Preseason Rankings
Horizon
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Wright St. 22%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.2 155 C +0 146 C -1 180 0 1 0 1
Robert Morris 18%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.0 167 C- -1 189 C +0 155 0 1 0 1
Green Bay 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.8 203 C +0 167 D+ -2 255 0 1 0 1
Oakland 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.4 214 C- -1 200 C- -2 241 0 1 0 1
Northern Kentucky 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.6 220 D+ -3 253 C- -1 190 0 1 0 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.5 241 C- -2 227 D+ -3 258 0 1 0 1
Northern Illinois 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.0 252 C- -1 192 D -4 308 0 1 0 1
Youngstown St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.7 267 D+ -3 265 D+ -3 262 0 1 0 1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.8 269 D+ -3 264 D+ -3 269 0 1 0 1
Detroit Mercy 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.2 274 C- -2 230 D -4 318 0 1 0 1
Cleveland St. 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.2 288 C- -3 247 D -5 332 0 1 0 1
IU Indianapolis 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8 298 C- -2 228 D- -6 349 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 15 Michigan 90 214 Oakland 67 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 241 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 65 33 USC 86 97%   
Mon, Nov 2 77 Nevada 71 167 Robert Morris 60 85%   
Mon, Nov 2 140 St. Bonaventure 75 267 Youngstown St. 65 82%   
Mon, Nov 2 220 Northern Kentucky 69 177 UTEP 71 58%   
Mon, Nov 2 285 Air Force 64 155 Wright St. 74 82%   
Mon, Nov 2 328 Grambling St. 68 252 Northern Illinois 73 69%   
Tue, Nov 3 288 Cleveland St. 63 37 Missouri 87 98%   
Tue, Nov 3 121 Duquesne 79 269 Purdue Fort Wayne 68 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 3 32% 23% 7% 2% 32 18 14 9 8 5 4 3 3 2 1 1
Robert Morris 4 26% 18% 6% 2% 26 17 14 10 9 6 5 4 3 2 2 1
Oakland 5 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 14 13 11 9 9 7 6 6 5 3 2
Green Bay 5 12% 7% 4% 1% 12 12 12 10 11 9 8 8 6 5 4 3
Northern Kentucky 6 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 11 12 10 10 11 9 9 7 6 4 3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 10 10 9 9 10 10 9 7 6 5
Youngstown St. 6 6% 4% 2% 1% 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 8 7 5
Northern Illinois 7 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 7 9 9 10 10 9 10 8 8 8 6
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 6 7 7 9 10 9 9 10 10 9 8
Detroit Mercy 7 4% 2% 1% 0% 4 5 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 10
Cleveland St. 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 5 5 7 7 9 10 11 13 13 15
IU Indianapolis 9 1% 1% 0% 0% 1 2 3 3 6 7 8 8 12 13 17 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 13 - 7 18 - 12 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 7 11 13 13 14 10 9 6 3 1 0
Robert Morris 12 - 8 17 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 6 9 12 12 12 13 9 8 5 2 1 0
Oakland 11 - 9 13 - 19 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Green Bay 11 - 9 15 - 15 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 11 12 14 12 11 7 5 3 2 1 0 0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 15 0 0 0 1 3 4 7 9 12 13 13 12 9 6 4 3 1 1 0 0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10 - 10 12 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 12 12 12 12 10 9 5 4 2 1 0 0 0
Youngstown St. 10 - 10 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 13 12 14 12 9 7 4 3 1 1 0 0
Northern Illinois 10 - 10 13 - 18 0 0 1 2 5 8 10 11 12 13 12 9 8 5 3 2 0 0 0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 3 6 9 10 12 13 13 10 8 6 3 2 1 1 0 0
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 5 6 10 11 12 12 12 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0
Cleveland St. 8 - 12 10 - 18 0 1 1 4 7 9 11 13 12 13 10 8 5 4 2 1 0 0 0
IU Indianapolis 7 - 13 11 - 19 0 0 2 5 9 11 13 14 13 10 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Wright St. 22% 22% 0% 15 Negligible 1 3 7 9 2 78
Robert Morris 18% 18% 0% Negligible 2 5 7 2 82
Green Bay 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 2 5 3 89
Oakland 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 3 89
Northern Kentucky 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 1 3 3 91
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 4 2 92
Northern Illinois 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 94
Youngstown St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 95
Detroit Mercy 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Cleveland St. 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 98
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 2 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 73% 0.7 27 73 0
2nd Round 6% 0.1 94 6
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 22% 8% 19% 2% 1%
Robert Morris 18% 7% 15% 1%
Green Bay 11% 6% 8% 1%
Oakland 11% 6% 8% 1%
Northern Kentucky 9% 6% 5%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8% 5% 6%
Northern Illinois 6% 4% 4%
Youngstown St. 6% 5% 4%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 4% 3%
Detroit Mercy
Cleveland St. 2% 2% 1%
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 1%