Shelbyville
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #122
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #37
Shelbyville Regional Rank #9
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 895 962 935 890 1,105 1,111 863 1,088
Team Adjusted Rating 887 935 890 982 876 863 1,028
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Whiteland Invitational Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Franklin Community Sectional Shelbyville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
391  Matt Baker 10 17:24 17:58 17:41 17:31 17:46 17:16 17:20 17:39 17:20 17:10 17:20
719  Alexis De Jesus 12 17:57 18:08 18:09 18:15 18:12 18:20 17:44 17:54 18:04 17:39
889  Collin Scott 12 18:10 17:51 17:35 17:57 17:35 19:02 17:56 20:03
1,108  Joe Lux 10 18:26 18:55 18:24 18:29 18:12 18:24
Braden McLane 12 19:18 20:12 19:22 19:29 19:16 19:10
Taige Mummert 9 19:25 19:18 19:08 19:35 19:34
Shunsuke Kurokawa 11 19:43 19:51 19:23 19:41 19:40 19:51 19:50
Michael Lay 10 20:10 20:10 20:07 20:03 20:45 20:00 20:14
Nick Duffy 11 20:18 20:30 20:11 19:52 23:03 20:04
Ryan Larner 9 20:37 20:19 21:08 21:03 20:08
Hans Serratos-Salazar 11 20:49 20:47 21:00 20:44
Ethan Long 11 21:39 21:55 21:53 21:58 21:23 21:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.8 187 0.1 2.4 13.4 81.3 2.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 84.2% 98.0 84.2% 84.2%
Alexis De Jesus 2.0% 126.8 2.0% 2.0%
Collin Scott 0.0% 132.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 100% 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.4 3.1 5.3 6.5 6.8 7.4 9.2 7.3 6.5 6.3 5.1 4.5 4.5 100.0% 100.0%
Alexis De Jesus 98.0% 41.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 98.0% 98.0%
Collin Scott 82.8% 49.4 0.1 0.1 82.8% 82.8%
Joe Lux 26.8% 55.2 26.8% 26.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Baker 15.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.3 5.5 8.4 9.7 11.8 10.6 7.8 8.6 6.2 5.4 4.3 3.8 2.6 2.5 1.7
Alexis De Jesus 32.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.1 2.0 1.9 2.7
Collin Scott 38.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.3
Joe Lux 43.1