Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -12.7 344
INCC Stats Results Rating -12.7 342
Consistency 0.11 5
Pace 65.9 239
Improvement -0.8 237

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 324 D D D+ D+ D+
Defense D- 334 F+ C- C B+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 356 C+ 58% 148 -5.1 341
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 218 C- 37% 226 -0.2 190
Three Pointers 50% 19 F+ 29% 346 +1.1 139
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 273 D -3.5 297
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 303
Second Chance C- 27.1% 253 D- 0.87 340 D 0.24 307
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 330
Other Turnovers C 7.5% 187
Turnovers D+ 18.8% 285
Freethrows D+ 0.26 300 C 71% 215 D+ 0.18 292
Total Offense D -6.5 324

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 61 D+ 12.9% 274
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 81 F 9.4% 349
Three Pointers C- 81% 241 D+ 1.3% 292
Total B 60% 70 D+ 6.4% 270


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 350 D- 65% 345 -2.6 82
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 344 D 41% 306 -1.5 56
Three Pointers 54% 2 F+ 39% 349 +10.9 363
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 204 F +6.4 360
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.14 356
Second Chance D+ 31.5% 273 C 1.04 207 C- 0.33 251
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 127
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 278
Turnovers C 16.9% 186
Freethrows B+ 0.23 25 D+ 74% 287 B+ 0.17 38
Total Defense D- -6.2 334

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 259 D 7.7% 304
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 33% 309 C+ 5.4% 132
Three Pointers D 89% 317 D 0.3% 311
Total F+ 66% 353 D- 3.3% 335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 287 16.8 85
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 341 0.20 314
Consistency 0.09 11 0.12 189
Improvement +1.9 93 -2.7 309



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Tue, Nov 5 21 BYU L 50 - 88 1% -20  0% 0 - 1 F -21 F -11 D- F F C+ -11 A F C
Thu, Nov 7 69 Utah L 63 - 98 2% -24  0% 0 - 2 F -21 F -11 D- F D+ D- -11 D- F+ C
Sat, Nov 16 342 Western Illinois L 61 - 63 36% +4  79% 0 - 3 F -21 F -11 D+ D F C -11 D+ A F
Thu, Nov 21 199 Southeast Missouri St. L 73 - 77 OT 24% -0  28% 0 - 4 F -21 F -11 F F+ B- B- -11 C- A- C+
Sun, Nov 24 203 UNC Asheville W 92 - 83 2OT 25% +3  71% 1 - 4 F -21 D+ -11 C C+ B- B -11 D D+ A+
Sat, Nov 30 100 Georgia Tech L 68 - 87 4% -10  0% 1 - 5 F -21 B- -11 A- F A F -11 F+ D+ F
