Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +5.8 91
INCC Stats Results Rating +3.8 112
Consistency 0.14 95
Pace 73.5 53
Improvement +0.7 170

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 100 D+ B B C B+
Defense B- 95 B C C- D+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 62 C- 55% 252 +1.3 131
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 331 D 33% 299 -3.5 342
Three Pointers 44% 100 D 31% 311 -0.4 195
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 31 D -3.8 306
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 259
Second Chance B- 32.9% 80 B 1.13 58 B 0.37 48
Opponents' Steals B+ 8.0% 34
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 86
Turnovers B 14.6% 42
Freethrows C 0.29 178 C+ 73% 150 C 0.21 165
Total Offense C+ +2.8 100

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 256 C- 12.1% 242
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 306 C 5.0% 198
Three Pointers C- 80% 246 B 0.4% 50
Total C- 52% 236 C- 6.0% 231


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 212 B 53% 71 -1.9 108
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 39 C+ 36% 105 +1.3 310
Three Pointers 36% 300 B 31% 46 -4.0 25
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.6 64 B -3.9 46
1st FG Attempt B 0.92 44
Second Chance C+ 28.3% 131 C- 1.07 246 C 0.30 175
Turnovers from Steals C 9.9% 150
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 309
Turnovers C- 16.3% 222
Freethrows D+ 0.32 291 B- 70% 84 D+ 0.23 267
Total Defense B- +3.0 95

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 113 C+ 13.1% 115
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 140 C- 4.2% 205
Three Pointers D 88% 293 A+ 3.2% 3
Total B- 51% 105 B- 7.2% 74

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 92 17.1 123
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 116 0.13 83
Consistency 0.13 275 0.11 96
Improvement +4.4 18 -3.7 331



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 105 Akron W 80 - 75 OT 68% +3  72% 1 - 0 B- +6 F -10 D+ A- C A+ +15 A+ B- C+
Fri, Nov 8 5 Alabama L 79 - 88 5% -7  2% 1 - 1 A- +16 C- -1 C D C A+ +18 A+ C- D+
Tue, Nov 12 240 Arkansas Little Rock W 80 - 63 89% +6  74% 2 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 D A A+ B- +2 D C A
Sat, Nov 16 269 Stephen F. Austin W 59 - 49 91% +4  71% 3 - 1 C +1 F -12 F D+ B+ A+ +13 A+ B- B+
Fri, Nov 29 189 Indiana St. W 86 - 81 77% +8  86% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +2 D+ B+ A C+ +1 A D F
Sat, Nov 30 194 Rice L 67 - 75 77% +1  55% 4 - 2 D -10 F+ -9 F C F C -1 A F+ C
Sun, Dec 1 225 Hofstra L 66 - 68 81% -3  33% 4 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 C- A F C- -2 C- F C
Thu, Dec 5 262 Jackson St. W 66 - 64 90% +2  84% 5 - 3 D+ -6 F -15 F D+ F+ A- +8 B+ D+ C
Sun, Dec 8 59 Memphis W 85 - 72 23% +10  95% 6 - 3 A+ +26 B- +5 C- A+ C A+ +19 A+ B+ A
