Muncie Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #110
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #30
Delta Regional Rank #5
Delta Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Cheesman Memorial Invitational County Challenge Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 846 900 891 977 901 933 851 1,106 912 862 844 783 885
Team Adjusted Rating 900 891 977 901 866 851 1,004 912 862 844 783 885
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Cheesman Memorial Invitational County Challenge Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Invitational New Haven Classic North Central Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
457  Kavan Byrd 11 17:31 17:26 17:22 17:44 17:43 17:36 17:42 18:14 17:34 17:31 17:44 17:37 17:13 17:44
653  Isaiah Bennett 10 17:51 18:02 17:54 18:42 18:24 18:12 17:45 18:01 18:55 18:10 17:45 17:41 17:38
662  Braedyn Stovall 12 17:52 17:32 18:10 17:45 17:50 17:48 17:41 18:27 17:42 17:29 18:04 17:49 17:58
1,253  Matthew Thomma 12 18:36 20:03 19:21 18:51 20:37 20:03 19:26 19:32 20:05 18:50 19:11 18:29 18:56 18:23
1,413  Robert Thomma 10 18:48 19:12 20:09 18:59 19:00 18:46 18:37 18:57 18:30 18:36 18:43 18:30 19:25
1,477  A.J. Martinez 10 18:53 19:47 19:06 19:16 19:19 18:46 18:31 18:19 19:06 18:51 18:44 18:37 19:39
Quinten Charles 11 19:05 19:02 19:10
Jaren Childers 10 19:18 18:44 19:27 19:02 19:19 18:42 18:44 19:47 19:17 19:02 20:12 19:19 20:41
Steven Prybylla 12 19:43 20:17 19:34 19:51 19:52 19:09 19:46
Matt Lloyd 11 21:05 21:16 20:35 21:15 20:56 21:46 20:34 21:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 18.7 482 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.3 9.4 31.0 28.9 27.6
Regionals 100% 4.8 137 1.3 11.8 33.4 24.5 17.6 7.9 3.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.2 71 24.6 33.5 35.4 6.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kavan Byrd 100% 95.8 94.1%
Isaiah Bennett 100% 122.8 47.7%
Braedyn Stovall 100% 123.6 48.4%
Matthew Thomma 100% 161.7 0.1%
Robert Thomma 100% 166.7 0.1%
A.J. Martinez 100% 168.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kavan Byrd 100% 15.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.4 10.3 9.7 10.7 10.7 10.1 8.4 8.1 6.2 4.5 3.1 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.1 100.0%
Isaiah Bennett 100% 24.6 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.9 4.4 5.6 5.9 6.3 6.4 5.7 6.7 100.0%
Braedyn Stovall 100% 24.5 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.1 3.0 3.4 3.9 5.8 6.9 6.4 5.7 7.4 5.8 100.0%
Matthew Thomma 100% 48.3 99.7%
Robert Thomma 100% 56.5 97.1%
A.J. Martinez 100% 60.1 95.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kavan Byrd 5.2 0.7 4.9 39.8 24.3 14.0 8.2 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
Isaiah Bennett 9.6 0.6 5.7 8.7 12.7 13.3 15.9 14.3 11.3 9.7 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Braedyn Stovall 9.8 0.2 0.4 4.3 8.2 11.0 14.2 15.4 15.3 13.0 9.6 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
Matthew Thomma 19.3 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.7 6.4 9.6 12.6 11.6 11.9 9.7 7.4 6.3 4.5 3.6
Robert Thomma 24.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.3 3.2 4.8 6.4 7.2 7.5 8.1 7.5 7.9
A.J. Martinez 26.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.7 3.6 4.1 5.1 7.6 7.3 7.8