Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#61
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#40
Pace65.0#276
Improvement-5.0#327

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#93
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#10
Layup/Dunks+0.3#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#311
Freethrows+1.5#73
Improvement-3.3#323

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#41
First Shot+3.5#71
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#34
Layups/Dunks+1.5#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#134
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement-1.6#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 69.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 69.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four15.5% n/a n/a
First Round61.4% n/a n/a
Second Round19.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 26 - 17 - 6
Quad 34 - 111 - 7
Quad 42 - 013 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 201   Evansville W 79-44 90%     1 - 0 +30.2 +8.1 +25.5
  Nov 27, 2020 50   Seton Hall W 71-70 52%     2 - 0 +9.6 +1.1 +8.4
  Nov 29, 2020 248   Prairie View W 86-64 93%     3 - 0 +14.5 +24.9 -7.4
  Dec 01, 2020 88   Western Kentucky W 75-54 68%     4 - 0 +25.4 +5.6 +19.9
  Dec 19, 2020 18   @ Wisconsin L 48-85 24%     4 - 1 -20.4 -12.2 -11.1
  Dec 22, 2020 86   @ Pittsburgh W 64-54 52%     5 - 1 1 - 0 +18.6 +0.3 +19.2
  Dec 26, 2020 46   Kentucky W 62-59 51%     6 - 1 +11.8 +0.4 +11.7
  Jan 02, 2021 147   @ Boston College W 76-64 73%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +14.8 +2.8 +11.9
  Jan 06, 2021 49   Virginia Tech W 73-71 52%     8 - 1 3 - 0 +10.6 +7.3 +3.3
  Jan 13, 2021 148   @ Wake Forest W 77-65 73%     9 - 1 4 - 0 +14.8 +8.5 +6.8
  Jan 16, 2021 121   @ Miami (FL) L 72-78 65%     9 - 2 4 - 1 -0.9 +4.1 -5.2
  Jan 18, 2021 13   Florida St. L 65-78 35%     9 - 3 4 - 2 +0.1 +0.2 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2021 35   Duke W 70-65 45%     10 - 3 5 - 2 +15.4 +3.6 +12.0
  Jan 27, 2021 45   @ Clemson L 50-54 37%     10 - 4 5 - 3 +8.6 -8.7 +16.9
  Feb 01, 2021 31   Georgia Tech W 74-58 43%     11 - 4 6 - 3 +26.9 +7.1 +20.2
  Feb 20, 2021 19   @ North Carolina L 54-99 24%     11 - 5 6 - 4 -28.5 -11.3 -15.6
  Feb 23, 2021 84   Notre Dame W 69-57 65%     12 - 5 7 - 4 +17.2 -0.4 +18.5
  Feb 27, 2021 35   @ Duke W 80-73 OT 31%     13 - 5 8 - 4 +21.2 +7.2 +13.6
  Mar 06, 2021 16   Virginia L 58-68 36%     13 - 6 8 - 5 +2.8 +5.2 -5.0
  Mar 10, 2021 35   Duke L 56-70 38%     13 - 7 -1.7 -8.3 +5.4
Projected Record 13 - 7 8 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-13 1-12 2-11 3-10 4-9 5-8 6-7 7-6 8-5 9-4 10-3 11-2 12-1 13-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
13-0
12-1
11-2
10-3
9-4
8-5 0.0%
7-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
13-0
12-1
11-2
10-3
9-4
8-5 100.0% 69.7% 69.7% 10.6 0.1 3.1 24.5 37.9 4.1 0.0 30.3 69.7%
7-6
6-7
5-8
4-9
3-10
2-11
1-12
0-13
Total 100% 69.7% 0.0% 69.7% 10.6 0.1 3.1 24.5 37.9 4.1 0.0 30.3 69.7%