All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
County Challenge Invite |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County Meet |
Blackford Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Hoosier Heritage Confoerence |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/24 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/6 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
1,038 | |
1,007 |
1,029 |
980 |
1,053 |
996 |
1,060 |
1,078 |
1,037 |
1,129 |
1,027 |
1,035 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
1,007 |
1,029 |
980 |
1,053 |
996 |
1,060 |
1,078 |
1,037 |
1,129 |
1,027 |
1,035 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
County Challenge Invite |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Rushville Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Delaware County Meet |
Blackford Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Hoosier Heritage Confoerence |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 200 |
Kevin Kratz |
12 |
17:00 |
16:56 |
16:43 |
16:52 |
16:53 |
17:05 |
16:52 |
17:00 |
17:03 |
17:14 |
17:07 |
17:13 |
17:04 |
16:54 |
| 1,069 |
Rob Lorch |
12 |
18:24 |
18:29 |
18:18 |
18:32 |
18:02 |
18:13 |
18:26 |
18:43 |
18:31 |
18:16 |
18:35 |
18:19 |
18:30 |
|
|
Athi Mlungwana |
11 |
19:00 |
|
19:46 |
18:55 |
18:43 |
19:11 |
18:44 |
18:45 |
19:07 |
18:49 |
19:12 |
19:09 |
19:06 |
|
|
Caleb Bonsack |
10 |
19:16 |
19:11 |
19:24 |
19:12 |
19:05 |
19:36 |
19:07 |
19:56 |
19:38 |
19:43 |
19:51 |
19:00 |
18:50 |
|
|
Sean Weiss |
10 |
19:22 |
18:08 |
18:58 |
19:24 |
19:35 |
19:09 |
19:56 |
18:56 |
19:28 |
19:08 |
19:26 |
19:13 |
20:40 |
|
|
Wally Kern |
12 |
19:48 |
19:37 |
19:14 |
19:48 |
19:43 |
20:04 |
19:21 |
|
20:03 |
19:39 |
20:27 |
20:05 |
19:30 |
|
|
Jack Harber |
12 |
19:54 |
19:21 |
20:00 |
20:12 |
20:42 |
19:41 |
20:23 |
|
19:23 |
19:36 |
|
19:57 |
|
|
|
Isaac Smith |
12 |
20:38 |
|
21:11 |
20:26 |
|
20:41 |
|
20:34 |
20:27 |
20:30 |
20:57 |
|
20:42 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
3.4% |
18.9 |
495 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
58.2% |
7.5 |
167 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
7.7 |
16.0 |
18.4 |
10.8 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.1 |
142 |
|
0.1 |
2.3 |
25.1 |
30.7 |
41.8 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kevin Kratz |
7.1% |
116.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.1% |
7.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kevin Kratz |
100% |
44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Rob Lorch |
3.5% |
138.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kevin Kratz |
100% |
4.4 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
4.4 |
36.9 |
19.6 |
13.6 |
8.5 |
5.6 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Rob Lorch |
100% |
35.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kevin Kratz |
3.7 |
|
0.5 |
4.9 |
66.1 |
14.2 |
6.3 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rob Lorch |
23.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
6.9 |
9.5 |
10.8 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
9.7 |
|
