Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -10.9 337
INCC Stats Results Rating -8.4 312
Consistency 0.13 61
Pace 79.1 8
Improvement -2.2 282

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 310 D- C- C- D- C
Defense D- 337 D D+ D+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 274 D- 50% 344 -4.4 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 201 D+ 33% 292 -1.4 266
Three Pointers 44% 65 D 31% 311 +0.7 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 179 F+ -5.2 347
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 334
Second Chance C- 27.0% 221 C- 0.98 238 C- 0.27 219
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.2% 294
Other Turnovers C+ 8.6% 147
Turnovers C- 18.7% 238
Freethrows F+ 0.22 352 B- 75% 79 D- 0.16 333
Total Offense D -4.9 310

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 35% 337 D+ 12.5% 299
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 100 C- 5.7% 237
Three Pointers D+ 78% 272 C 0.9% 212
Total D+ 50% 272 C- 5.9% 238


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 98 D- 64% 335 +4.4 333
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 317 C- 38% 236 -1.3 83
Three Pointers 40% 150 C- 35% 236 +1.2 235
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 318 D +3.4 320
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 327
Second Chance D 30.9% 293 C- 1.03 211 D+ 0.32 282
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 223
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 290
Turnovers D+ 16.6% 272
Freethrows C 0.28 183 C- 72% 205 C 0.20 190
Total Defense D- -6.0 337

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 168 D+ 8.3% 254
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 13% 5 C 5.3% 135
Three Pointers A- 73% 25 D+ 0.4% 265
Total B- 50% 89 C- 4.6% 235

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 22 16.7 62
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 248 0.21 330
Consistency 0.11 97 0.12 142
Improvement -1.1 250 -1.2 255



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 7 99 Wichita St. L 55 - 79 5% -17  0% 0 - 1 F -16 F -19 F C C- B+ +5 A- F+ D-
Mon, Nov 14 326 Arkansas Little Rock W 82 - 71 56% +8  98% 1 - 1 C- -1 F -12 F C- F A +10 B+ C B+
Fri, Nov 18 255 Niagara L 64 - 73 28% -6  4% 1 - 2 F+ -14 F -11 F B+ C- C- -3 F+ C D-
Sat, Nov 19 210 Rider W 90 - 85 20% +2  68% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B- +4 A+ D+ F+ C- -2 D- C+ A+
