Monroe Central
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #145
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #36
Delta Regional Rank #6
Delta Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 32.4%
Advance to Regional 99.9%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Blackford Invitational Centerville Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Meet Mid Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/24 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 979 896 907 1,283 1,026 1,099 1,026 1,029 932 957
Team Adjusted Rating 896 907 965 1,026 1,099 1,026 1,029 932 957
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Blackford Invitational Centerville Invitational South Adams Invitational Randolph County Meet Mid Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
518  Conner Miller 10 17:40 17:06 17:17 17:23 18:23 18:32 17:56 17:37 17:36 17:28 17:24
565  Dalton Winans 10 17:44 17:45 17:20 17:28 17:28 17:52 17:40 17:52 17:54 17:50 17:38 18:08
1,008  Zane Kear 10 18:20 18:23 18:23 18:08 18:13 18:02 18:14 18:24 18:31 18:12 18:58
Josh Wilson 12 19:04 19:02 19:09 19:15 19:17 18:49 19:34 19:11 19:04 18:51 18:45
Riley Moulton 10 19:31 19:08 19:08 19:11 21:42 19:48 19:29 19:50 19:15 19:13
Gavin Sampley 11 20:26 18:33 19:55 20:45 20:37 20:19 20:48 19:55 20:26 20:48 20:16
TJ Thompson 11 20:28 20:13 20:42 21:17 19:48 21:28 20:08 20:41 20:15 20:19
Coen Formanek 10 20:35 20:44 20:32 20:32 20:47 20:32 20:36
Caleb Winans 11 21:36 21:41 21:29 21:32 21:31 21:42 21:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 32.4% 18.4 486 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.9 7.6 10.6 6.7
Regionals 99.9% 6.0 151 0.3 3.4 8.8 19.9 36.0 18.3 9.1 3.5 0.6
Sectionals 100% 2.9 83 4.8 19.6 56.7 16.7 2.2 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Miller 81.4% 99.9 72.5% 79.3%
Dalton Winans 68.5% 105.4 53.4% 63.7%
Zane Kear 32.4% 142.2 0.0% 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Miller 100% 16.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.2 4.3 5.4 7.2 8.7 9.2 8.2 9.0 7.5 7.2 5.8 5.4 3.9 3.1 2.2 100.0% 100.0%
Dalton Winans 100% 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.3 4.3 5.6 7.4 7.9 8.5 8.4 8.0 7.9 7.3 6.6 5.4 4.0 100.0% 100.0%
Zane Kear 100% 33.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conner Miller 5.5 0.2 0.8 1.8 6.7 27.0 24.6 16.6 12.4 7.3 2.2 0.3 0.1
Dalton Winans 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.9 13.4 23.4 21.2 16.9 15.2 5.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
Zane Kear 11.3 0.1 1.0 2.2 12.7 26.6 22.1 15.2 9.6 4.5 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0