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• 2026 - 2027
  • Team Rankings
  • Offense
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  • Projected Seeding
  • Selection Simulation
  • At-Large Selection

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  • Preseason

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2026-27

All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details. Rating Rank INCC Stats Predictive Rating -14.1 359 INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1 Consistency Pace 65.5 262 Improvement - - Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free throws Shot Selection Offense D- 356 F+ D+ D+ C C- Defense F+ 360 F D- B- C D+ Offense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 41% 100 D- 47% 343 -1.5 240 2 Pt. Jumpers 57% 27 D 30% 313 -0.1 187 Three Pointers 34% 312 D 30% 318 -4.7 333 Selection / Accuracy C- -0.3 225 F+ -6.3 360 1st FG Attempt F+ 0.85 358 Second Chance C- 26.9% 259 D+ 0.96 276 D+ 0.26 270 Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 208 Other Turnovers D 9.0% 310 Turnovers D+ 18.6% 273 Freethrows C 0.30 196 C+ 70% 154 C 0.21 175 Total Offense D- -7.6 356 Assists Opponents' Blocks Close Shots C+ 54% 136 F 17.1% 361 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 41% 33 C+ 4.2% 124 Three Pointers D 81% 300 C+ 0.6% 118 Total C 59% 166 F 8.3% 360 Defense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 37% 228 F+ 63% 358 +2.2 263 2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 338 C- 38% 256 -1.7 56 Three Pointers 47% 23 D- 36% 340 +5.6 358 Selection / Accuracy D+ +0.6 283 F +5.5 363 1st FG Attempt F 1.09 363 Second Chance F 37.4% 364 B- 0.96 93 D- 0.36 323 Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 97 Other Turnovers C+ 8.0% 155 Turnovers B- 18.6% 93 Freethrows C 0.30 190 C+ 68% 149 C 0.21 176 Total Defense F+ -6.5 360 Assists Blocks Close Shots D+ 57% 289 C- 9.4% 234 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 31% 261 C- 4.0% 230 Three Pointers D 92% 297 C+ 1.1% 113 Total D 66% 325 D+ 4.6% 250 Miscellaneous Offense Defense Possession Length 18.1 251 17.4 188 Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 132 0.26 363 Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection At-Large Chances Negligible (0%) Projected Seeding Not in Tournament   Prediction Ranges Pessimistic 5th Percentile Expected 50th Percentile Optimistic 95th Percentile Overall Record 4 - 22 8 - 19 14 - 14 Predictive Rating Rank 364 348 294 Results Rating Rank 362 331 255 Conference Record 3 - 11 6 - 8 10 - 4 Conference Finish 8 4 2 NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16 NCAA Tourney Finish None None Opening Round Now Win Next Lose Next #1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0% #1 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0% Opening Round Bye 0% 0% 0% NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 0% 6% At-Large Status Negligible Negligible Negligible At-Large Bid 0% 0% 0% Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0 .500 or above 4% 14% 4% .500 or above in Conf 48% 29% 48% Conference Champion 5% 0% 5% Last Place in Conference 18% 28% 18% Opening Round 6% 0% 6% First Round 3% 0% 3% Second Round 0% 0% 0% Sweet Sixteen 0% 0% 0% Elite Eight 0% 0% 0% Final Four 0% 0% 0% Championship Game 0% 0% 0% National Champion 0% 0% 0% Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0% chance of victory Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large Chance Avg Seed At-Large Selection Chances Indiv. Cumul. 20 - 8 20 - 8 0% 100% 16 Auto Bid 18 - 10 18 - 10 0% 100% Negligible 17 - 11 17 - 11 0% 100% Negligible 16 - 13 16 - 13 0% 100% Negligible 15 - 13 15 - 13 1% 99% Negligible 14 - 14 14 - 14 3% 98% Negligible 13 - 15 13 - 15 4% 94% Negligible 12 - 16 12 - 16 6% 90% Negligible 11 - 17 11 - 17 9% 84% Negligible 10 - 18 10 - 18 11% 75% Negligible 9 - 19 9 - 19 11% 63% Negligible 8 - 19 8 - 19 14% 52% Negligible 7 - 20 7 - 20 10% 38% Negligible 6 - 21 6 - 21 10% 28% Negligible 5 - 22 5 - 22 9% 18% Negligible 4 - 22 4 - 22 5% 9% Negligible 3 - 23 3 - 23 3% 4% Negligible 2 - 24 2 - 24 1% 1% Negligible 1 - 25 1 - 25 0% 0% Negligible 0 - 26 0 - 26 0% 0% Negligible Projected Record by Quadrant Quad Projected Projected Cumulative Quad 1a 0 - 1 0 - 1 Quad 1b 0 - 2 0 - 3 Quad 2 0 - 3 0 - 6 Quad 3 0 - 3 0 - 9 Quad 4 8 - 9 8 - 19

NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Wins Chance			Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16		No Bid
		Indiv.	Cumul.