Sat, Nov 26 224 Northwestern St. L 66 - 74 OT 31% -2  22% 2 - 3 F+ -14 F -20 F B+ C A- +7 A+ D- F
Sun, Nov 27 246 Idaho St. W 81 - 77 37% +3  63% 3 - 3 C- -4 C- -1 B+ D- B- C- -3 D- C+ D-
Wed, Nov 30 252 Loyola Chicago L 70 - 85 20% -9  0% 3 - 4 F -17 D+ -3 A F C- F -15 F F F
Tue, Dec 6 280 Arkansas St. W 72 - 67 44% -4  18% 4 - 4 D+ -4 D -5 C- D+ C- C+ +1 D- B+ D
Sat, Dec 10 72 Oral Roberts L 78 - 111 3% -18  1% 4 - 5 F -22 F+ -7 F A- D+ F -9 F B- B+
Sat, Dec 17 56 Oklahoma L 66 - 87 3% -16  0% 4 - 6 D -9 C- -2 A+ F D F+ -8 F B- C-
Tue, Dec 20 326 Arkansas Little Rock L 66 - 75 33% -2  33% 4 - 7 F -15 F -17 F F B C+ +1 B- C- D+
Wed, Dec 28 22 TCU L 57 - 103 2% -22  1% 4 - 8 F -30 F -15 F C+ C- F -10 D- C- F
Sat, Dec 31 123 Kennesaw St. L 66 - 82 7% -9  3% 4 - 9 0 - 1 D- -10 F -12 F A- F B +4 B F D
Mon, Jan 2 194 Florida Gulf Coast L 79 - 84 OT 26% -1  19% 4 - 10 0 - 2 D -9 F -13 D C- D+ B +4 C+ C+ C+
Thu, Jan 5 149 Eastern Kentucky L 75 - 77 20% -8  5% 4 - 11 0 - 3 C- -4 D- -7 A F D- B- +3 F C- A+
Sat, Jan 7 327 Austin Peay L 62 - 86 34% -12  8% 4 - 12 0 - 4 F -30 F -11 D- F F F -21 F F D-
Thu, Jan 12 204 Queens W 92 - 91 13% +2  67% 5 - 12 1 - 4 C+ +2 B- +4 C+ B- C C- -2 D C D+
Sat, Jan 14 55 Liberty L 62 - 82 3% -12  0% 5 - 13 1 - 5 D -8 D -5 D+ B+ F+ D+ -4 D+ D+ F+
Wed, Jan 18 259 North Alabama L 73 - 78 39% +2  71% 5 - 14 1 - 6 F+ -13 F -11 F+ F A- C- -2 C- F+ C+
Sat, Jan 21 259 North Alabama L 66 - 82 20% -6  6% 5 - 15 1 - 7 F -18 F -12 F C+ B D -6 F A+ B-
Thu, Jan 26 230 North Florida W 88 - 85 OT 33% -4  23% 6 - 15 2 - 7 C- -3 F -9 F A B B+ +5 A- F A-
Sat, Jan 28 236 Jacksonville L 64 - 74 34% -6  2% 6 - 16 2 - 8 F -17 F -9 D+ F B F+ -9 F A F
Thu, Feb 2 194 Florida Gulf Coast W 91 - 87 12% -3  31% 7 - 16 3 - 8 B- +6 A +12 A+ C A- D- -7 D+ F+ F
Sat, Feb 4 177 Stetson L 80 - 99 11% -13  2% 7 - 17 3 - 9 F -16 C -0 C D- A+ F -16 F F B-
Thu, Feb 9 152 Lipscomb L 81 - 93 21% -1  52% 7 - 18 3 - 10 F+ -14 D+ -2 F A- A+ F -11 F D F
Sat, Feb 11 327 Austin Peay W 76 - 69 56% +7  79% 8 - 18 4 - 10 D+ -5 C- -0 D B A+ D -5 A- F C+
Thu, Feb 16 149 Eastern Kentucky L 58 - 74 9% -9  0% 8 - 19 4 - 11 D- -12 F -22 F C+ F A+ +11 A- F B-
Sun, Feb 19 257 Bellarmine L 67 - 68 20% -0  36% 8 - 20 4 - 12 C- -3 F -9 D- A+ F B+ +6 D+ A D-
Wed, Feb 22 228 Jacksonville St. L 71 - 101 33% -14  0% 8 - 21 4 - 13 F -36 F -14 F+ D D+ F -20 F C+ F
Fri, Feb 24 123 Kennesaw St. L 56 - 72 15% -9  3% 8 - 22 4 - 14 F -16 F -18 F C B C+ +1 C+ C- D
