Mt. Vernon (Fortville)
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #24
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #2
Delta Regional Rank #1
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 17th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 92.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
23  Christian Noble 11 15:57
57  Aaron Rush 11 16:19
263  Jake Russell 12 17:06
Brandt True 11 17:21
Brian Bozymski 11 17:35
Brendan O'Bryhim 11 17:48
Ashton Jordan 11 18:14
Drew Bluethmann 9 18:26
Jimmy McDonald 12 18:28
Ayden Millspaugh 11 18:38
DateRace Rating
08/23 Bloomington North Early Bird 335
08/27 Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up 470
09/06 Manchester Invitational 387
09/13 Blackford Invitational 477
09/16 New Castle Invitational 467
09/23 Hancock County Meet 418
09/27 New Haven Classic (AAA) 374
10/04 Hoosier Heritage Conference 380
10/11 Pendleton Heights Sectional
10/18 Delta Regional 418
10/25 New Haven Semi-State 350
11/01 State Finals 433




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.8% 17.2 431 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.6 7.3 11.0 13.4 14.7 14.4 11.7 7.6 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
Semi-State 100% 3.2 155 0.4 49.1 21.3 10.8 7.0 4.3 3.0 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.2 25 82.9 17.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 24 83.6 16.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 99.9% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.1 97.9% 99.8%
Aaron Rush 94.4% 55.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 22.2% 79.8%
Jake Russell 92.8% 148.5 0.0% 0.1%
Brandt True 92.8% 167.2 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Bozymski 92.8% 184.3 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan O'Bryhim 92.8% 196.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ashton Jordan 92.8% 205.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 100% 5.4 1.0 4.2 7.6 12.9 16.7 17.0 14.1 9.4 6.4 4.0 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Aaron Rush 100% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 5.6 7.2 8.2 8.8 9.0 8.3 7.7 6.8 7.1 5.6 4.7 3.5 2.8 2.3 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Jake Russell 100% 47.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 100% 1.0 97.7 2.3 0.0 100.0%
Aaron Rush 100% 1.6 0.9 77.4 21.7 0.1 100.0%
Jake Russell 100% 3.9 1.5 52.2 22.4 13.8 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christian Noble 1.0 98.0 2.0 0.0
Aaron Rush 1.6 0.7 77.7 21.6 0.1 0.0
Jake Russell 3.9 1.4 52.7 22.6 14.4 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1