20 - 8	20 - 8	0%	100%		100%	100%		16	Auto Bid																	0
18 - 10	18 - 10	0%	100%		50%	50%		16	Negligible																	0		0
17 - 11	17 - 11	0%	100%		80%	80%		16	Negligible																	0		0
16 - 13	16 - 13	0%	100%		54%	54%		16	Negligible																	0		0
15 - 13	15 - 13	1%	99%		31%	31%		16	Negligible																	0		1
14 - 14	14 - 14	3%	98%		42%	42%		16	Negligible																	1		2
13 - 15	13 - 15	4%	94%		18%	18%		16	Negligible																	1		3
12 - 16	12 - 16	6%	90%		12%	12%		16	Negligible																	1		6
11 - 17	11 - 17	9%	84%		10%	10%		16	Negligible																	1		8
10 - 18	10 - 18	11%	75%		5%	5%		16	Negligible																	1		11
9 - 19	9 - 19	11%	63%		4%	4%		16	Negligible																	0		11
8 - 19	8 - 19	14%	52%		1%	1%		16	Negligible																	0		14
7 - 20	7 - 20	10%	38%						Negligible																			10
6 - 21	6 - 21	10%	28%						Negligible																			10
5 - 22	5 - 22	9%	18%						Negligible																			9
4 - 22	4 - 22	5%	9%						Negligible																			5
3 - 23	3 - 23	3%	4%						Negligible																			3
2 - 24	2 - 24	1%	1%						Negligible																			1
1 - 25	1 - 25	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
0 - 26	0 - 26	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
Total		100%			6%	6%	0%	16	Negligible																	6		94

At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Avg Conf Record	Wins Chance			At-Large	Opening Bye	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		Average Rating Rank			Average Quad Records
			Indiv.	Cumul.							Predictive	Results	NET	Quad 1	Quad 2	Quad 3	Quad 4
20 - 8	20 - 8	13 - 1	0%	100%					Auto Bid		246	134	193	0 - 3	1 - 3	3 - 2	16 - 0
18 - 10	18 - 10	10 - 4	0%	100%					Negligible		242	185	216	1 - 3	1 - 3	2 - 2	15 - 3
17 - 11	17 - 11	12 - 2	0%	100%					Negligible		272	198	239	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 2	16 - 3
16 - 13	16 - 13	11 - 3	0%	100%					Negligible		270	215	248	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 2	15 - 4
15 - 13	15 - 13	10 - 4	1%	99%					Negligible		286	233	263	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 3	14 - 5
14 - 14	14 - 14	9 - 5	3%	98%					Negligible		297	250	278	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 3	13 - 6
13 - 15	13 - 15	9 - 5	4%	94%					Negligible		309	266	292	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 3	12 - 6
12 - 16	12 - 16	9 - 5	6%	90%					Negligible		316	281	302	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	11 - 7
11 - 17	11 - 17	8 - 6	9%	84%					Negligible		327	296	315	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	10 - 8
10 - 18	10 - 18	8 - 6	11%	75%					Negligible		334	310	325	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	10 - 8
9 - 19	9 - 19	7 - 7	11%	63%					Negligible		341	323	335	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	9 - 9
8 - 19	8 - 19	6 - 8	14%	52%					Negligible		348	336	344	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	8 - 10
7 - 20	7 - 20	5 - 9	10%	38%					Negligible		353	345	350	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	7 - 11
