Preseason Rankings
Mid-American
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Akron 20%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +4.7 101 B- +3 102 C+ +2 101 0 1 0 1
Miami (OH) 22%   13   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +3.9 106 B- +3 97 C+ +1 122 0 1 0 1
Kent St. 12%   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +1.9 128 C +1 140 C+ +1 116 0 1 0 1
Toledo 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +0.1 150 C+ +1 129 C- -1 193 0 1 0 1
Ohio 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.5 160 C+ +2 115 D+ -2 247 0 1 0 1
Massachusetts 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.7 162 C- -1 196 C +0 144 0 1 0 1
Western Michigan 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9 165 C+ +2 111 D+ -3 278 0 1 0 1
Bowling Green 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.9 186 C +0 166 C- -2 214 0 1 0 1
Eastern Michigan 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.9 187 C- -2 217 C +0 163 0 1 0 1
Buffalo 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.3 197 C +0 165 C- -2 239 0 1 0 1
Ball St. 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.8 226 C- -2 225 C- -2 228 0 1 0 1
Central Michigan 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.4 260 D+ -3 255 D+ -3 264 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 151 James Madison 73 106 Miami (OH) 74 53%   
Mon, Nov 2 101 Akron 71 212 Louisiana 66 69%   
Mon, Nov 2 174 Arkansas St. 78 150 Toledo 77 56%   
Mon, Nov 2 162 Massachusetts 69 169 Troy 72 60%   
Mon, Nov 2 216 Old Dominion 77 165 Western Michigan 76 52%   
Mon, Nov 2 128 Kent St. 71 279 Louisiana Tech 65 70%   
Mon, Nov 2 186 Bowling Green 73 224 Georgia St. 74 55%   
Mon, Nov 2 160 Ohio 72 257 South Alabama 70 57%   
Mon, Nov 2 197 Buffalo 72 240 Marshall 73 53%   
Mon, Nov 2 247 Coastal Carolina 70 187 Eastern Michigan 69 50%   
Mon, Nov 2 226 Ball St. 71 314 Georgia Southern 69 57%   
Mon, Nov 2 260 Central Michigan 75 342 Louisiana Monroe 72 60%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Miami (OH) 3 34% 24% 7% 2% 34 18 13 10 8 6 4 3 2 2 1 1
Akron 3 25% 16% 7% 2% 25 21 16 12 8 6 5 3 2 1 1 0
Kent St. 4 18% 12% 5% 2% 18 16 13 11 10 8 6 5 5 3 2 1
Toledo 5 11% 7% 3% 1% 11 12 12 12 10 9 9 8 7 5 4 3
Ohio 6 9% 5% 2% 1% 9 11 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 7 5 4
Western Michigan 6 8% 5% 3% 1% 8 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 8 7 6 5
Massachusetts 7 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 7 7 8 9 9 11 10 9 10 8 6
Eastern Michigan 7 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 8 7 8 10 9 11 10 9 9 8 6
Buffalo 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 6 8 9 8 10 10 11 11 10 9
Bowling Green 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 4 5 6 9 9 11 10 11 11 11 10
Ball St. 8 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 5 6 7 7 9 9 11 13 13 14
Central Michigan 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 2 4 4 6 7 10 11 14 17 22

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Miami (OH) 14 - 8 19 - 10 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 5 7 10 11 11 12 12 10 7 4 2 1 0
Akron 14 - 7 18 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 10 14 14 14 12 7 5 3 1 0
Kent St. 13 - 9 17 - 11 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 6 9 10 11 12 12 11 8 6 4 2 1 0 0
Toledo 12 - 10 16 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 2 4 6 10 10 12 12 12 10 7 5 4 2 1 0 0
Ohio 11 - 11 15 - 14 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 9 11 11 12 10 10 7 4 2 1 1 0 0 0
Western Michigan 11 - 11 14 - 14 0 0 0 1 1 2 5 6 8 10 11 12 11 9 9 6 4 3 1 1 0 0
Massachusetts 10 - 11 15 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 4 5 8 11 11 12 11 10 9 7 4 2 2 1 0 0
Eastern Michigan 10 - 12 13 - 15 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 10 11 12 12 10 8 6 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 0
Buffalo 10 - 12 13 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 11 11 12 10 9 7 6 3 2 1 0 0
Bowling Green 9 - 11 13 - 14 0 0 1 1 4 6 8 10 12 12 12 12 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Ball St. 9 - 13 11 - 17 0 1 1 2 5 8 10 11 12 11 10 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0
Central Michigan 8 - 14 9 - 20 0 1 3 3 8 10 11 14 13 11 9 6 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Akron 20% 19% 1% Likely Out 5 9 4 1 80
Miami (OH) 22% 20% 2% 13 Likely Out 1 1 5 9 4 1 78
Kent St. 12% 12% 1% Likely Out 2 5 4 2 88
Toledo 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 2 91
Ohio 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 2 92
Massachusetts 6% 6% 0% Negligible 0 2 3 1 94
Western Michigan 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 2 3 1 93
Bowling Green 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 95
Eastern Michigan 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 1 2 1 1 95
Buffalo 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 1 0 95
Ball St. 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 0 98
Central Michigan 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 0 1 0 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 97 3 0
1st Round 95% 1.0 5 94 2
2nd Round 16% 0.2 84 16 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 20% 1% 19% 4% 1%
Miami (OH) 22% 1% 21% 4% 1%
Kent St. 12% 1% 12% 2% 1%
Toledo 9% 1% 9% 1%
Ohio 8% 1% 8% 1%
Massachusetts 6% 1% 6% 1%
Western Michigan 7% 1% 7% 1%
Bowling Green 5% 1% 4%
Eastern Michigan 5% 1% 4%
Buffalo 5% 1% 4% 1%
Ball St. 2% 1% 2%
Central Michigan 2% 1% 1%