Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#145
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Pace71.6#116
Improvement+3.5#40

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#143
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#69
Layup/Dunks+8.5#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#347
Freethrows+1.8#54
Improvement+0.8#127

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#174
First Shot+1.0#129
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#263
Layups/Dunks+1.6#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#44
Freethrows-3.8#343
Improvement+2.7#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 11 - 3
Quad 412 - 213 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 332   McNeese St. W 86-76 93%     1 - 0 1 - 0 -5.2 -5.1 -1.2
  Dec 09, 2020 3   @ Baylor L 52-83 4%     1 - 1 -9.0 -19.9 +14.2
  Dec 12, 2020 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 55-66 74%     1 - 2 -16.8 -13.9 -3.8
  Jan 02, 2021 281   New Orleans W 78-67 84%     2 - 2 2 - 0 +1.3 -3.9 +4.7
  Jan 13, 2021 327   Central Arkansas W 95-69 92%     3 - 2 3 - 0 +11.4 +9.1 +1.5
  Jan 16, 2021 336   @ Incarnate Word W 83-65 89%     4 - 2 4 - 0 +5.8 +1.7 +3.7
  Jan 20, 2021 314   Northwestern St. W 86-74 89%     5 - 2 5 - 0 -0.5 +4.4 -5.2
  Jan 23, 2021 306   Lamar W 102-72 87%     6 - 2 6 - 0 +18.8 +19.2 -2.4
  Jan 27, 2021 100   @ Abilene Christian L 62-82 28%     6 - 3 6 - 1 -12.8 -8.9 -2.7
  Jan 31, 2021 180   Sam Houston St. W 78-68 64%     7 - 3 7 - 1 +7.4 +8.6 -0.7
  Feb 03, 2021 335   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84-75 88%     8 - 3 8 - 1 -2.8 +4.0 -7.1
  Feb 10, 2021 335   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-68 93%     9 - 3 9 - 1 -3.6 +0.9 -4.5
  Feb 15, 2021 281   @ New Orleans W 89-79 75%     10 - 3 10 - 1 +4.1 +10.4 -6.6
  Feb 24, 2021 314   @ Northwestern St. W 83-57 82%     11 - 3 11 - 1 +17.3 +3.5 +13.2
  Feb 27, 2021 306   @ Lamar L 83-88 2OT 79%     11 - 4 11 - 2 -12.5 -6.2 -5.4
  Mar 01, 2021 327   @ Central Arkansas W 79-66 86%     12 - 4 12 - 2 +2.2 +0.7 +1.9
  Mar 03, 2021 100   Abilene Christian L 61-63 41%     12 - 5 12 - 3 +1.4 -9.0 +10.4
  Mar 06, 2021 180   @ Sam Houston St. W 64-59 49%     13 - 5 13 - 3 +6.2 -11.6 +17.5
Projected Record 13 - 5 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%