Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Sectional
2009 - 2010 - 2011


These are rankings of individuals and teams that run in this sectional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Tyler Wynn 12 Goshen 16:19 #54  
2  Daniel Zelaya 12 Concord 16:39 #115  
3  Jordan Scroggs 12 Warsaw 16:39 #117  
4  Jordan Smeltzer 12 Fairfield 16:42 #129  
5  Trevor Moore 12 Northridge 16:44 #133  
RankNameRatingState Rank
1  Northridge 401 #29  
2  Warsaw 447 #34  
3  Goshen 557 #49  



Sectional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 1.3 41 18 73 69.9 28.1 2.0
Warsaw 1.8 49 24 76 29.6 62.7 7.7
Goshen 2.9 66 39 90 0.5 9.2 90.3


RunnerSchoolRatingAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Tyler Wynn Goshen 16:19 1.0 77.1 13.3 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Daniel Zelaya Concord 16:39 3.1 6.8 23.0 19.1 13.6 11.1 9.2 7.4 5.2 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jordan Scroggs Warsaw 16:39 3.2 6.5 22.8 18.4 14.0 11.1 11.1 10.4 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Jordan Smeltzer Fairfield 16:42 4.0 4.5 16.2 16.3 13.3 11.4 12.1 10.5 7.3 6.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Trevor Moore Northridge 16:44 4.5 2.2 9.6 14.0 15.2 16.3 14.1 11.3 8.5 5.9 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0