6 - 21	6 - 21	5 - 9	10%	28%					Negligible		357	353	356	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	6 - 11
5 - 22	5 - 22	4 - 10	9%	18%					Negligible		359	358	359	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	5 - 12
4 - 22	4 - 22	3 - 11	5%	9%					Negligible		361	361	362	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	4 - 12
3 - 23	3 - 23	3 - 11	3%	4%					Negligible		363	364	364	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	3 - 13
2 - 24	2 - 24	2 - 12	1%	1%					Negligible		364	365	365	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	2 - 14
1 - 25	1 - 25	1 - 13	0%	0%					Negligible		364	365	365	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	1 - 15
0 - 26	0 - 26	0 - 14	0%	0%					Negligible		365	365	365	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 17
Total		6 - 8	100%			0%		16	Negligible		340	323	334	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 3	8 - 9

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	Wins Chance			Champ	Co-Champions					Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
	Indiv.	Cumul.			0	1	2	3+		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th		Total
14-0
13-1	0%	100%		100%	100%	0%				0									0
12-2	1%	100%		82%	77%	6%				1	0								1
11-3	2%	99%		66%	30%	36%	0%			1	1								2
10-4	6%	97%		31%	12%	13%	6%			2	3	0							6
9-5	9%	92%		10%	1%	4%	3%	1%		1	6	3	0						9
8-6	13%	82%		1%			0%	1%		0	3	8	2	0					13
7-7	17%	69%									0	5	8	3	0				17
6-8	16%	52%										0	5	8	3	0			16
5-9	16%	37%											0	4	9	3	0		16
4-10	11%	21%												0	2	6	2		11
3-11	6%	10%													0	3	4		6
2-12	2%	3%														0	2		2
1-13	1%	1%														0	1		1
0-14	0%	0%															0		0
Total	100%			5%	2%	2%	1%	0%		5	14	16	16	14	14	12	9		100

Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

			Offense																						Defense
			Tot Off		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows				Tot Def		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows
					Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot														Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot
					2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot				2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot
Season Ratings			D-		D-	D	D	F+	41%	57%	34%	C-	F+		C-	D+	D+		D+		C	C+	C		F+		F+	C-	D-	F	37%	15%	47%	D+	F		F	B-	D-		B-		C	C+	C
			0.98		47%	30%	30%	-6				0	0.85		27%	1.0	.26		19%		.30	70%	.21		1.18		63%	38%	36%	+6				+1	1.09		37%	1.0	.36		19%		.30	68%	.21
Nov 2	Georgia	0.85	42%	30%	28%	-9	42%	25%	33%	0	0.78	28%	0.8	.23	21%	.25	67%	.17	1.27	69%	45%	37%	+10	41%	6%	53%	+2	1.21	44%	0.6	.45	16%	.33	71%	.23
			9-21	4-13	5-16							10 rb		8 pt	15 to			11-17		14-20	1-3	10-27							12 rb		13 pt	12 to			17-24
Nov 7	Longwood	0.92	54%	27%	30%	-3	44%	19%	37%	+1	0.92	24%	0.8	.19	20%	.35	66%	.23	1.13	66%	40%	35%	+6	37%	18%	45%	0	1.10	42%	0.5	.39	21%	.33	74%	.24
			11-20	2-9	5-17							7 rb		6 pt	14 to			14-22		11-17	3-8	7-20							11 rb		10 pt	14 to			16-21
