All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Mike Kuharic Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Hobart Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Crown Point Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/19 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/26 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
244 | |
229 |
211 |
250 |
266 |
|
1,079 |
271 |
239 |
340 |
224 |
312 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
229 |
211 |
250 |
266 |
|
244 |
271 |
239 |
270 |
224 |
312 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Mike Kuharic Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Hobart Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Crown Point Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 9 |
Alec Fleming |
12 |
15:45 |
15:34 |
15:35 |
15:24 |
15:34 |
15:44 |
|
|
15:58 |
15:55 |
16:01 |
15:40 |
17:18 |
| 50 |
Caleb Chapman |
12 |
16:19 |
16:01 |
16:05 |
16:18 |
16:14 |
16:03 |
|
|
16:19 |
16:21 |
|
16:28 |
16:35 |
| 53 |
Gabriel Sanchez |
10 |
16:20 |
|
16:19 |
16:30 |
16:49 |
16:33 |
|
|
16:36 |
16:10 |
16:24 |
16:08 |
16:19 |
| 157 |
Dustin Hudak |
11 |
16:51 |
16:32 |
16:56 |
16:31 |
16:45 |
16:55 |
|
|
16:57 |
17:14 |
17:04 |
16:47 |
16:44 |
| 251 |
Fernando Rosas |
12 |
17:06 |
16:59 |
17:06 |
16:56 |
17:01 |
17:27 |
|
|
17:06 |
17:02 |
17:05 |
17:29 |
16:59 |
| 275 |
Nikoles Mulligan |
12 |
17:09 |
17:19 |
17:21 |
17:03 |
17:06 |
17:23 |
|
|
17:23 |
16:55 |
17:22 |
17:21 |
17:01 |
| 285 |
Jacob Durr |
10 |
17:10 |
18:03 |
17:47 |
17:24 |
17:00 |
17:25 |
|
|
17:08 |
17:11 |
|
16:58 |
17:11 |
| 675 |
Alexander Huseman |
11 |
17:53 |
|
17:21 |
18:11 |
17:29 |
|
17:57 |
|
17:50 |
|
18:14 |
|
|
| 1,322 |
Elijah Love |
11 |
18:42 |
|
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
18:31 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,392 |
Michael Mayer |
11 |
18:47 |
18:40 |
|
18:47 |
19:01 |
|
|
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,418 |
Nick Nuccio |
10 |
18:49 |
|
|
18:49 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,443 |
Michael Flannery |
11 |
18:50 |
|
|
18:56 |
19:02 |
|
|
18:51 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,495 |
Adam Edwards |
11 |
18:54 |
18:13 |
18:35 |
18:16 |
19:14 |
|
|
|
18:38 |
|
20:01 |
|
|
| 1,559 |
Julian Childress |
11 |
18:58 |
|
|
19:21 |
19:20 |
|
|
18:43 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
Colin Arndt |
11 |
19:07 |
18:23 |
|
19:19 |
19:25 |
|
|
18:30 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Malachi Freeman |
10 |
19:15 |
|
|
19:16 |
19:24 |
|
|
18:59 |
19:21 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
7.6 |
256 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
4.2 |
7.9 |
13.8 |
13.4 |
13.1 |
12.1 |
9.4 |
7.5 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.9 |
93 |
37.6 |
45.7 |
12.1 |
3.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
35 |
87.6 |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
28 |
86.4 |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alec Fleming |
100% |
9.6 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Chapman |
100% |
49.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
91.8% |
| Gabriel Sanchez |
100% |
51.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
89.2% |
| Dustin Hudak |
100% |
120.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.5% |
| Fernando Rosas |
100% |
148.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Nikoles Mulligan |
100% |
153.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Jacob Durr |
100% |
156.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alec Fleming |
100% |
1.3 |
42.0 |
30.4 |
15.2 |
7.3 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Chapman |
100% |
10.5 |
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
6.4 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez |
100% |
10.6 |
|
0.1 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
6.5 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Dustin Hudak |
100% |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Fernando Rosas |
100% |
50.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Nikoles Mulligan |
100% |
54.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Durr |
100% |
56.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alec Fleming |
100% |
1.0 |
97.2 |
2.4 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Chapman |
100% |
3.4 |
|
22.0 |
21.4 |
16.6 |
13.9 |
10.2 |
6.8 |
4.6 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez |
100% |
3.6 |
|
18.5 |
21.3 |
16.1 |
13.5 |
11.7 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Dustin Hudak |
100% |
10.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
5.4 |
8.2 |
14.7 |
23.7 |
21.4 |
9.5 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Fernando Rosas |
100% |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.9 |
8.6 |
15.2 |
14.6 |
12.6 |
10.6 |
8.2 |
6.6 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Nikoles Mulligan |
100% |
15.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.4 |
6.4 |
10.6 |
14.3 |
12.0 |
11.0 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
3.9 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Durr |
100% |
15.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.9 |
8.4 |
11.1 |
14.3 |
11.5 |
9.8 |
9.0 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alec Fleming |
1.0 |
97.0 |
2.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caleb Chapman |
3.2 |
|
23.0 |
24.0 |
20.3 |
16.6 |
10.8 |
4.7 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gabriel Sanchez |
3.2 |
|
20.8 |
24.4 |
19.8 |
15.9 |
12.7 |
5.7 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dustin Hudak |
8.0 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
1.6 |
4.4 |
12.1 |
32.5 |
31.6 |
10.0 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Fernando Rosas |
10.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.7 |
10.7 |
20.4 |
21.1 |
13.0 |
11.3 |
8.4 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nikoles Mulligan |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.5 |
2.2 |
7.2 |
15.9 |
16.7 |
16.9 |
15.8 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
5.2 |
2.9 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Durr |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
4.3 |
12.6 |
16.9 |
19.5 |
12.2 |
10.9 |
8.9 |
7.4 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
