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State Rank #128
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #38
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #12
Riley Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/25 8/30 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 965 1,004 1,164 934 977 1,001 1,069 1,130 1,005 1,066 1,009
Team Adjusted Rating 998 945 934 977 923 976 960 929 981 931
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
359  William Neubauer 10 17:23 18:40 17:45 17:09 17:30 17:11 17:16 17:22 17:23 17:22 17:26 17:21 17:29
723  Sami Mirza 11 18:01 17:50 17:58 18:06 17:55
1,331  Cristopher McCarthy 12 18:46 18:50 18:48 18:29 18:49 18:50 18:38 19:31 18:32
1,502  Amar Beganovic 12 18:58 19:37 19:05 18:56 19:01 19:35 18:59 18:57 18:49 18:51 19:00 18:55
Alexander Macharaschwili 10 19:01 18:59 19:14 18:59 19:11 19:06 18:49 19:00 19:00
Kieran O'Brien 12 19:01 18:30 18:58 18:22 19:57 18:33 19:59 18:58 19:04 18:54
Ngor Agwick 10 19:10 19:42 19:15 19:24 19:31 19:05 19:06 19:02 18:54 19:12
Brendan Quinn 11 19:22 20:45 19:44 19:35 19:26 19:28 19:20 19:11 19:23 19:32 19:05
Jackson Rancourt 10 19:36 19:53 19:43 19:28 19:43 19:09 19:29 19:31 19:58
George Ruscio-Atkinson 11 20:05 20:31 20:40 19:44 20:24 20:21 19:58 19:55 19:52
Colby Szymczak 11 20:33 19:37 20:18 19:51 20:29 20:32 21:29 20:51 20:23
Keion Taylor 12 20:42 20:33 19:51 20:54 20:30 20:47 21:11 20:44 20:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 5.6 141 0.0 0.8 37.0 62.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
William Neubauer 76.1% 97.4 76.1% 76.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
William Neubauer 100% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.1 3.0 3.3 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.6 5.5 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.0 100.0% 100.0%
Cristopher McCarthy 100% 69.4 100.0% 100.0%
Amar Beganovic 100% 76.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
William Neubauer 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 5.0 7.3 10.2 10.3 11.4 12.6 12.1 10.5 7.1 3.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Cristopher McCarthy 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 4.0 6.7 7.2
Amar Beganovic 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4