Thu, Dec 12 231 Texas Arlington W 83 - 79 88% +1  38% 7 - 3 C- -3 C +1 F B+ C+ D+ -4 F+ F C
Sun, Dec 15 97 UAB W 98 - 89 OT 42% -10  25% 8 - 3 A- +17 C +1 D A C- A+ +14 B A C
Sat, Dec 21 319 Coastal Carolina W 97 - 67 95% +22  90% 9 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 A+ +19 A+ B B C -1 A D- D
Thu, Jan 2 280 Old Dominion W 78 - 59 82% +7  79% 10 - 3 2 - 0 A- +15 B- +5 C+ C- B+ A +11 A+ B+ F
Sat, Jan 4 170 James Madison L 62 - 67 63% +4  77% 10 - 4 2 - 1 C- -3 F -13 F B+ D A +10 C+ B+ A
Thu, Jan 9 125 South Alabama L 62 - 76 52% -8  17% 10 - 5 2 - 2 D -9 C +1 F C A+ F -12 F B- B+
Sat, Jan 11 103 Troy W 84 - 78 44% -5  3% 11 - 5 3 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +21 B+ A- A+ D- -7 D- D- D-
Thu, Jan 16 309 Louisiana W 83 - 63 94% +16  99% 12 - 5 4 - 2 B +8 B- +5 D+ D A+ B- +3 A+ C- F
Sat, Jan 18 258 Georgia St. W 85 - 59 90% +22  97% 13 - 5 5 - 2 A- +18 C +0 D- B A+ A+ +17 A+ B+ D
Thu, Jan 23 180 Appalachian St. W 65 - 55 83% +4  94% 14 - 5 6 - 2 B- +6 D+ -4 F+ B+ A A +10 A+ F F+
Sat, Jan 25 204 Texas St. W 80 - 65 86% +6  66% 15 - 5 7 - 2 B +9 C- -1 A+ F D+ A +10 A+ F A+
Wed, Jan 29 293 Southern Miss W 81 - 68 84% +2  42% 16 - 5 8 - 2 B- +8 C+ +4 F A+ B B +4 B- B- C
Sat, Feb 1 204 Texas St. W 85 - 74 70% +4  60% 17 - 5 9 - 2 B +11 B+ +9 A+ A+ F B- +3 C- A- F
Wed, Feb 5 169 Marshall L 72 - 77 63% +0  52% 17 - 6 9 - 3 C- -3 D+ -3 D+ D+ C C+ +1 B F C-
Sat, Feb 8 127 Kent St. L 75 - 76 52% +1  58% 17 - 7 C+ +4 B- +4 D- A A+ C -0 F B+ A-
Wed, Feb 12 293 Southern Miss W 101 - 67 93% +22  96% 18 - 7 10 - 3 A+ +23 A+ +15 B+ B A+ B+ +6 D+ A B
Sat, Feb 15 103 Troy L 70 - 71 67% +1  45% 18 - 8 10 - 4 C +0 C- -2 D- A C B- +2 C+ A+ F+
Wed, Feb 19 125 South Alabama L 56 - 60 74% -0  46% 18 - 9 10 - 5 C- -5 F -15 F C+ F A +10 A D+ D+
Sat, Feb 22 344 Louisiana Monroe W 95 - 70 97% +16  98% 19 - 9 11 - 5 B +9 B+ +9 A C- A C -0 F B+ C+
Wed, Feb 26 309 Louisiana W 83 - 64 86% +14  99% 20 - 9 12 - 5 B+ +13 C- -0 F A+ F A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
Fri, Feb 28 344 Louisiana Monroe W 94 - 67 92% +8  84% 21 - 9 13 - 5 A- +17 A+ +20 B- B A+ C- -1 C F+ F
Sat, Mar 8 169 Marshall W 77 - 74 73% -0  39% 22 - 9 C+ +2 C+ +3 F A+ A+ C -1 B C+ F
Sun, Mar 9 125 South Alabama W 74 - 71 64% +1  49% 23 - 9 B- +5 B- +5 D+ A+ A- C+ +1 A+ F B-
Mon, Mar 10 103 Troy L 81 - 94 56% -2  29% 23 - 10 D -9 B- +5 C+ C+ A F -13 D- A- F
Tue, Mar 18 115 Saint Louis W 103 - 78 72% +16  99% 24 - 10 A+ +25 A+ +19 A+ C+ A B +4 C+ A+ D+
Sun, Mar 23 80 North Texas L 63 - 65 34% -5  0% 24 - 11 B- +8 C+ +3 D- B+ A+ B +4 B- C+ F+
Totals 24 - 11 13 - 5 +6 C+ +3 C D B+ B- +3 D C+ C


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D D D 42% 25% 44% B+ D+ B- B B B C C+ C B- B C+ B B 38% 26% 36% B B C+ C- C C- D+ B- D+
1.13 55% 33% 31% -4 +1 0.96 33% 1.1 .37 15% .29 73% .21 1.05 53% 36% 31% -4 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .30 16% .32 70% .20
