Preseason Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#223
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.7#96
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#284
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 12.2% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 48.0% 69.4% 35.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 20.9% 3.8%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 5.9% 23.1%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round7.5% 12.0% 4.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 31 - 4
Quad 44 - 26 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 213   @ Navy L 63-66 38%    
  Jan 03, 2021 213   Navy W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 09, 2021 220   Lafayette W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 10, 2021 220   @ Lafayette L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 23, 2021 139   @ Colgate L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 24, 2021 139   @ Colgate L 69-78 24%    
  Feb 06, 2021 274   @ Loyola Maryland L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 07, 2021 274   Loyola Maryland W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 20, 2021 220   @ Lafayette L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 21, 2021 220   Lafayette W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 5 - 5 5 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.4 0.2 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.7 3.0 0.4 8.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.6 1.0 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.8 6.2 1.7 0.1 15.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.0 6.5 2.0 0.2 17.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.1 6.1 2.3 0.2 17.8 8th
9th 0.4 2.8 5.6 4.8 1.7 0.2 15.4 9th
10th 1.7 3.1 2.1 0.7 0.1 7.7 10th
Total 2.1 6.3 10.6 14.0 15.9 16.1 13.8 10.9 6.6 2.9 0.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 32.7% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.8% 43.8% 41.5% 2.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 4.0%
9-7 2.9% 35.3% 35.3% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.8 0.1%
8-8 6.6% 25.7% 25.7% 13.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.9
7-9 10.9% 14.7% 14.7% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 9.3
6-10 13.8% 10.7% 10.7% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 12.4
5-11 16.1% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 15.1
4-12 15.9% 2.6% 2.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 15.4
3-13 14.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.8
2-14 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.5
1-15 6.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
0-16 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.3 2.5 1.1 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 11.5 2.7 2.7 11.9 9.3 7.2 34.3 24.2 7.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 10.3% 12.6 4.6 5.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.4%