Wed, Dec 4 240 Arkansas Little Rock L 57 - 63 15% -6  4% 1 - 6 F -21 F -11 F F C- A+ -11 C B A+
Sat, Dec 7 364 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 78 - 84 63% -8  19% 1 - 7 F -21 D- -11 F C+ C+ F -11 F D- C
Sat, Dec 14 32 Arkansas L 57 - 82 1% -19  0% 1 - 8 F -21 D+ -11 F C A D -11 F F B+
Mon, Dec 16 357 The Citadel W 73 - 71 70% +4  84% 2 - 8 F -21 F -11 D+ F C+ D+ -11 F B A+
Sun, Dec 22 38 Oklahoma L 66 - 89 1% -11  0% 2 - 9 F -21 D -11 C- F+ B+ C -11 C+ B- D-
Thu, Jan 2 196 Eastern Kentucky L 83 - 89 2OT 24% -0  47% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -21 F -11 D- F+ B B- -11 D B+ C+
Sat, Jan 4 347 Bellarmine W 71 - 65 62% -2  22% 3 - 10 1 - 1 F -21 F -11 F D C- B -11 C C+ B
Thu, Jan 9 352 Stetson L 65 - 75 43% -15  0% 3 - 11 1 - 2 F -21 F+ -11 F C+ D+ F -11 F F B+
Sat, Jan 11 195 Florida Gulf Coast L 71 - 77 11% -4  30% 3 - 12 1 - 3 F -21 D+ -11 D B C- C- -11 D+ F A+
Thu, Jan 16 276 North Florida L 80 - 92 20% -3  39% 3 - 13 1 - 4 F -21 C- -11 C- D F+ F -11 F F D
Sat, Jan 18 207 Jacksonville L 62 - 72 12% -5  35% 3 - 14 1 - 5 F -21 D+ -11 D F A- D- -11 F A B
Thu, Jan 23 279 Austin Peay L 71 - 73 39% +2  65% 3 - 15 1 - 6 F -21 D- -11 B- F+ D+ D+ -11 C C F
Sat, Jan 25 99 Lipscomb L 55 - 68 10% -7  4% 3 - 16 1 - 7 F -21 F -11 C- F F B- -11 A F C-
Wed, Jan 29 351 West Georgia W 75 - 70 63% +8  91% 4 - 16 2 - 7 F -21 D -11 C- A- F D -11 D- B- B
Sat, Feb 1 129 North Alabama L 65 - 94 6% -18  1% 4 - 17 2 - 8 F -21 D+ -11 B+ D+ F F -11 F F+ F
Wed, Feb 5 209 Queens L 47 - 63 26% -12  18% 4 - 18 2 - 9 F -21 F -11 F C F B -11 B+ F+ D+
Sat, Feb 8 279 Austin Peay L 67 - 90 20% -13  3% 4 - 19 2 - 10 F -21 D- -11 D+ C F F -11 F F F
Thu, Feb 13 207 Jacksonville L 62 - 77 26% -9  0% 4 - 20 2 - 11 F -21 F -11 C D F F -11 F D+ F
Sat, Feb 15 276 North Florida W 84 - 83 OT 39% -7  9% 5 - 20 3 - 11 F -21 D- -11 D+ C+ F+ C- -11 D+ C- B-
Tue, Feb 18 209 Queens L 72 - 89 12% -12  1% 5 - 21 3 - 12 F -21 C- -11 B+ D+ F F -11 F A F
Thu, Feb 20 351 West Georgia W 82 - 71 40% +5  80% 6 - 21 4 - 12 F -21 B- -11 B+ F+ C- C- -11 F D+ A
Mon, Feb 24 129 North Alabama L 70 - 93 14% -13  6% 6 - 22 4 - 13 F -21 C- -11 C B+ F+ F -11 F F D
Wed, Feb 26 99 Lipscomb L 60 - 78 4% -11  0% 6 - 23 4 - 14 F -21 F+ -11 D D D+ C- -11 D A- C
Sun, Mar 2 352 Stetson W 77 - 72 54% +1  60% 7 - 23 F -21 D -11 F+ C- B+ C- -11 F+ C+ D+
Mon, Mar 3 99 Lipscomb L 66 - 84 4% -15  1% 7 - 24 F -21 D+ -11 C- F B- D- -11 F C D+
Totals 7 - 24 4 - 14 -13 D -7 C D D+ D- -6 F+ C D+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C+ C- F+ D 29% 36% 50% D+ D C- D- D D+ D+ C D+ D- D- D F+ F 30% 16% 54% C- F+ D+ C C- C B+ D+ B+
