Preseason Rankings
Big South
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
High Point 56%   13   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +9.0 64 B +6 56 B- +3 87 0 1 0 1
Longwood 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.3 211 C- -2 232 C- -1 203 0 1 0 1
Presbyterian 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.4 213 C- -2 226 C- -1 207 0 1 0 1
Winthrop 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.4 215 C -1 176 D+ -3 268 0 1 0 1
Radford 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.4 258 D+ -3 254 D+ -3 267 0 1 0 1
UNC Asheville 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.9 283 D+ -4 293 D+ -3 263 0 1 0 1
Charleston Southern 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.8 316 D -5 325 D+ -3 287 0 1 0 1
SC Upstate 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.4 347 D- -7 344 D -5 330 0 1 0 1
Gardner-Webb 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.4 353 D- -7 347 D- -5 345 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 64 High Point 76 131 Liberty 68 76%   
Mon, Nov 2 353 Gardner-Webb 51 4 Connecticut 86 100%   
Mon, Nov 2 316 Charleston Southern 71 91 South Florida 89 94%   
Mon, Nov 2 213 Presbyterian 68 152 St. Thomas 69 52%   
Mon, Nov 2 180 Queens 80 215 Winthrop 78 57%   
Mon, Nov 2 129 Richmond 74 283 UNC Asheville 63 86%   
Mon, Nov 2 258 Radford 68 154 San Francisco 76 79%   
Mon, Nov 2 175 East Carolina 78 347 South Carolina Upstate 65 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1 79% 67% 10% 2% 79 14 4 2 0 0 0 0
Longwood 4 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 23 19 15 11 11 6 4 2
Winthrop 4 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 23 20 16 12 10 7 4 2
Presbyterian 4 7% 4% 3% 1% 7 18 16 16 15 12 9 5 3
Radford 4 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 18 18 16 13 10 9 6 3
UNC Asheville 5 4% 2% 2% 0% 4 11 15 15 16 14 12 9 5
Charleston Southern 6 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 5 7 10 13 16 16 16 16
Gardner-Webb 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 5 7 11 13 18 20 24
SC Upstate 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 8 10 14 17 23 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 2 24 - 6 0 0 0 1 2 6 11 19 24 24 12
Longwood 9 - 7 16 - 13 0 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 15 15 15 12 7 4 2 0 0
Winthrop 9 - 6 14 - 14 0 0 1 3 5 9 12 14 17 15 12 6 3 1 0
Presbyterian 8 - 7 14 - 14 0 0 1 1 4 7 11 15 16 17 12 9 4 3 1 0
Radford 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 8 10 13 17 16 12 8 6 2 1 0 0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 12 - 17 0 0 2 3 6 11 14 17 16 12 8 6 3 1 0 0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 10 - 19 0 2 5 10 12 16 16 15 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 8 - 20 1 3 8 13 16 18 16 12 8 4 2 1 0 0
SC Upstate 5 - 10 9 - 20 1 3 8 12 16 18 15 12 8 4 2 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
High Point 56% 55% 3% 13 Likely Out 1 2 14 23 13 2 44
Longwood 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 92
Presbyterian 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 4 89
Winthrop 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 2 5 4 89
Radford 7% 7% 0% Negligible 3 4 93
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
Charleston Southern 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
SC Upstate 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 82% 0.8 18 81 1
2nd Round 16% 0.2 84 16 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 56% 2% 55% 14% 4% 1%
Longwood 8% 6% 4%
Presbyterian 11% 7% 6% 1%
Winthrop 11% 7% 8% 1%
Radford 7% 6% 5%
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 3%
Charleston Southern 1% 1% 1%
SC Upstate 1% 1% 1%
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 1%