Buffalo
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -12.6 342
INCC Stats Results Rating -10.5 323
Consistency 0.15 197
Pace 74.7 37
Improvement -1.0 241

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 344 D+ F+ D- C B+
Defense D 312 D D+ C- C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 52 C- 56% 201 +2.2 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 290 F 28% 358 -4.3 351
Three Pointers 44% 105 D- 30% 339 -1.0 222
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.4 26 D -4.3 321
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 277
Second Chance D 24.1% 318 F+ 0.82 361 F+ 0.20 349
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.9% 344
Other Turnovers C- 8.0% 256
Turnovers D- 19.9% 325
Freethrows C 0.29 164 C- 70% 252 C 0.20 188
Total Offense D- -7.9 344

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 38% 315 C- 11.8% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 192 D 7.1% 324
Three Pointers B 88% 74 C+ 0.8% 167
Total C- 53% 222 D+ 6.4% 267


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 50 D+ 60% 256 +3.9 313
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 303 C- 39% 237 -1.0 87
Three Pointers 39% 230 D- 38% 340 +1.7 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 320 D +3.7 325
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 328
Second Chance C- 30.8% 241 D+ 1.10 284 D+ 0.34 282
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 243
Other Turnovers C+ 8.0% 111
Turnovers C- 16.7% 196
Freethrows C+ 0.28 139 C+ 72% 160 C+ 0.20 131
Total Defense D -4.7 312

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 332 C 11.5% 154
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 293 D- 1.8% 342
Three Pointers C- 84% 209 D+ 0.3% 302
Total D 61% 310 C 5.4% 188

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 109 16.5 37
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 154 0.23 348
Consistency 0.11 106 0.11 78
Improvement -1.8 274 +0.8 143



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 4 280 Old Dominion W 83 - 82 21% +4  81% 1 - 0 F -21 C+ -11 A+ F D- D -11 D- F B
Mon, Nov 11 96 Notre Dame L 77 - 86 4% -5  25% 1 - 1 F -21 D+ -11 C+ D+ B- B- -11 C- A+ D-
Thu, Nov 14 152 Bryant L 64 - 87 18% -23  0% 1 - 2 F -21 F -11 F F F D+ -11 B- C F
Tue, Nov 19 241 Vermont L 67 - 78 15% -7  0% 1 - 3 F -21 C- -11 D C D- F -11 D- D- F
Fri, Nov 22 335 Morgan St. W 82 - 73 55% -1  35% 2 - 3 F -21 C- -11 A+ F B- D+ -11 F C- A
Mon, Nov 25 336 N.C. A&T W 82 - 81 56% +1  57% 3 - 3 F -21 F+ -11 D- F D+ D+ -11 F+ A- D
Sun, Dec 1 55 Penn St. L 64 - 87 2% -10  0% 3 - 4 F -21 D -11 D+ C C- D+ -11 F A+ C-
Sat, Dec 7 128 St. Bonaventure L 55 - 65 6% -9  0% 3 - 5 F -21 F -11 B- F F B -11 A- D B-
Thu, Dec 19 37 Georgia L 49 - 100 1% -34  0% 3 - 6 F -21 F -11 D- F+ F F -11 F+ F F
Sun, Dec 29 171 Temple L 71 - 91 9% -6  28% 3 - 7 F -21 F -11 D+ F D C -11 F C A-
Sat, Jan 4 145 Miami (OH) L 79 - 93 7% -7  11% 3 - 8 0 - 1 F -21 B- -11 B+ D- C+ F -11 F A- F
Tue, Jan 7 188 Ohio L 79 - 88 23% -11  26% 3 - 9 0 - 2 F -21 F+ -11 F+ C B- D+ -11 F F A
Fri, Jan 10 127 Kent St. L 49 - 68 14% -6  6% 3 - 10 0 - 3 F -21 F -11 F F F+ B- -11 D+ B+ B+
Tue, Jan 14 290 Bowling Green L 61 - 79 23% -8  6% 3 - 11 0 - 4 F -21 F -11 F F B- F+ -11 C D- D-
Sat, Jan 18 287 Western Michigan W 85 - 76 22% +10  98% 4 - 11 1 - 4 F -21 D -11 B+ F+ F+ A- -11 D+ A B-
Tue, Jan 21 105 Akron L 58 - 90 11% -20  3% 4 - 12 1 - 5 F -21 F -11 F F A C- -11 F B+ A+
Sat, Jan 25 272 Eastern Michigan L 77 - 90 19% +0  44% 4 - 13 1 - 6 F -21 D+ -11 C- A+ F F -11 D F F
Tue, Jan 28 208 Central Michigan W 75 - 69 26% -4  12% 5 - 13 2 - 6 F -21 D- -11 D+ B- F A- -11 C- F A+
Sat, Feb 1 271 Ball St. L 76 - 89 38% -5  32% 5 - 14 2 - 7 F -21 D- -11 D- F+ C F -11 B+ F F+
Tue, Feb 4 242 Toledo L 74 - 87 15% -11  0% 5 - 15 2 - 8 F -21 F+ -11 D- D D+ D -11 D C- C-
Sat, Feb 8 258 Georgia St. L 75 - 80 34% -8  0% 5 - 16 F -21 F -11 F D F+ B -11 C- A B+
Tue, Feb 11 349 Northern Illinois W 73 - 67 39% +5  94% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F -21 D+ -11 C F D C -11 C- D+ C
Sat, Feb 15 290 Bowling Green L 59 - 63 43% -3  4% 6 - 17 3 - 9 F -21 F -11 F B F B- -11 C+ C+ B
Tue, Feb 18 287 Western Michigan L 64 - 97 43% -22  0% 6 - 18 3 - 10 F -21 F -11 F C- F F -11 F F+ C-
Sat, Feb 22 271 Ball St. L 66 - 80 19% -7  7% 6 - 19 3 - 11 F -21 F -11 D F F C- -11 C+ F C
Tue, Feb 25 208 Central Michigan L 69 - 73 12% +1  59% 6 - 20 3 - 12 F -21 D -11 C D- D- C+ -11 C- F B-
Sat, Mar 1 242 Toledo W 87 - 74 32% +5  78% 7 - 20 4 - 12 F -21 B -11 A+ F+ F C -11 F+ C B+
Tue, Mar 4 145 Miami (OH) L 69 - 84 17% -9  10% 7 - 21 4 - 13 F -21 F+ -11 C D- C- F+ -11 F B+ C-
Fri, Mar 7 105 Akron L 70 - 88 5% -16  0% 7 - 22 4 - 14 F -21 D+ -11 D F C+ D- -11 C F F
Totals 7 - 22 4 - 14 -13 D- -8 C D B+ D -5 D- C- C


