Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#165
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#141
Pace66.4#245
Improvement-3.6#307

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#204
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#87
Layup/Dunks-1.3#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#254
Freethrows+0.0#172
Improvement-0.7#212

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#135
First Shot+1.6#115
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#199
Layups/Dunks-0.4#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement-2.9#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 35 - 26 - 11
Quad 42 - 28 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 106   Rhode Island L 68-84 33%     0 - 1 -11.3 -3.8 -7.0
  Nov 29, 2020 49   Virginia Tech L 58-76 17%     0 - 2 -7.5 -5.2 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2020 279   Florida Gulf Coast W 76-57 82%     1 - 2 +9.4 +4.3 +5.6
  Dec 08, 2020 245   Stetson W 73-62 76%     2 - 2 +3.8 -5.0 +8.9
  Dec 12, 2020 127   Wofford W 58-56 40%     3 - 2 +4.7 -15.4 +20.0
  Dec 16, 2020 110   @ Cincinnati W 74-71 28%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +9.3 +6.8 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2020 67   Wichita St. L 77-82 OT 27%     4 - 3 1 - 1 +1.4 -4.9 +7.0
  Dec 29, 2020 32   @ Memphis L 57-58 10%     4 - 4 1 - 2 +13.4 -0.1 +13.4
  Jan 02, 2021 99   Central Florida W 68-61 38%     5 - 4 2 - 2 +10.4 +0.3 +10.4
  Jan 06, 2021 117   Tulsa L 51-61 45%     5 - 5 2 - 3 -8.5 -15.6 +6.2
  Jan 09, 2021 170   @ East Carolina W 69-63 44%     6 - 5 3 - 3 +7.8 -0.9 +8.7
  Feb 10, 2021 6   Houston L 65-82 7%     6 - 6 3 - 4 +0.1 +3.8 -5.0
  Feb 14, 2021 143   Tulane L 59-62 54%     6 - 7 3 - 5 -3.8 -6.5 +2.4
  Feb 17, 2021 99   @ Central Florida L 65-81 25%     6 - 8 3 - 6 -8.8 -1.4 -8.2
  Feb 21, 2021 134   @ Temple W 83-76 36%     7 - 8 4 - 6 +11.0 +11.5 -0.7
  Feb 24, 2021 134   Temple L 47-65 50%     7 - 9 4 - 7 -17.8 -17.6 -2.9
  Feb 28, 2021 6   @ Houston L 52-98 4%     7 - 10 4 - 8 -25.1 -5.2 -26.3
  Mar 02, 2021 32   Memphis L 52-73 16%     7 - 11 4 - 9 -10.4 -12.6 +2.9
  Mar 06, 2021 67   @ Wichita St. L 63-80 17%     7 - 12 4 - 10 -6.8 -4.0 -3.3
  Mar 11, 2021 134   Temple W 73-71 43%     8 - 12 +4.1 -1.5 +5.5
  Mar 12, 2021 67   Wichita St. L 67-68 22%     8 - 13 +7.3 +4.2 +3.0
Projected Record 8 - 13 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 100.0% 100.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%