Preseason Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Queens 27%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.6 180 C+ +1 125 D+ -3 275 0 1 0 1
Lipscomb 22%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.2 193 C -1 174 C- -2 218 0 1 0 1
Jacksonville 17%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.5 237 C- -1 201 D+ -3 279 0 1 0 1
Florida Gulf Coast 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.8 271 D+ -4 280 C- -2 240 0 1 0 1
Stetson 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.5 278 C- -2 244 D -4 315 0 1 0 1
Bellarmine 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.9 300 C- -1 188 F+ -7 361 0 1 0 1
North Florida 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.3 321 D+ -3 258 F+ -6 359 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 300 Bellarmine 59 22 Vanderbilt 86 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 48 Clemson 78 278 Stetson 57 96%   
Mon, Nov 2 271 Florida Gulf Coast 63 61 Central Florida 82 95%   
Mon, Nov 2 180 Queens 80 215 Winthrop 78 57%   
Mon, Nov 2 193 Lipscomb 74 268 Southeast Missouri St. 73 52%   
Tue, Nov 3 46 Iowa 77 193 Lipscomb 60 94%   
Tue, Nov 3 90 South Carolina 78 278 Stetson 63 92%   
Tue, Nov 3 219 California Baptist 78 321 North Florida 69 80%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th
Queens 2 37% 23% 10% 4% 37 23 16 11 7 5 2
Lipscomb 3 32% 20% 9% 3% 32 21 17 13 9 6 4
Jacksonville 3 22% 12% 7% 3% 22 19 17 14 12 10 6
Stetson 4 16% 8% 5% 2% 16 15 17 16 15 13 9
Florida Gulf Coast 4 14% 7% 5% 2% 14 14 17 14 15 15 12
Bellarmine 5 7% 2% 3% 2% 7 10 12 15 17 20 19
North Florida 5 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 9 11 15 17 20 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Queens 7 - 5 17 - 15 0 1 2 5 8 15 18 20 15 10 4 1
Lipscomb 7 - 5 16 - 14 0 0 1 3 6 11 17 19 17 13 8 4 1
Jacksonville 6 - 6 11 - 16 0 1 2 5 10 15 19 17 15 11 5 2 0
Stetson 6 - 6 10 - 18 0 1 4 8 14 16 19 15 12 7 3 1 0
Florida Gulf Coast 6 - 6 12 - 17 0 2 5 9 13 18 17 16 11 6 2 1 0
Bellarmine 5 - 7 11 - 18 1 3 8 15 17 20 16 11 7 3 1 0 0
North Florida 5 - 7 10 - 19 1 4 9 15 19 19 15 10 5 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Queens 27% 27% 0% 15 Negligible 2 5 13 8 73
Lipscomb 22% 22% 0% Negligible 1 3 9 8 78
Jacksonville 17% 17% 0% Negligible 2 6 9 83
Florida Gulf Coast 11% 11% 0% Negligible 3 7 89
Stetson 12% 12% 0% Negligible 4 7 88
Bellarmine 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 5 94
North Florida 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 5 94

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 62% 0.6 38 62
2nd Round 4% 0.0 96 4
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Queens 27% 17% 19% 1%
Lipscomb 22% 15% 14% 1%
Jacksonville 17% 14% 10% 1%
Florida Gulf Coast 11% 10% 6%
Stetson 12% 10% 7%
Bellarmine 6% 6% 3%
North Florida 6% 5% 3%