Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#59
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#58
Pace70.0#152
Improvement-5.3#330

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#44
First Shot+6.2#35
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#198
Layup/Dunks+5.6#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#93
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-2.5#298

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#75
First Shot+2.4#95
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#79
Layups/Dunks+0.0#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows+1.5#76
Improvement-2.8#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four14.4% n/a n/a
First Round7.6% n/a n/a
Second Round2.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 25 - 36 - 7
Quad 34 - 110 - 8
Quad 43 - 013 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 223   Oakland W 101-49 92%     1 - 0 +45.9 +13.9 +27.6
  Nov 26, 2020 150   Bradley W 51-50 83%     2 - 0 +0.0 -13.8 +14.0
  Nov 27, 2020 75   Toledo W 76-73 63%     3 - 0 +8.9 -0.4 +9.2
  Nov 30, 2020 173   Eastern Kentucky W 99-96 OT 86%     4 - 0 +0.9 +2.2 -2.0
  Dec 02, 2020 307   Tennessee Tech W 79-48 96%     5 - 0 +19.7 +6.1 +16.0
  Dec 06, 2020 110   @ Cincinnati W 77-69 62%     6 - 0 +14.3 +6.4 +7.6
  Dec 09, 2020 38   Oklahoma W 99-77 48%     7 - 0 +32.0 +32.5 -0.1
  Dec 20, 2020 69   Marquette W 91-88 62%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +9.4 +23.3 -13.9
  Dec 23, 2020 11   @ Creighton L 61-66 23%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +12.1 -8.9 +21.4
  Dec 30, 2020 50   Seton Hall L 68-85 53%     8 - 2 1 - 2 -8.4 +0.8 -9.6
  Jan 06, 2021 58   St. John's W 69-61 57%     9 - 2 2 - 2 +15.6 -12.2 +26.6
  Jan 10, 2021 64   Providence W 74-73 59%     10 - 2 3 - 2 +7.9 +7.1 +0.9
  Jan 30, 2021 95   @ Butler W 68-55 58%     11 - 2 4 - 2 +20.3 +6.5 +15.0
  Feb 13, 2021 10   Connecticut L 72-80 34%     11 - 3 4 - 3 +5.6 +5.5 +0.0
  Feb 16, 2021 58   @ St. John's L 84-93 42%     11 - 4 4 - 4 +2.4 +7.5 -4.3
  Feb 21, 2021 95   Butler W 63-51 71%     12 - 4 5 - 4 +15.5 -1.0 +17.6
  Feb 24, 2021 64   @ Providence L 68-83 45%     12 - 5 5 - 5 -4.3 +1.5 -5.8
  Feb 27, 2021 11   Creighton W 77-69 35%     13 - 5 6 - 5 +21.3 +10.5 +11.0
  Mar 02, 2021 47   @ Georgetown L 66-72 38%     13 - 6 6 - 6 +6.6 +0.6 +5.9
  Mar 06, 2021 69   @ Marquette L 59-66 47%     13 - 7 6 - 7 +3.2 -3.8 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2021 95   Butler L 69-70 OT 65%     13 - 8 +4.4 +11.0 -6.7
Projected Record 13 - 8 6 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big East Finish

0-13 1-12 2-11 3-10 4-9 5-8 6-7 7-6 8-5 9-4 10-3 11-2 12-1 13-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
13-0
12-1
11-2
10-3
9-4
8-5
7-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
13-0
12-1
11-2
10-3
9-4
8-5
7-6
6-7 100.0% 15.1% 15.1% 11.8 0.1 3.2 11.1 0.7 84.9 15.1%
5-8
4-9
3-10
2-11
1-12
0-13
Total 100% 15.1% 0.0% 15.1% 11.8 0.1 3.2 11.1 0.7 84.9 15.1%