Winchester
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank Not in top 175
New Haven Regional Rank #44
Delta Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Winchester Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/24 8/28 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/18 9/21 10/1 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,695
Team Adjusted Rating 1,735 1,897 1,738 1,672 1,675 1,547 1,746 1,642 1,551 1,751 1,736
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Taylor University Opener Arabian Roundup Wapahani Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Randolph Southern Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Winchester Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
973  Erica Grubbs 12 22:42 22:23 23:57 25:08 23:01 22:35 22:11 21:23 24:09 22:01 21:47 22:49 22:56 22:59
Ellie Rose 11 24:08 24:48 23:59 24:18 24:25 24:18 24:07 23:28 23:35 23:56 24:01 24:54 23:48
Aubrey Simmons 11 26:24 28:33 26:02 28:20 25:31 26:20 27:30 25:33 26:21 26:40 25:01 27:25 28:09
Kendall Patterson 9 27:00 26:34 27:06 27:57 26:06 27:12
Jordan Feltis 9 29:07 28:56 30:25 29:35 28:27 29:19 28:41 29:01 29:04
Sophia Rogers 12 29:18 30:24 30:22 29:25 30:32 29:59 30:29 31:13 28:45 29:49 28:48
Emma Duncan 10 29:26 30:00 30:00 30:36 28:57 29:32 30:15 32:04 28:42 27:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 12.0 290 0.0 0.6 99.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erica Grubbs 98.8% 147.6 97.3% 43.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erica Grubbs 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.8 5.7