Nov
4		 Akron F B+ F F D 49% 10% 41% A D+ D A+ A- C F F F A+ A C A+ A+ 39% 19% 42% C A+ B C B- C+ B+ B+ A-
0.96 65% 17% 23% -5 +2 0.95 24% 1.9 .46 18% .09 50% .04 0.90 46% 38% 25% -10 0 0.82 30% 1.0 .30 17% .19 69% .13
Nov
8		 Alabama C- B+ F F D 43% 12% 45% A+ C D- C D C A+ D- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% D A+ A F C- D+ F A F
0.93 60% 29% 19% -10 +2 0.84 18% 0.9 .16 15% .50 64% .32 1.04 57% 33% 8% -17 +3 0.73 30% 1.5 .45 14% .61 64% .39
Nov
12		 Little Rock B+ F B D+ D- 29% 10% 60% C+ D A- A- A A+ A+ F A+ B- D- D- B+ D 36% 40% 24% C+ D C C C A F B+ F
1.20 43% 40% 31% -7 +1 0.90 43% 1.1 .48 13% .52 63% .33 0.94 67% 41% 30% +3 -3 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 25% .40 65% .26
Nov
16		 SFA F D F F F 30% 11% 59% C- F B+ F D+ B+ A+ F C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 52% 20% 27% C+ A+ D- A- B- B+ F B F
0.91 50% 20% 26% -11 +1 0.80 39% 0.7 .27 17% .52 46% .24 0.75 35% 33% 17% -20 +1 0.64 38% 0.6 .24 25% .43 57% .24
Nov
29		 Indiana St. C+ F+ A+ D+ D+ 40% 18% 42% C D+ C+ A- B+ A C+ D C C+ B A+ A A+ 48% 2% 50% D A D+ D- D F C D- D+
1.16 50% 55% 32% -1 +1 1.00 30% 1.3 .40 11% .33 68% .23 1.09 54% 0% 28% -7 +3 0.93 29% 1.2 .33 12% .31 80% .25
Nov
30		 Rice F+ D- A+ F F 50% 7% 43% A+ F A- D- C F A+ A- A+ C A+ C C A 30% 36% 34% A- A D D- F+ C F F F
0.97 52% 67% 10% -16 +3 0.74 37% 0.8 .28 20% .56 77% .44 1.08 31% 38% 33% -8 -3 0.80 36% 1.2 .42 17% .68 82% .56
Dec
1		 Hofstra D+ C- F F D 57% 2% 41% A+ C- D- A+ A F A+ A+ A+ C- C- D+ C D+ 40% 34% 26% B C- D F F C F A F
0.99 52% 0% 28% -8 +4 0.93 21% 2.0 .41 22% .43 82% .35 1.02 58% 38% 33% 0 -2 0.98 28% 1.3 .38 18% .35 63% .22
Dec
5		 Jackson St. F F D+ C- F 38% 11% 51% B F D+ D+ D+ F+ A- C- B+ A- A+ F C+ A 42% 19% 40% F+ B+ A+ F D+ C F A+ D
0.90 25% 33% 33% -13 +1 0.77 28% 0.9 .26 20% .34 70% .24 0.87 30% 44% 32% -11 +1 0.79 20% 1.6 .33 19% .40 63% .25
Dec
8		 Memphis B- F+ D B- C 29% 22% 48% D+ C- A B+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ A+ C B- A+ 26% 28% 46% A+ A+ D+ A B+ A F B F
1.04 47% 31% 36% -3 -1 0.93 41% 1.1 .44 21% .42 78% .33 0.88 25% 38% 33% -9 -2 0.80 38% 0.9 .33 25% .55 68% .37
Dec
12		 UT Arlington C F A+ F F 51% 7% 42% A+ F A C- B+ C+ A+ C A+ D+ C- A- F F+ 34% 14% 52% D F+ D F F C D- A+ B+
1.17 39% 100% 21% -13 +3 0.80 42% 1.1 .45 14% .69 74% .51 1.11 59% 29% 42% +6 +1 1.14 35% 1.5 .55 18% .36 43% .16
Dec
15		 UAB C B F F D- 43% 22% 34% B- D C+ A+ A C- A A A+ A+ F+ A+ B+ B 28% 31% 40% B+ B A+ F A C D+ B+ C-
1.10 66% 20% 26% -4 0 0.93 32% 1.4 .45 16% .32 79% .25 1.00 68% 24% 30% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.4 .28 13% .31 71% .22
Dec
21		 Coastal Car. A+ D D A+ A+ 34% 11% 55% A+ A+ D A+ B B C- B C C A+ D+ B+ A- 30% 36% 34% A+ A F A- D- D D- C D