Totals 8 - 22 4 - 14 -11 D -5 C F+ C D- -6 D B- D-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D+ D F+ 34% 41% 44% C D- C- C- C- C- F+ B- D- D- D- C- C- D 40% 20% 40% D D D C- D+ D+ C C- C
1.02 50% 33% 31% -5 0 0.90 27% 1.0 .27 19% .22 75% .16 1.17 64% 38% 35% +3 +1 1.09 31% 1.0 .32 17% .28 72% .16
Nov
7		 Wich St. F D D- F F 34% 24% 41% C+ F B- D C C- F B+ F+ B+ C- B A+ A- 38% 27% 36% B A- C- F F+ D- F B- F
0.73 50% 29% 13% -18 0 0.64 31% 0.8 .25 19% .15 78% .11 1.05 62% 33% 25% -4 0 0.91 30% 1.3 .38 13% .38 68% .26
Nov
14		 Little Rock F D- F B- F 56% 10% 34% A F A- F C- F F A+ F+ A A D+ A+ B+ 32% 39% 29% C B+ F+ A C B+ D- A D+
1.02 53% 0% 38% -4 +3 0.98 39% 0.8 .32 25% .20 83% .17 0.89 44% 41% 25% -6 -3 0.82 33% 1.0 .33 21% .32 65% .21
Nov
18		 Niagara F F C F F 40% 25% 35% B- F B+ C+ B+ C- D D D C- F F A+ D 56% 21% 23% F F+ B- F+ C D- F B- F+
0.95 33% 38% 28% -13 0 0.75 34% 1.0 .34 18% .29 69% .20 1.08 74% 50% 9% +3 +2 1.10 22% 1.2 .26 16% .32 72% .23
Nov
19		 Rider B- A+ C+ A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% C- A+ C D D+ F+ A+ A A+ C- F F A+ F+ 31% 37% 31% B- D- F A+ C+ A+ F F F
1.18 71% 38% 48% +15 +1 1.31 28% 1.0 .28 20% .52 72% .37 1.11 75% 47% 25% +5 -2 1.06 42% 0.8 .32 25% .43 88% .38
Nov
26		 NW St. F F F F F 56% 10% 34% A+ F C+ A- B+ C F F F A- A+ A+ C+ A+ 32% 33% 35% C+ A+ D D- D- F F A F
0.85 42% 0% 20% -19 +3 0.68 35% 1.1 .39 21% .21 62% .13 0.95 32% 25% 33% -12 -2 0.72 34% 1.2 .40 10% .36 60% .22
Nov
27		 Idaho St. C- C A+ A- B 40% 18% 42% B+ B+ B+ F D- B- F F F C- A+ F D D- 39% 21% 39% D D- C+ C- C+ D- C+ A B
1.12 60% 45% 38% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.6 .21 15% .08 60% .05 1.07 41% 83% 36% +5 +1 1.11 24% 0.9 .21 15% .23 64% .15
Nov
30		 Loyola Chi D+ F+ F A+ A 29% 15% 56% B A C- F F C- F F+ F F F A+ F F 42% 16% 42% D F D+ F F F D+ D- D
1.06 50% 29% 48% +9 +1 1.19 26% 0.6 .14 18% .24 69% .17 1.29 71% 25% 52% +15 +1 1.34 27% 1.3 .35 17% .31 76% .24
Dec
6		 Ark St. D B- A+ F D+ 41% 12% 47% B+ C- C+ F D+ C- B- A+ A C+ F A+ A+ D+ 51% 16% 33% F D- D+ A+ B+ D B A+ A+
1.08 60% 67% 26% -1 +2 1.02 28% 0.8 .22 18% .35 89% .31 1.00 79% 22% 17% 0 +2 1.04 30% 0.6 .19 15% .25 36% .09
Dec
10		 Oral Roberts F+ F D- D- F 28% 26% 46% C- F C A+ A- D+ F A+ D F B- F F F 42% 15% 43% D- F B- B- B- B+ F+ F F
0.93 44% 29% 30% -8 -1 0.82 28% 1.4 .38 19% .10 100% .10 1.32 56% 67% 62% +22 +2 1.47 22% 1.0 .22 19% .31 90% .28
Dec
17		 Oklahoma C- A+ A+ B- A+ 23% 17% 60% C+ A+ F F F D F A+ F F+ F F F F 57% 11% 32% F F A+ F B- C- A B- A