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- F D- D 43% 30% 44% B+ D+ D F+ F+ D- C C- C D D+ C- D- D 43% 18% 39% D D C- D+ D+ C- C+ C+ C+
0.98 56% 28% 30% -4 +1 0.95 24% 0.8 .20 20% .29 70% .20 1.16 60% 39% 38% +4 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 17% .28 72% .21
Nov
4		 Old Dom C+ B B A+ A 47% 13% 40% B+ A+ F D F D- D+ F F D A B- F D 37% 20% 42% F+ D- F D F B A+ A+ A+
1.13 65% 43% 45% +11 +2 1.27 17% 0.8 .14 18% .28 53% .15 1.12 41% 33% 40% -3 0 0.95 48% 1.0 .50 20% .14 50% .07
Nov
11		 Notre Dame D+ A D D- C 32% 19% 49% B C+ D- C+ D+ B- F F F B- F D- A+ C 44% 23% 33% F+ C- A+ B- A+ D- F D F
0.99 70% 33% 29% 0 0 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 14% .17 55% .09 1.11 72% 46% 26% +5 0 1.11 14% 1.0 .14 13% .40 78% .31
Nov
14		 Bryant F B+ B- F F 38% 10% 52% B F F A- F F A+ D- A+ D+ A+ C+ F C+ 29% 32% 38% A B- F+ B C F D+ D+ D+
0.82 61% 40% 16% -12 +1 0.79 13% 1.2 .16 21% .48 67% .32 1.12 37% 33% 40% -4 -2 0.89 37% 0.9 .35 10% .29 75% .21
Nov
19		 Vermont C- D+ F F+ F+ 51% 14% 35% B+ D B D C D- A+ D- A+ F D+ A+ F D- 40% 19% 40% C- D- C+ F D- F F B F
1.03 52% 29% 29% -6 +2 0.92 32% 0.8 .27 18% .42 68% .28 1.20 57% 20% 43% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.3 .28 8% .37 68% .25
Nov
22		 Morgan St. C- B+ A+ B+ A 66% 8% 26% A+ A+ F D- F B- A+ F B D+ A F F F 35% 26% 39% F F F B+ C- A A+ A+ A+
1.19 67% 75% 38% +11 +4 1.30 26% 0.9 .23 15% .42 60% .25 1.06 42% 50% 48% +6 -1 1.11 39% 0.8 .32 22% .04 50% .02
Nov
25		 N.C. A&T F+ F+ F D F 46% 13% 41% B+ D- F D+ F D+ A+ B A+ D+ F+ A+ F F 28% 28% 43% B+ F+ C- A+ A- D C+ F C-
1.03 50% 29% 30% -7 +2 0.91 22% 1.0 .22 16% .42 79% .33 1.02 65% 18% 42% +2 -2 1.02 27% 0.5 .14 14% .26 78% .20
Dec
1		 Penn St. D B+ A+ F D- 40% 9% 51% A- D+ F A+ C C- B A A- D+ D- F F F 49% 15% 36% C+ F C- A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.92 63% 50% 21% -7 +2 0.91 19% 1.3 .26 21% .29 81% .24 1.24 67% 63% 45% +14 +2 1.33 30% 0.7 .20 16% .22 62% .14
Dec
7		 St. Bon F A F B- B- 30% 16% 53% C B- F+ F F F F+ A+ C B C- A+ A A 44% 20% 37% D+ A- A F D B- F F+ F
0.86 69% 14% 35% +1 0 1.02 19% 0.8 .15 28% .15 100% .15 1.02 61% 13% 27% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .34 17% .45 79% .36
Dec
19		 Georgia F D- F F F 48% 16% 36% A- D- D- F F+ F C B- C+ F F B- C+ D- 42% 5% 53% F F+ C- F F F B+ A+ A
0.71 46% 25% 22% -14 +1 0.76 23% 0.6 .14 27% .24 75% .18 1.44 75% 33% 33% +7 +2 1.19 39% 1.6 .61 7% .30 63% .19