1.46 56% 33% 55% +16 +1 1.36 23% 1.6 .37 8% .31 79% .24 1.01 33% 39% 29% -9 -3 0.78 42% 0.9 .35 17% .34 68% .23
Jan
2		 Old Dom B- F C+ A+ C 53% 19% 28% B C+ B- D C- B+ C+ A+ A- A C A+ A+ A+ 35% 33% 33% B- A+ C A B+ F F B+ F
1.16 46% 40% 53% +3 +1 1.09 34% 0.8 .26 12% .32 84% .27 0.88 53% 0% 19% -21 -2 0.55 35% 0.7 .25 10% .53 66% .35
Jan
4		 J. Madison F C- F+ F F 43% 26% 30% C+ F C- A+ B+ D F F F A D+ A+ C- B- 44% 22% 34% C C+ F A+ B+ A F B D-
0.92 57% 29% 25% -7 0 0.87 26% 1.4 .37 18% .14 38% .05 0.99 59% 18% 35% -3 0 0.96 42% 0.7 .28 22% .34 72% .25
Jan
9		 S. Alabama C B+ F F F 21% 2% 77% B F B- D+ C A+ F A+ D+ F F F F F 29% 21% 50% A F B- C+ B- B+ F B F+
1.03 64% 0% 23% -13 +1 0.79 34% 0.8 .28 8% .16 89% .15 1.27 75% 56% 52% +23 -1 1.45 25% 0.8 .21 18% .37 67% .25
Jan
11		 Troy A+ B+ F D+ B- 55% 4% 40% A+ B+ D+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- B F F D- 46% 9% 46% C D- B F D- D- F C+ F
1.29 62% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.06 28% 1.5 .41 12% .47 85% .40 1.20 52% 50% 38% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.3 .44 17% .52 71% .37
Jan
16		 LA Laf B- A- A+ F D+ 42% 13% 45% B- D+ D+ D+ D A+ A+ D+ A B- A C- A+ A 28% 47% 26% A+ A+ F B C- F C+ C C+
1.20 68% 57% 21% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.1 .33 9% .49 71% .35 0.91 44% 37% 13% -12 -4 0.69 31% 0.9 .27 12% .25 73% .18
Jan
18		 GA St. C F A+ D+ F+ 37% 10% 54% B+ D- B- B- B A+ F A+ D+ A+ B+ A A+ A+ 39% 27% 34% C+ A+ D+ A+ B+ D F+ A- D+
1.18 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.94 34% 1.1 .38 7% .16 91% .15 0.82 50% 27% 11% -18 -1 0.64 34% 0.7 .23 15% .34 62% .21
Jan
23		 App St. D+ F A+ F F 44% 19% 37% B F+ B- A- B+ A B- B B A F A A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% C- A+ B- F F F+ B C+ B
1.00 38% 60% 20% -12 +1 0.78 31% 1.2 .36 9% .24 79% .19 0.84 65% 29% 8% -18 +1 0.68 25% 1.5 .38 14% .25 64% .16
Jan
25		 Texas St. C- B+ A A+ A+ 46% 8% 46% A- A+ C- F F D+ F D F A D- B+ A+ A 35% 35% 29% A A+ B F F A+ B+ F C
1.15 63% 50% 46% +12 +2 1.29 28% 0.3 .09 17% .28 69% .19 0.94 65% 29% 14% -9 -2 0.79 30% 1.8 .55 25% .25 92% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 S. Miss C+ F+ F F F 49% 21% 30% C+ F B+ A+ A+ B A B+ A+ B D+ B C+ C 26% 42% 32% A+ B- B+ C- B- C F C F
1.13 50% 18% 25% -12 +1 0.79 36% 1.9 .67 14% .40 76% .31 0.95 62% 33% 31% -2 -4 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 19% .40 70% .28
Feb
1		 Texas St. B+ C B- A+ A 57% 15% 28% A- A+ A- A+ A+ F C+ B- B- B- A+ F F C 52% 19% 30% F C- A+ C A- F B+ D B
1.24 56% 43% 62% +11 +2 1.28 38% 1.2 .46 22% .38 75% .28 1.08 43% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 13% .25 80% .20
Feb
5		 Marshall D+ F F A+ D- 48% 10% 42% A D+ C- D- D+ C B C- B- C+ F A+ B+ B- 24% 37% 39% A+ B F+ F F C- C+ D+ C
1.01 40% 0% 45% -5 +2 0.96 27% 0.8 .22 17% .39 70% .27 1.08 77% 25% 29% -3 -3 0.89 38% 1.3 .50 17% .29 71% .20
