.6 |
7.4 |
3.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Meredith Isley |
100% |
19.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
Ena Gilliana |
100% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
Ani Gilliana |
100% |
50.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Lydia Becker |
100% |
52.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Eavan Daly |
100% |
53.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Amber Johnson |
100% |
60.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Whitney Anderson |
1.0 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Meredith Isley |
4.2 |
|
16.9 |
16.5 |
14.1 |
15.0 |
15.3 |
12.8 |
6.4 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ena Gilliana |
8.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
11.0 |
20.1 |
21.1 |
13.0 |
8.5 |
4.9 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
Ani Gilliana |
13.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
4.3 |
7.6 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
11.3 |
10.1 |
9.8 |
7.9 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
Lydia Becker |
13.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
3.4 |
6.0 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
11.5 |
10.7 |
9.2 |
8.7 |
7.2 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
Eavan Daly |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
Amber Johnson |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
8.9 |
9.9 |
9.4 |
8.1 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
|