All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
Team Rating |
222 | |
258 |
200 |
203 |
197 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
258 |
200 |
203 |
197 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
41 |
Kathryn Green |
11 |
19:10 |
19:05 |
19:33 |
19:06 |
19:05 |
18:58 |
57 |
Letty Banwart |
9 |
19:20 |
|
19:24 |
19:13 |
19:35 |
19:03 |
69 |
Katherine Bowen |
12 |
19:28 |
20:04 |
19:45 |
19:18 |
19:12 |
19:23 |
120 |
Cailyn Murphy |
11 |
19:52 |
19:44 |
20:12 |
19:55 |
19:47 |
19:39 |
148 |
Allison Bruggers |
10 |
20:08 |
20:46 |
19:59 |
19:56 |
20:05 |
20:10 |
152 |
Megan Race |
10 |
20:11 |
20:19 |
20:24 |
19:53 |
19:47 |
20:21 |
258 |
Sara Bostwick |
11 |
20:40 |
20:24 |
20:33 |
20:34 |
20:52 |
20:45 |
259 |
Marlee Phillips |
11 |
20:40 |
21:02 |
20:36 |
20:50 |
|
20:19 |
260 |
Addisyn Hoffman |
10 |
20:41 |
20:27 |
20:28 |
20:39 |
21:00 |
|
292 |
Madeline Bruns |
11 |
20:49 |
21:00 |
20:33 |
20:00 |
21:26 |
20:51 |
357 |
Maryn Carter |
9 |
21:05 |
|
21:05 |
20:39 |
20:59 |
21:28 |
377 |
Jane Porzel |
10 |
21:12 |
21:27 |
21:20 |
21:08 |
|
20:50 |
389 |
Abigail McClure |
11 |
21:15 |
|
20:55 |
21:49 |
|
21:05 |
429 |
Kora Schuitman |
9 |
21:23 |
|
21:23 |
21:40 |
|
20:59 |
452 |
Delaney Schmidt |
10 |
21:26 |
20:30 |
|
23:55 |
|
21:40 |
484 |
Clara Carlson |
10 |
21:31 |
21:37 |
21:19 |
21:23 |
|
21:39 |
541 |
Alyssa Mayrose |
10 |
21:40 |
|
21:28 |
21:49 |
|
|
674 |
Maria Vazquez |
11 |
22:02 |
22:35 |
22:03 |
21:08 |
|
22:12 |
675 |
Emersyn Billings |
9 |
22:02 |
|
22:10 |
|
|
21:51 |
799 |
Mikaela Hoone |
9 |
22:23 |
|
21:46 |
22:43 |
|
22:28 |
803 |
Avery Hughes |
9 |
22:24 |
|
22:26 |
22:26 |
|
22:12 |
823 |
Sophia Koons |
9 |
22:28 |
|
22:51 |
22:13 |
|
22:21 |
876 |
Claire Niziolek |
9 |
22:36 |
|
22:30 |
|
|
22:39 |
888 |
Delaney Towns |
9 |
22:37 |
|
22:36 |
22:36 |
|
24:08 |
896 |
Lucy Bostian |
10 |
22:38 |
21:30 |
|
22:54 |
|
|
921 |
Abigail Altman |
12 |
22:42 |
22:40 |
|
22:12 |
|
22:59 |
989 |
Alexsandra Dehart |
11 |
22:52 |
23:36 |
22:32 |
|
|
|
1,040 |
Alexandra Gallagher |
12 |
22:59 |
22:53 |
22:58 |
22:52 |
|
23:10 |
1,108 |
Johana Coons |
12 |
23:10 |
22:29 |
23:23 |
23:09 |
|
23:10 |
1,158 |
Kaitlyn Hopkins |
9 |
23:15 |
|
22:53 |
23:09 |
|
23:48 |
1,181 |
Carolyn Williams |
12 |
23:19 |
22:21 |
23:46 |
23:12 |
|
23:19 |
|
Olivia van Gelder |
9 |
23:32 |
|
|
23:31 |
|
23:29 |
|
Arleen Reynolds |
10 |
24:13 |
22:25 |
|
24:37 |
|
24:12 |
|
Liora DeVelvis |
10 |
24:20 |
|
24:55 |
23:16 |
|
24:27 |
|
Bethany Michael |
11 |
24:27 |
24:23 |
24:45 |
24:23 |
|
24:06 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
98.9% |
8.5 |
270 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
6.3 |
9.9 |
12.8 |
15.2 |
13.5 |
11.8 |
8.2 |
4.9 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
3.5 |
102 |
0.4 |
13.7 |
34.2 |
39.8 |
10.8 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
65 |
0.5 |
43.0 |
39.7 |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Kathryn Green |
100% |
44.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Letty Banwart |
100% |
58.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Katherine Bowen |
100% |
72.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Cailyn Murphy |
99.8% |
115.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.9% |
98.9% |
Allison Bruggers |
99.2% |
142.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.5% |
89.5% |
Megan Race |
99.2% |
149.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.5% |
85.1% |
Sara Bostwick |
98.9% |
195.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
21.2% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Kathryn Green |
100% |
10.6 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
9.4 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
Letty Banwart |
100% |
14.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
Katherine Bowen |
100% |
17.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
4.9 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
|
100.0% |
Allison Bruggers |
100% |
32.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
Megan Race |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
Sara Bostwick |
100% |
49.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Kathryn Green |
7.1 |
|
1.7 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
9.7 |
11.9 |
13.5 |
12.4 |
11.3 |
9.2 |
7.1 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Letty Banwart |
9.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
5.4 |
8.4 |
10.0 |
11.2 |
13.1 |
12.3 |
12.0 |
9.0 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Katherine Bowen |
11.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
7.5 |
9.3 |
11.7 |
13.8 |
13.7 |
11.9 |
8.1 |
5.9 |
3.1 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Cailyn Murphy |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
5.1 |
8.1 |
11.2 |
13.0 |
17.1 |
15.4 |
11.1 |
6.9 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
Allison Bruggers |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
7.2 |
11.8 |
16.4 |
16.9 |
13.8 |
11.5 |
6.3 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
Megan Race |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
9.1 |
13.8 |
16.9 |
16.1 |
13.3 |
8.5 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
Sara Bostwick |
25.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
5.4 |
11.0 |
12.7 |
14.3 |
|