Nov 11	VMI	0.99	50%	32%	32%	-3	37%	22%	41%	0	0.91	33%	1.0	.32	19%	.29	65%	.19	1.10	60%	39%	33%	+2	30%	9%	61%	+1	1.03	34%	0.9	.31	18%	.28	71%	.20
			9-17	3-10	6-19							10 rb		10 pt	13 to			12-19		9-14	2-4	9-29							10 rb		9 pt	12 to			13-18
Nov 13	Liberty	0.90	40%	29%	31%	-9	42%	24%	34%	0	0.79	27%	1.2	.31	20%	.23	67%	.16	1.19	69%	17%	40%	+11	46%	1%	53%	+3	1.26	26%	1.5	.24	15%	.26	65%	.17
			8-19	3-11	5-15							9 rb		10 pt	13 to			9-14		15-22	0-1	10-25							7 rb		6 pt	10 to			10-16
Nov 18	G. Mason	0.86	45%	25%	27%	-10	38%	28%	34%	-1	0.76	23%	0.9	.20	18%	.25	66%	.17	1.21	72%	39%	37%	+10	38%	17%	46%	+1	1.17	40%	0.6	.39	18%	.35	71%	.25
			8-18	3-13	4-15							8 rb		7 pt	11 to			10-15		12-16	3-7	7-20							10 rb		10 pt	11 to			16-22
Nov 28	Gardner-Webb	0.99	54%	24%	31%	-4	45%	21%	35%	0	0.90	31%	1.0	.32	18%	.29	67%	.19	1.05	60%	32%	35%	+3	41%	11%	48%	+2	1.07	32%	1.0	.29	21%	.26	68%	.18
			12-22	2-10	5-17							10 rb		10 pt	12 to			13-19		12-20	2-5	8-23							9 rb		8 pt	14 to			11-17
Dec 5	SC Upstate	1.02	50%	31%	34%	-3	48%	23%	30%	0	0.92	29%	1.1	.33	17%	.30	74%	.22	1.01	55%	32%	34%	0	40%	17%	43%	+1	0.99	35%	0.9	.31	20%	.28	64%	.18
			11-23	3-11	5-14							9 rb		10 pt	11 to			14-19		10-18	3-8	7-20							10 rb		9 pt	14 to			12-18
Dec 7	VCU	0.82	41%	29%	24%	-12	47%	25%	28%	0	0.74	25%	0.8	.21	19%	.27	64%	.18	1.24	63%	49%	38%	+8	40%	7%	52%	+2	1.17	40%	0.6	.42	17%	.37	71%	.26
			9-23	3-12	3-13							9 rb		7 pt	13 to			11-17		12-19	2-3	9-25							11 rb		11 pt	11 to			18-25
Dec 11	Drake	0.90	44%	24%	31%	-8	34%	26%	40%	-1	0.80	26%	0.8	.22	17%	.28	63%	.18	1.18	68%	48%	36%	+9	31%	16%	52%	0	1.15	34%	0.7	.35	16%	.30	69%	.21
			7-16	3-13	6-19							9 rb		8 pt	11 to			12-18		10-15	4-8	9-25							10 rb		10 pt	11 to			14-20
Dec 13	Iowa St.	0.76	44%	27%	26%	-11	32%	28%	40%	-1	0.74	22%	0.9	.20	25%	.24	67%	.16	1.29	72%	35%	41%	+13	40%	12%	47%	+1	1.26	45%	0.6	.45	16%	.33	64%	.21
			6-14	3-13	4-18							7 rb		6 pt	17 to			9-14		14-19	2-6	9-22							12 rb		12 pt	11 to			14-22
Dec 15	High Point	0.86	47%	27%	27%	-8	43%	21%	36%	0	0.81	27%	0.9	.26	23%	.30	68%	.20	1.24	68%	34%	36%	+8	41%	8%	52%	+2	1.17	39%	0.7	.40	15%	.34	73%	.25
			9-20	3-10	5-17							9 rb		8 pt	16 to			13-19		14-20	1-4	9-25							11 rb		11 pt	11 to			18-24
Dec 22	S. Carolina	0.86	47%	27%	24%	-10	42%	28%	30%	-1	0.76	24%	0.9	.22	18%	.27	67%	.18	1.21	69%	51%	35%	+9	34%	13%	53%	+1	1.15	37%	0.7	.38	16%	.33	77%	.25
			9-20	4-13	3-14							8 rb		7 pt	12 to			11-17		11-16	3-6	9-25							10 rb		10 pt	10 to			17-22
Jan 2	Norfolk St.	0.95	52%	26%	28%	-6	42%	16%	42%	+1	0.88	28%	1.0	.27	19%	.37	67%	.25	1.08	56%	37%	38%	+4	39%	23%	38%	0	1.04	37%	0.7	.35	20%	.33	65%	.21
			10-19	2-7	5-19							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			16-24		10-18	4-11	7-17							11 rb		10 pt	14 to			14-21
Jan 9	Coppin St.	1.03	52%	27%	35%	-2	40%	19%	41%	0	0.94	31%	1.1	.34	19%	.36	71%	.25	0.99	55%	31%	34%	0	36%	22%	42%	0	0.96	36%	0.8	.32	24%	.32	65%	.21
			10-19	2-9	7-19							10 rb		11 pt	13 to			17-23		9-16	3-10	6-18							10 rb		9 pt	16 to			13-20