Feb
8		 Kent St. B- D- F F F 47% 4% 49% A D- B A A A+ D+ A+ C C F+ B+ F F 33% 24% 43% C- F A+ D+ B+ A- F F F
1.08 48% 0% 27% -11 +3 0.85 33% 1.4 .46 13% .30 83% .25 1.09 64% 30% 39% +4 -1 1.07 26% 1.1 .30 22% .51 89% .46
Feb
12		 S. Miss A+ A+ B+ D- B 42% 11% 47% B+ B+ B+ C B A+ D B C- B+ C F A D 35% 31% 35% B D+ A+ C- A B B- B- B-
1.33 74% 43% 30% +5 +2 1.14 37% 1.1 .39 7% .28 75% .21 0.88 58% 53% 26% +1 -2 1.00 15% 1.0 .15 22% .26 67% .17
Feb
15		 Troy C- D- F D D- 36% 21% 43% C- D- A+ C A C B+ D B- B- C+ C- B- C 37% 16% 47% A C+ A- A+ A+ F+ F B- F
1.01 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.85 44% 1.0 .44 20% .33 67% .22 1.03 56% 38% 30% -3 +1 0.96 32% 0.6 .19 16% .46 70% .33
Feb
19		 S. Alabama F A+ F F F 25% 11% 64% C F A- D C+ F A- C+ A- A A+ A+ D A+ 51% 19% 30% C- A B F D+ D+ F A+ C
0.85 73% 20% 21% -10 0 0.82 39% 0.8 .31 29% .30 71% .21 0.92 42% 22% 36% -10 +1 0.83 24% 1.2 .29 14% .39 50% .19
Feb
22		 LA Monroe B+ A+ A+ B A 27% 13% 60% C+ A F+ A C- A F F F C A- C- F F 35% 37% 28% B- F B- A B+ C+ B- C- C+
1.31 88% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 24% 1.4 .32 11% .14 44% .06 0.97 47% 35% 53% +4 -2 1.04 25% 0.8 .19 18% .24 71% .17
Feb
26		 LA Laf C- F F F F 46% 10% 44% B+ F A+ B- A+ F A+ A A+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% B A+ B- C C+ C- F C- F
1.09 47% 0% 28% -12 +2 0.80 60% 1.2 .74 26% .74 83% .62 0.84 43% 39% 13% -14 -2 0.69 22% 1.0 .22 16% .36 74% .26
Feb
28		 LA Monroe A+ A+ A+ D- C 42% 3% 55% A+ B- A+ D- B A+ F B+ F+ C- A+ F+ D- C- 31% 40% 29% A- C A- F F+ F A+ F B+
1.43 76% 50% 30% +5 +3 1.17 45% 0.9 .43 5% .14 78% .11 1.02 35% 41% 38% -4 -3 0.87 22% 1.6 .36 12% .14 100% .14
Mar
8		 Marshall C+ F B F F 43% 22% 35% C+ F A- A A+ A+ A B A+ C D A- B- B- 28% 40% 32% A+ B D- B+ C+ F F C F
1.12 48% 42% 21% -10 0 0.81 36% 1.2 .43 6% .45 76% .34 1.08 64% 30% 31% -2 -3 0.90 36% 0.8 .30 13% .47 68% .32
Mar
9		 S. Alabama B- C F D+ D 34% 6% 60% B D+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 54% 25% 21% B- A+ F F+ F B- F D+ F
1.11 56% 0% 32% -4 +2 0.96 33% 1.3 .44 17% .43 67% .29 1.07 58% 17% 10% -13 +1 0.77 41% 1.1 .44 17% .47 73% .34
Mar
10		 Troy B- D+ F A+ B- 35% 23% 42% D+ C+ C+ C C+ A A+ A A+ F D+ D C+ D- 60% 10% 31% D D- B- A A- F F F F
1.10 50% 25% 41% -1 0 0.98 33% 1.0 .33 16% .39 79% .31 1.27 61% 40% 31% +1 +3 1.10 35% 0.8 .26 11% .59 85% .50
Mar
18		 St. Louis A+ A+ D A+ A+ 38% 14% 48% A- A+ C B- C+ A D+ F D- B F+ A+ B- B- 45% 8% 47% D+ C+ A- A+ A+ D+ D- B- D
1.35 71% 33% 48% +15 +1 1.33 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 54% .10 1.03 71% 25% 32% +4 +2 1.13 18% 0.7 .12 17% .33 67% .22
Mar
23		 North Texas C+ C F F F 42% 15% 43% A D- B A- B+ A+ F B- F B A+ D- F C 29% 42% 29% A+ B- B C- C+ F+ A A A+
1.03 59% 0% 26% -10 +1 0.83 32% 1.1 .34 8% .16 78% .12 1.06 40% 45% 40% +1 -3 0.96 29% 1.1 .31 13% .24 69% .17