Dec
29		 Temple F C- F D+ D 42% 15% 42% B- D+ F F F D B F C- C F A D F 44% 14% 42% F F D+ B- C A- F A F
0.89 56% 22% 32% -4 +1 0.95 20% 0.4 .07 18% .34 59% .20 1.14 77% 29% 38% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.9 .30 20% .55 66% .36
Jan
4		 Miami (OH) B- C F A+ B+ 44% 18% 38% B- B+ F A D- C+ C B C+ F C+ A+ F F 27% 19% 54% C F F A+ A- F C+ F C-
1.11 59% 22% 53% +9 +1 1.20 17% 1.2 .20 18% .29 76% .22 1.31 56% 18% 53% +12 0 1.24 33% 0.6 .19 10% .23 80% .19
Jan
7		 Ohio F+ C- D F F 53% 5% 42% A+ F+ D+ B+ C B- C+ F+ C- D+ F A- D- F 45% 18% 38% D+ F F C F A C- B- C
1.00 55% 33% 24% -8 +3 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .33 64% .21 1.11 72% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.18 35% 1.0 .35 20% .30 74% .22
Jan
10		 Kent St. F F D+ F F 38% 6% 56% B+ F F F F F+ F B- F+ B- F F A+ D+ 39% 20% 41% D- D+ F A+ B+ B+ C- A C+
0.72 33% 33% 26% -16 +2 0.73 18% 0.6 .11 22% .25 77% .19 1.01 68% 50% 20% -2 0 0.98 42% 0.7 .31 21% .28 67% .19
Jan
14		 Bowl Green F D+ C- F F 34% 9% 57% B- F D F F B- B+ A- A F+ A+ F C C- 24% 22% 53% A C D D- D- D- F C F
0.88 56% 40% 23% -9 +1 0.85 24% 0.1 .02 16% .32 84% .27 1.14 36% 50% 33% -3 -1 0.93 28% 1.1 .31 14% .60 75% .45
Jan
18		 W. Michigan D D D- A+ B 42% 6% 53% A- B+ F D F+ F+ A+ F C- A- C F A+ C- 52% 15% 33% F D+ A+ D- A B- D+ A C+
1.05 55% 33% 46% +9 +2 1.23 20% 1.0 .20 21% .39 48% .19 0.94 55% 56% 20% -6 +2 0.93 20% 1.1 .22 17% .28 58% .16
Jan
21		 Akron F F A F F 40% 6% 54% A- F F F F A F F F C- F+ D F F 45% 13% 43% F+ F A C B+ A+ A D+ A
0.75 36% 50% 24% -16 +2 0.73 16% 0.6 .10 13% .19 54% .10 1.17 68% 43% 50% +16 +2 1.36 26% 1.0 .26 25% .15 78% .12
Jan
25		 E. Michigan D+ B B+ C- C 30% 20% 50% D+ C- A+ C+ A+ F D+ C+ D+ F F B+ A+ D 53% 25% 23% D+ D C- F F F F+ F F
1.08 64% 44% 35% +4 0 1.09 45% 1.1 .52 28% .31 75% .24 1.27 71% 31% 25% +3 +1 1.08 30% 1.9 .56 13% .35 95% .34
Jan
28		 Central Mich D- C- F B+ D- 46% 12% 42% A D+ B+ C- B- F B- F C- A- F A+ A+ C 46% 15% 39% F+ C- C F F A+ F A+ B
1.02 57% 0% 38% -2 +2 1.00 36% 1.1 .41 23% .30 59% .18 0.94 71% 14% 22% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.6 .51 26% .42 43% .18
Feb
1		 Ball St. D- A+ D- F F+ 32% 11% 57% B D- C+ F F+ C B- A+ A+ F A+ F B- A 59% 10% 31% F B+ F F F F+ F C- F
1.07 78% 33% 22% -4 +1 0.95 32% 0.6 .20 14% .31 95% .29 1.25 37% 60% 31% -11 +3 0.84 41% 1.8 .73 13% .56 71% .40
Feb