Jan 11	Morgan St.	1.05	54%	29%	28%	-4	51%	17%	32%	+1	0.91	32%	1.1	.37	16%	.42	69%	.29	1.03	54%	34%	34%	0	35%	23%	42%	0	0.96	36%	0.9	.29	20%	.34	72%	.24
			13-24	2-8	4-15							10 rb		12 pt	11 to			20-29		9-16	4-11	7-20							11 rb		9 pt	14 to			16-23
Jan 16	Howard	0.91	50%	23%	27%	-8	46%	19%	34%	+1	0.83	28%	1.0	.27	21%	.32	68%	.22	1.15	55%	42%	40%	+5	45%	14%	41%	+1	1.09	43%	0.7	.43	21%	.35	73%	.25
			11-21	2-9	4-16							9 rb		9 pt	14 to			14-21		11-20	3-6	7-18							11 rb		12 pt	14 to			17-23
Jan 23	Delaware St.	0.99	58%	26%	28%	-3	47%	19%	34%	+1	0.92	29%	1.1	.32	19%	.34	69%	.23	1.04	58%	39%	36%	+4	35%	30%	35%	-1	1.02	36%	0.8	.28	21%	.27	71%	.19
			12-21	2-9	4-15							8 rb		9 pt	13 to			14-21		9-16	5-14	6-16							10 rb		8 pt	13 to			12-17
Jan 25	MD E Shore	1.00	51%	27%	31%	-4	42%	20%	38%	0	0.89	30%	1.0	.31	18%	.35	73%	.25	0.98	58%	39%	32%	+2	38%	20%	42%	0	1.01	38%	0.8	.33	25%	.23	68%	.16
			9-18	2-9	5-16							9 rb		9 pt	11 to			15-21		9-16	3-8	6-17							10 rb		8 pt	16 to			9-13
Jan 30	SC St.	1.03	54%	30%	29%	-3	48%	15%	36%	+1	0.93	34%	1.1	.38	19%	.40	70%	.28	1.01	54%	34%	36%	+2	31%	28%	41%	-1	0.97	37%	0.9	.33	23%	.33	63%	.21
			12-21	2-7	5-16							10 rb		11 pt	13 to			19-27		8-14	4-12	7-18							11 rb		10 pt	16 to			13-21
Feb 6	Norfolk St.	1.00	54%	30%	30%	-3	42%	16%	42%	+1	0.92	29%	1.0	.29	19%	.37	69%	.25	1.04	54%	35%	36%	+1	39%	23%	38%	0	0.99	36%	0.8	.33	21%	.33	63%	.21
			10-19	2-7	6-19							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			16-24		9-18	4-10	6-17							11 rb		10 pt	14 to			13-21
				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows
Feb 13	Coppin St.	0.98	49%	24%	33%	-4	40%	19%	41%	0	0.90	30%	1.1	.32	19%	.36	69%	.25	1.03	57%	34%	36%	+2	36%	22%	42%	0	1.01	37%	0.8	.34	23%	.32	68%	.21
			9-18	2-8	6-19							9 rb		10 pt	13 to			16-23		9-16	3-10	7-18							10 rb		10 pt	16 to			13-20
Feb 15	Morgan St.	1.01	52%	25%	26%	-7	51%	17%	32%	+1	0.86	31%	1.1	.34	17%	.42	67%	.28	1.07	56%	36%	35%	+2	35%	23%	42%	0	1.00	37%	0.9	.31	19%	.34	74%	.25
			12-24	2-8	4-15							10 rb		11 pt	12 to			19-29		9-17	4-11	7-20							11 rb		9 pt	13 to			17-23
Feb 20	Howard	0.95	52%	27%	29%	-6	46%	19%	34%	+1	0.88	29%	1.0	.30	20%	.32	71%	.23	1.10	53%	37%	38%	+2	45%	14%	41%	+1	1.05	42%	0.7	.41	21%	.35	71%	.25
			11-21	2-9	5-16							9 rb		9 pt	14 to			15-21		11-20	2-6	7-18							12 rb		11 pt	15 to			16-23
Feb 27	Delaware St.	1.04	60%	29%	30%	-1	47%	19%	34%	+1	0.97	30%	1.1	.34	19%	.34	72%	.24	0.99	55%	37%	34%	+1	35%	30%	35%	-1	0.97	34%	0.8	.26	21%	.27	68%	.19
			12-21	3-9	5-15							8 rb		10 pt	12 to			15-21		9-16	5-14	5-15							10 rb		7 pt	14 to			11-17
Mar 1	MD E Shore	1.05	53%	30%	33%	-2	42%	20%	38%	0	0.94	31%	1.1	.34	17%	.35	75%	.26	0.94	56%	36%	31%	-1	38%	20%	42%	0	0.95	36%	0.8	.31	26%	.23	64%	.15
			10-18	3-9	5-17							9 rb		10 pt	11 to			16-21		9-16	3-8	5-17							10 rb		8 pt	16 to			9-13
Mar 4	SC St.	0.98	52%	26%	27%	-6	48%	15%	36%	+1	0.88	33%	1.1	.35	20%	.40	68%	.28	1.05	57%	36%	38%	+4	31%	28%	41%	-1	1.02	38%	0.8	.35	22%	.33	66%	.21
			11-21	2-7	4-16							10 rb		11 pt	14 to			18-26		8-14	5-13	7-18							11 rb		10 pt	15 to			14-21