Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
LIU Brooklyn 33%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.0 251 D+ -3 268 C- -2 226 0 1 0 1
Mercyhurst 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.0 302 D -4 300 D -4 298 0 1 0 1
Le Moyne 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.3 320 D -5 315 D -4 323 0 1 0 1
Central Connecticut St. 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.4 335 D- -7 345 D+ -3 290 0 1 0 1
Fairleigh Dickinson 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.7 339 D- -6 340 D -4 320 0 1 0 1
Wagner 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.8 341 D- -7 348 D -4 300 0 1 0 1
Chicago St. 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.6 349 D- -7 343 D -5 334 0 1 0 1
Stonehill 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.1 351 D- -8 354 D -5 331 0 1 0 1
New Haven 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.1 352 F+ -8 357 D -4 319 0 1 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Nov 2 339 Fairleigh Dickinson 50 3 Illinois 85 100%   
Mon, Nov 2 349 Chicago St. 53 12 Texas 85 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 320 Le Moyne 58 23 Nebraska 86 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 34 Marquette 82 302 Mercyhurst 57 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 117 Florida Atlantic 79 251 LIU Brooklyn 68 84%   
Mon, Nov 2 352 New Haven 53 65 Syracuse 77 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 335 Central Connecticut St. 58 118 Temple 73 92%   
Tue, Nov 3 107 Boston College 75 341 Wagner 58 94%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
LIU Brooklyn 3 36% 23% 9% 3% 36 20 14 10 8 4 4 2 1
Wagner 4 18% 10% 5% 3% 18 16 13 12 10 10 8 7 5
Le Moyne 4 16% 10% 5% 2% 16 15 14 12 11 9 9 7 6
Mercyhurst 4 13% 7% 4% 2% 13 15 15 13 11 11 10 6 5
Fairleigh Dickinson 5 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 11 13 11 12 11 10 9 8
Chicago St. 5 9% 5% 3% 2% 9 10 12 12 13 12 11 11 10
Stonehill 5 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 12 10
New Haven 6 7% 4% 2% 2% 7 9 9 10 11 12 14 14 14
Central Connecticut St. 6 7% 3% 2% 2% 7 7 9 10 11 12 13 15 15

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 5 13 - 17 0 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 16 18 15 12 7 3 1
Wagner 8 - 8 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 3 7 11 13 16 14 13 11 5 3 1 0 0
Le Moyne 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 1 2 4 8 10 14 15 16 12 9 6 3 1 0 0
Mercyhurst 8 - 6 11 - 15 0 1 2 3 7 13 14 17 17 12 8 4 2 0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 16 15 14 11 6 4 2 1 0 0
Chicago St. 7 - 9 10 - 22 0 0 2 4 7 10 14 16 16 12 9 6 3 1 0 0
Stonehill 7 - 9 10 - 18 0 0 1 5 8 11 14 15 14 12 8 6 3 1 0 0 0
New Haven 7 - 9 10 - 18 0 1 3 5 10 12 16 16 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 8 9 - 17 0 1 3 6 10 14 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
LIU Brooklyn 33% 33% 0% 16 Negligible 1 6 26 67
Mercyhurst 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Le Moyne 15% 15% 0% Negligible 14 85
Central Connecticut St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 8 92
Fairleigh Dickinson 11% 11% 0% Negligible 11 89
Wagner 15% 15% 0% Negligible 15 85
Chicago St. 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Stonehill 9% 9% 0% Negligible 9 91
New Haven 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 51% 0.5 49 51
2nd Round 1% 0.0 99 1
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 33% 31% 18%
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne 15% 15% 8%
Central Connecticut St. 8% 8% 4%
Fairleigh Dickinson 11% 11% 5%
Wagner 15% 15% 8%
Chicago St. 10% 10% 4%
Stonehill 9% 9% 4%
New Haven