0.96 75% 56% 34% +7 0 1.15 10% 0.0 .00 19% .11 83% .09 1.26 70% 67% 47% +17 +3 1.40 9% 2.5 .23 16% .19 73% .14
Dec
20		 Little Rock F F C- F+ F 39% 20% 41% D+ F F F F B D A C C+ D+ A B B 23% 33% 44% C- B- F A+ C- D+ F F+ F
0.92 43% 36% 32% -7 +1 0.87 23% 0.7 .15 17% .28 76% .22 1.05 58% 29% 30% -5 -2 0.87 36% 0.9 .33 17% .40 79% .32
Dec
28		 TCU F F F F F 27% 29% 44% D- F B D+ C+ C- C F D F F F+ A+ D 50% 11% 39% F D- F+ A- C- F F+ F F
0.73 40% 19% 25% -16 -1 0.65 32% 0.9 .28 23% .27 56% .15 1.32 81% 43% 21% +5 +3 1.15 39% 1.0 .39 9% .35 80% .28
Dec
31		 Kennesaw St. F A F F F 23% 30% 47% F+ F A+ D+ A- F D A+ C+ B C F A+ A- 45% 11% 44% F B B- F F D D- B- D+
0.85 69% 24% 19% -12 -2 0.72 37% 0.9 .35 27% .30 82% .25 1.05 56% 50% 25% -5 +2 0.95 25% 1.6 .40 17% .37 63% .23
Jan
2		 FGCU F F A+ C D- 36% 19% 46% C+ D D- A C- D+ B F C- B C+ A+ B- B+ 46% 3% 51% F C+ B D C+ C+ F A+ D+
0.93 38% 55% 33% -4 +1 0.93 23% 1.2 .27 19% .30 57% .17 0.99 54% 0% 32% -4 +4 0.98 23% 1.1 .25 19% .33 61% .20
Jan
5		 E. Kentucky D- C B A+ A+ 33% 31% 36% D- A C- F F D- F F F B- F C F F 22% 55% 24% A+ F F A C- A+ A- A+ A+
1.00 58% 39% 48% +8 -1 1.14 29% 0.5 .16 21% .14 38% .05 1.03 67% 37% 54% +9 -5 1.07 43% 0.9 .38 24% .16 44% .07
Jan
7		 Austin Peay F C+ A+ F D+ 33% 36% 31% F D- F F F F A+ A+ A+ F F C- F F 38% 23% 40% D- F F F+ F D- D- F F
0.95 64% 47% 23% +1 -2 0.98 22% 0.8 .19 25% .45 86% .39 1.32 72% 36% 47% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.1 .43 15% .29 81% .24
Jan
12		 Queens B- F C+ A+ B- 31% 22% 47% C- C+ F A+ B- C A+ A+ A+ C- D- F B- D 36% 12% 53% D- D B- C- C D+ C F D
1.15 44% 38% 46% +5 0 1.10 17% 1.8 .31 15% .35 88% .31 1.14 62% 57% 32% +3 +2 1.08 27% 1.0 .27 16% .31 81% .25
Jan
14		 Liberty D D- F C+ D- 46% 13% 42% A D+ A C- B+ F+ D+ F F D+ F A+ C C- 40% 4% 56% D D+ D C D+ F+ C- C D+
0.93 50% 17% 35% -5 +2 0.94 31% 0.9 .28 22% .23 58% .13 1.23 68% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.15 28% 1.0 .28 12% .25 73% .19
Jan
18		 N. Alabama F F B A+ F 40% 9% 51% A- F+ D F F A- B+ D+ B C- B F A+ C 55% 16% 29% F C- F D+ F+ C+ F C+ F
1.00 27% 40% 43% -5 +2 0.95 24% 0.6 .15 11% .35 70% .25 1.07 50% 75% 27% -1 +2 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 68% .28
Jan
21		 N. Alabama F D F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F D+ A+ C+ B A C+ A D B F F F 47% 5% 47% F F D A+ A+ B- D A+ B