0.99 58% 37% 29% -3 -1 0.93 27% 0.9 .24 19% .26 71% .18 1.18 65% 41% 39% +6 0 1.14 31% 1.0 .33 17% .23 74% .19
Nov
5		 BYU F A+ B- F D 8% 34% 58% D- D- B- F F F C F F C+ F C- B+ A 21% 12% 67% B- A F C- F C A+ A A+
0.73 100% 41% 24% -4 -4 0.86 26% 0.2 .05 26% .26 38% .10 1.28 75% 43% 32% +2 0 1.05 49% 1.2 .56 16% .19 64% .12
Nov
7		 Utah F F F D- F+ 28% 11% 61% B D- D F F D+ F+ C+ D- D- F F C- F+ 16% 2% 82% B- D- B F F+ C C- F F
0.82 35% 29% 30% -11 +1 0.80 20% 0.4 .08 18% .22 71% .16 1.27 89% 100% 34% +6 +1 1.16 32% 1.5 .49 17% .36 83% .30
Nov
16		 W. Illinois F A+ F+ F D+ 33% 22% 46% C D+ D- B- D F F A+ F C D+ F A C+ 29% 10% 60% F D+ C- A+ A F F B F
0.99 73% 30% 29% 0 0 1.00 27% 1.3 .33 21% .14 100% .14 1.03 57% 80% 28% -1 +1 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 11% .37 65% .24
Nov
21		 SE MO St. F A+ D- F D- 32% 36% 32% F F D+ F F+ B- A+ D- A B- C- B D- C- 21% 27% 52% C- C- D A+ A- C+ D+ A- C
0.93 76% 32% 12% -7 -2 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 17% .49 69% .34 0.98 62% 35% 38% +3 -2 1.03 26% 0.4 .09 17% .26 65% .17
Nov
24		 NC Asheville D+ A+ A+ F B- 24% 34% 41% F C D+ B C+ B- A B A B F B D- D- 9% 26% 66% B+ D F B D+ A+ A A+ A
1.12 79% 60% 21% +5 -3 1.05 31% 1.2 .37 16% .40 75% .30 1.01 100% 33% 37% +6 -3 1.07 36% 0.9 .34 27% .22 62% .13
Nov
30		 GA Tech B- D+ F A+ A 20% 18% 62% C- A- F F F A C+ A+ B+ F B- F F F 25% 19% 56% B- F+ D C+ D+ F D F F
1.05 50% 22% 45% +6 -1 1.12 17% 0.2 .03 12% .25 86% .21 1.35 54% 50% 41% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.1 .38 8% .34 80% .27
Dec
4		 Little Rock F A+ F F F 13% 38% 48% F F F D- F C- C- C- D+ A+ F A+ B C+ 20% 20% 59% F+ C C A- B A+ B+ F B-
0.77 86% 20% 24% -10 -4 0.73 27% 0.8 .20 22% .31 72% .23 0.86 80% 20% 31% -1 -1 0.96 29% 0.8 .23 29% .19 80% .15
Dec
7		 Pine Bluff D- A D- F F 23% 17% 60% F+ F A- F+ C+ C+ A F B- F F+ F F F 35% 4% 61% D F C F D- C D F F
1.11 75% 33% 19% -10 0 0.79 44% 1.0 .46 16% .44 62% .27 1.19 65% 100% 43% +14 +2 1.33 24% 1.1 .28 20% .32 72% .23
Dec
14		 Arkansas D+ C- F F F 33% 16% 51% C F F+ A+ C A A A- A+ D F C- F F 35% 24% 41% B F C- F F B+ A+ D+ A+
0.88 50% 25% 20% -15 0 0.71 17% 1.3 .23 14% .32 78% .25 1.26 82% 42% 45% +17 -1 1.33 30% 1.6 .48 18% .17 78% .13
Dec
16		 The Citadel F D- B C+ D 38% 12% 50% B D+ D+ F F C+ F A+ D- D+ C A+ F F 33% 2% 65% F F A C- B A+ A+ A- A
1.02 55% 43% 34% 0 +1 1.03 29% 0.3 .10 14% .21 85% .18 1.00 56% 0% 45% +10 +2 1.25 20% 1.0 .20 27% .17 56% .10
Dec