4		 Toledo F+ A F F F 47% 8% 45% A- D- F+ B- D D+ A+ C- A D B+ D F D 39% 27% 33% D D F A- C- C- F C F
1.04 72% 0% 25% -2 +2 1.02 24% 1.3 .29 17% .36 71% .25 1.22 50% 43% 41% +2 -1 1.04 38% 0.9 .33 13% .45 75% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
8		 GA St. F F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% A F B- F D F+ A+ B A+ B D- A+ A C+ 52% 15% 33% F C- A+ A- A B+ F F F
0.93 42% 50% 17% -19 +2 0.68 33% 0.8 .25 16% .41 79% .32 0.99 64% 25% 28% -1 +2 1.02 24% 0.8 .18 21% .41 77% .31
Feb
11		 N. Illinois D+ F+ F A+ C- 52% 8% 40% A C F F F D C- A B- C D F A+ D+ 36% 26% 38% C+ C- F C+ D+ C A F C
1.06 48% 25% 47% +2 +3 1.10 21% 0.6 .12 19% .36 80% .29 0.97 58% 57% 20% -2 -1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 16% .19 100% .19
Feb
15		 Bowl Green F F F B+ F 57% 12% 31% A F C A- B F A+ F B- B- D C A+ B- 51% 16% 33% D- C+ A+ F C+ B F+ D F
0.87 46% 20% 38% -7 +3 0.93 29% 1.2 .35 25% .41 57% .24 0.93 60% 38% 19% -6 +2 0.92 15% 1.4 .21 21% .35 79% .28
Feb
18		 W. Michigan F D+ F F F 54% 15% 31% B+ F F A+ C- F A+ D A+ F F F F F 46% 19% 35% D+ F F C+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+
0.90 57% 17% 17% -11 +2 0.82 19% 1.5 .29 25% .70 65% .45 1.37 73% 45% 55% +20 +1 1.42 45% 0.9 .42 15% .08 40% .03
Feb
22		 Ball St. F A+ D- F D- 39% 18% 43% B- D F+ F F F A+ C- A+ C- A+ F F B- 53% 20% 27% D C+ F D- F C F D+ F
0.91 79% 33% 19% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.3 .06 19% .45 69% .31 1.11 33% 56% 42% -6 +1 0.91 35% 1.3 .46 17% .60 72% .43
Feb
25		 Central Mich D D- D B+ D+ 46% 12% 42% A C A- F D- D- F A+ D- C+ A B+ F C 56% 19% 25% F C- C+ F F B- A- F B-
1.00 52% 33% 38% 0 +2 1.04 38% 0.7 .28 22% .19 80% .15 1.06 45% 30% 46% -4 +1 0.96 30% 1.7 .52 19% .23 85% .20
Mar
1		 Toledo B A+ A A+ A+ 44% 12% 44% B- A+ C F F+ F F F F C C+ F D F+ 42% 35% 23% C F+ A+ F C B+ B- F C-
1.31 73% 50% 59% +25 +2 1.54 30% 0.9 .26 21% .13 57% .08 1.12 55% 53% 36% +5 -2 1.08 21% 1.5 .32 17% .27 87% .24
Mar
4		 Miami (OH) F+ C+ F C- D+ 53% 10% 37% A C C F D- C- D- C D F+ F+ A- F F 45% 24% 31% D F A+ C+ B+ C- A- B- A-
0.98 62% 20% 33% 0 +3 1.06 29% 0.7 .21 20% .25 71% .18 1.20 68% 31% 59% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.0 .19 17% .17 70% .12
Mar
7		 Akron D+ D F D D- 45% 10% 45% A- D C F F C+ B A+ A+ D- C D C+ C+ 47% 12% 41% F C F D F F F+ A+ C-
1.01 52% 20% 30% -6 +2 0.92 30% 0.7 .20 17% .33 89% .30 1.27 59% 43% 33% +1 +2 1.07 40% 1.1 .45 9% .30 63% .19