0.94 52% 13% 21% -13 +2 0.78 25% 1.3 .33 13% .38 74% .28 1.17 50% 100% 50% +11 +3 1.29 26% 0.2 .06 19% .31 50% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
26		 N. Florida F A- F F F 31% 37% 31% F F A- B+ A B A- B- A- B+ F A- A+ A- 22% 20% 57% A A- F B- F A- F F+ F
1.07 67% 24% 14% -11 -2 0.73 40% 1.2 .47 12% .29 76% .22 1.03 75% 27% 26% -5 0 0.89 37% 1.1 .39 22% .42 78% .33
Jan
28		 Jacksonville F F F B- D 33% 8% 59% A- D+ F F F B B A+ A F+ F F C+ F 41% 18% 41% F+ F A- A+ A F C F D-
0.98 50% 0% 34% -5 +2 0.94 14% 0.8 .11 12% .30 82% .24 1.13 71% 56% 33% +9 +1 1.20 19% 0.4 .07 15% .22 92% .20
Feb
2		 FGCU A B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 16% 48% B- A+ F A+ C A- F+ A D D- C+ A+ F C- 39% 13% 48% F D+ D- D- F+ F A D+ A-
1.24 62% 56% 43% +11 +1 1.24 19% 1.5 .29 14% .20 77% .16 1.18 54% 13% 41% +1 +2 1.05 30% 1.2 .34 10% .18 75% .14
Feb
4		 Stetson C F+ C+ A C 32% 23% 45% C- C F A+ D- A+ D+ A C+ F D- A+ F F 44% 12% 44% F F F F F B- A- F C+
1.14 50% 38% 40% +2 0 1.04 18% 1.3 .24 9% .26 82% .22 1.41 64% 14% 52% +12 +2 1.28 47% 1.4 .67 18% .17 100% .17
Feb
9		 Lipscomb D+ C- F A- F 32% 27% 41% C- F C- A+ A- A+ D- A+ C+ F F B+ F F 46% 26% 28% B- F B F D F C- F D-
1.06 55% 0% 38% -8 -1 0.83 24% 1.5 .36 9% .19 100% .19 1.21 71% 31% 47% +10 0 1.21 21% 1.5 .31 13% .23 87% .20
Feb
11		 Austin Peay C- C B F D 49% 27% 24% C- D B C+ B A+ A D- B D F+ A+ A+ A 35% 29% 37% C A- F F F C+ F F F
1.15 63% 38% 25% 0 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .39 14% .40 70% .28 1.04 65% 14% 22% -10 -1 0.78 42% 1.3 .55 20% .38 85% .32
Feb
16		 E. Kentucky F F A+ F F 44% 22% 33% B- F B D C+ F F C+ F A+ C B+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 38% F A- F+ D F B- F A F
0.74 38% 58% 11% -16 +1 0.70 36% 0.9 .33 29% .14 75% .11 0.94 56% 30% 14% -13 +1 0.77 39% 1.2 .45 19% .43 56% .24
Feb
19		 Bellarmine F A A F D- 17% 23% 60% D D- A- A+ A+ F B- F D+ B+ F+ F C+ D+ 19% 21% 60% C- D+ A A A D- B A B+
0.98 75% 45% 28% -1 -1 0.96 35% 1.4 .48 23% .31 63% .19 1.00 70% 55% 32% +5 -1 1.08 15% 0.8 .12 16% .21 67% .14
Feb
22		 JVST F D- D D F+ 29% 26% 45% D+ F+ D D+ D D+ D B+ D+ F F A+ F F 26% 16% 58% D+ F B+ D C+ F B A B+
0.92 53% 33% 31% -4 -1 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .24 80% .19 1.31 80% 22% 58% +24 0 1.49 26% 1.1 .29 17% .25 63% .16
Feb
24		 Kennesaw St. F A+ F F F 19% 37% 44% F F D+ B+ C B F A+ F C+ F B+ C- D+ 16% 34% 50% A+ C+ F A C- D A+ B- A+
0.81 80% 20% 25% -8 -3 0.78 23% 1.1 .25 17% .14 100% .14 1.05 78% 32% 36% +3 -3 1.00 35% 0.9 .33 16% .14 63% .09