22		 Oklahoma D F A+ C- C- 27% 21% 52% D+ C- D F F+ B+ F A+ D- C D+ D+ C C+ 41% 15% 44% B- C+ C- A- B- D- A+ F A+
0.90 33% 58% 31% -4 -1 0.91 22% 0.7 .15 16% .18 82% .15 1.22 63% 44% 35% +4 +1 1.10 29% 1.1 .31 12% .22 93% .20
Jan
2		 E. Kentucky F C- B+ F D- 31% 23% 46% C D- D- F+ F+ B F F F B- D- B C- D+ 27% 23% 50% F D C+ A B+ C+ D- C+ D-
0.98 59% 44% 28% -2 -1 0.96 28% 0.9 .24 15% .19 50% .10 1.05 65% 33% 34% +1 -1 1.02 31% 0.8 .24 15% .29 76% .22
Jan
4		 Bellarmine F C- F F F 21% 15% 64% D+ F C- F+ D C- A+ F A- B B F C+ C- 29% 13% 58% B C D+ A- C+ B A+ B+ A+
1.06 60% 29% 30% -4 0 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 16% .48 63% .30 0.97 53% 57% 33% +1 0 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 21% .13 71% .09
Jan
9		 Stetson F+ D- B F F 34% 13% 53% C F A+ F C+ D+ F A F F F+ F F F 34% 10% 56% F F F D+ F B+ D C- D
1.05 50% 43% 21% -12 +1 0.79 47% 0.8 .39 15% .13 86% .11 1.21 64% 50% 43% +12 +1 1.27 38% 1.2 .46 23% .33 75% .25
Jan
11		 FGCU D+ F A+ D+ D 25% 18% 56% C- D B C+ B C- F A+ D C- F+ A+ C+ C- 41% 11% 48% F+ D+ D- F F A+ F F F
1.03 43% 50% 32% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 15% .20 83% .17 1.12 68% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.07 33% 1.6 .54 23% .34 83% .29
Jan
16		 N. Florida C- D F A+ C 40% 21% 38% D- C- D+ D+ D F+ A+ A A+ F D+ F F F 34% 3% 62% D F F D- F D A A+ A+
1.14 53% 30% 44% +3 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 19% .49 82% .40 1.31 60% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.28 33% 1.3 .42 13% .13 38% .05
Jan
18		 Jacksonville D+ D- F A- D 35% 21% 44% D D C+ F F A- F B F+ D- C- A F F 45% 14% 41% F F F A+ A B C+ C C+
0.98 50% 18% 39% -3 0 0.94 32% 0.5 .17 16% .23 75% .17 1.14 55% 29% 50% +7 +1 1.18 42% 0.5 .23 22% .24 67% .16
Jan
23		 Austin Peay D- C A A- B 45% 17% 38% C B- D+ F F+ D+ F F+ F D+ A A- F+ C 45% 19% 36% C- C C C- C F B+ D- B
1.04 58% 44% 40% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .21 19% .16 67% .11 1.07 42% 27% 38% -6 +1 0.90 25% 1.1 .28 9% .21 77% .16
Jan
25		 Lipscomb F A- F F D 31% 15% 54% A C- C+ F F F B+ F D B- F F A+ A+ 28% 6% 66% F A D F F C- F B- F
0.86 67% 29% 27% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.5 .14 20% .27 43% .12 1.06 79% 67% 18% -8 +1 0.88 26% 1.6 .40 14% .38 76% .29
Jan
29		 W. Georgia D A F A C- 38% 21% 40% C- C- B+ C+ A- F F D+ F D C B- D D- 41% 24% 35% D+ D- F A+ B- B F C- F
1.11 72% 10% 42% +5 0 1.11 38% 1.2 .44 22% .25 69% .17 1.03 55% 33% 35% -1 0 0.98 41% 0.6 .24 19% .36 70% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 N. Alabama D+ B+ F A+ A- 27% 16% 57% D+ B+ C+ F D+ F C F F F F F F F 39% 16% 45% D- F C F F+ F B+ A+ A+
