Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#275
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#287
Pace67.2#221
Improvement-1.0#218

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#309
First Shot-7.9#331
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#102
Layup/Dunks-3.1#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#338
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement-1.1#242

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#197
First Shot-0.3#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#225
Layups/Dunks-2.0#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 31 - 81 - 15
Quad 43 - 24 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 13, 2020 186   @ Rice W 72-61 23%     1 - 0 +11.2 -0.8 +12.3
  Dec 21, 2020 62   @ Boise St. L 53-77 5%     1 - 1 0 - 1 -13.0 -11.4 -3.0
  Dec 23, 2020 62   @ Boise St. L 52-89 5%     1 - 2 0 - 2 -26.0 -15.8 -9.8
  Dec 31, 2020 87   Nevada L 54-68 10%     1 - 3 0 - 3 -7.4 -19.1 +12.2
  Jan 02, 2021 87   Nevada L 74-84 10%     1 - 4 0 - 4 -3.4 +10.9 -15.4
  Jan 06, 2021 41   Utah St. L 45-77 5%     1 - 5 0 - 5 -20.8 -19.9 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2021 41   Utah St. L 46-82 5%     1 - 6 0 - 6 -24.8 -18.4 -6.2
  Jan 13, 2021 325   @ Dixie St. W 72-63 60%     2 - 6 -1.2 -0.5 -0.3
  Jan 14, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 60-70 15%    
  Jan 16, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 54-77 18%     2 - 7 0 - 7 -20.9 -14.7 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2021 166   @ UNLV L 46-53 18%     2 - 8 0 - 8 -4.9 -22.4 +16.8
  Jan 21, 2021 320   San Jose St. W 67-51 66%     3 - 8 1 - 8 +4.2 -9.1 +14.2
  Jan 23, 2021 320   San Jose St. L 71-83 66%     3 - 9 1 - 9 -23.8 -6.0 -18.4
  Jan 28, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. L 62-64 OT 20%     3 - 10 1 - 10 -0.9 -13.0 +12.2
  Jan 30, 2021 182   @ Fresno St. L 55-65 20%     3 - 11 1 - 11 -8.9 -13.3 +3.8
  Feb 17, 2021 149   Wyoming L 74-83 OT 21%     3 - 12 1 - 12 -8.1 -7.0 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2021 149   Wyoming L 67-79 21%     3 - 13 1 - 13 -11.1 -12.8 +2.3
  Feb 22, 2021 310   @ Air Force W 73-65 52%     4 - 13 2 - 13 -0.1 -0.3 +0.7
  Feb 24, 2021 310   @ Air Force L 55-62 52%     4 - 14 2 - 14 -15.1 -20.4 +5.0
  Mar 03, 2021 66   @ Colorado St. L 73-87 6%     4 - 15 2 - 15 -3.6 +5.3 -8.9
  Mar 10, 2021 182   Fresno St. L 77-85 26%     4 - 16 -8.8 -5.8 -2.0
Projected Record 4 - 17 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 15.3 15.3 9th
10th 10th
11th 84.7 84.7 11th
Total 84.7 15.3 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 15.3% 15.3
2-16 84.7% 84.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 15.3%
Lose Out 84.7%