1.02 67% 14% 44% +7 0 1.16 32% 0.7 .24 24% .27 46% .12 1.48 68% 67% 44% +16 +1 1.34 31% 1.4 .44 6% .22 46% .10
Feb
5		 Queens F C+ F F F 36% 28% 36% D- F B- D+ C F D- F F B F A+ B- B 9% 11% 81% A B+ D F+ F+ D+ A+ C- A
0.76 59% 23% 6% -19 -1 0.62 33% 1.0 .33 21% .24 50% .12 1.01 75% 20% 32% -3 -1 0.94 33% 1.2 .39 18% .20 70% .14
Feb
8		 Austin Peay D- C- A+ F D 46% 10% 44% B- D+ D+ B- C F A+ F+ A+ F F F F+ F 29% 3% 68% F+ F A F F F A+ A A+
1.00 56% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.00 29% 1.1 .32 22% .62 66% .40 1.34 76% 50% 38% +10 +2 1.24 19% 2.5 .47 7% .13 63% .08
Feb
13		 Jacksonville F C- F+ B- C- 41% 16% 43% C+ C D+ D D F C F D+ F F D F F 25% 31% 44% A+ F A+ F D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.94 56% 29% 37% 0 +1 1.02 28% 0.9 .24 26% .33 63% .20 1.16 64% 41% 42% +8 -2 1.13 26% 1.5 .39 15% .11 50% .05
Feb
15		 N. Florida D- A+ D- F+ C+ 25% 35% 39% F D+ C+ C C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F D- 12% 17% 72% A+ D+ F A- C- B- A- D+ B
1.12 92% 33% 30% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 19% .41 84% .35 1.11 86% 10% 40% +5 -1 1.08 36% 0.9 .32 17% .16 70% .11
Feb
18		 Queens C- B- B- A B+ 34% 16% 50% C B+ D+ D+ D+ F A A+ A+ F C+ F F F 37% 4% 59% D- F A+ F A F F+ F F
1.08 60% 43% 41% +7 0 1.16 28% 1.0 .28 27% .37 89% .33 1.34 56% 50% 55% +19 +2 1.43 14% 1.3 .18 11% .37 77% .29
Feb
20		 W. Georgia B- D A+ A+ B+ 38% 11% 51% B B+ C F F+ C- A B- A C- C+ D- F F 36% 26% 38% C F C+ F D+ A D- F F
1.19 56% 60% 46% +11 +1 1.26 30% 0.8 .23 17% .42 75% .32 1.03 53% 42% 44% +6 -1 1.11 24% 1.3 .32 22% .32 76% .24
Feb
24		 N. Alabama C- B+ F+ C+ C+ 31% 21% 48% D C C A B+ F+ C C C F F F F F 28% 35% 37% A+ F F F F D A+ A A+
1.07 67% 30% 35% +2 0 1.04 30% 1.2 .36 20% .27 71% .19 1.43 80% 58% 40% +17 -3 1.30 39% 1.6 .64 11% .14 63% .09
Feb
26		 Lipscomb F+ F A+ F C- 20% 41% 39% F D F A+ D D+ B B- B C- C D F+ D 28% 13% 58% D+ D D+ A+ A- C C F+ C-
0.90 40% 60% 21% -2 -4 0.90 15% 1.4 .21 18% .26 71% .18 1.17 60% 43% 39% +6 0 1.13 25% 0.8 .19 15% .26 87% .23
Mar
2		 Stetson D A+ A+ F F 35% 9% 56% B- F+ F A+ C- B+ B A+ A+ C- D+ B+ F F 27% 29% 45% A F+ B+ F+ C+ D+ A+ C- A+
1.12 79% 80% 13% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.8 .33 10% .31 95% .29 1.04 60% 31% 44% +6 -2 1.09 18% 1.3 .24 17% .14 75% .11
Mar
3		 Lipscomb D+ D- A+ D C- 27% 21% 52% B- C- F C F B- C- A+ A- D- F F D+ F 22% 18% 60% B- F D+ B+ C D+ A D+ A-
0.98 50% 55% 30% -2 -1 0.96 15% 1.0 .15 15% .21 100% .21 1.25 75% 70% 36% +12 -1 1.24 25% 1.1 .28 13% .19 82% .15