All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Franklin Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
New Haven Classic |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
249 | |
298 |
248 |
271 |
243 |
275 |
257 |
228 |
221 |
252 |
291 |
267 |
291 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
298 |
248 |
271 |
243 |
275 |
257 |
228 |
221 |
252 |
251 |
267 |
291 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Franklin Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
New Haven Classic |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 24 |
Jack Gillard |
12 |
16:09 |
15:57 |
16:16 |
16:00 |
16:15 |
15:44 |
16:52 |
16:05 |
15:55 |
15:49 |
16:11 |
|
16:23 |
16:28 |
| 65 |
Josh Miller |
12 |
16:27 |
16:45 |
16:24 |
16:16 |
16:15 |
16:27 |
16:10 |
16:46 |
16:35 |
16:24 |
16:21 |
16:30 |
16:26 |
16:45 |
| 68 |
Neal Alderson |
11 |
16:28 |
16:22 |
16:30 |
16:29 |
17:35 |
16:37 |
16:18 |
16:29 |
16:21 |
16:26 |
16:46 |
16:36 |
16:40 |
16:21 |
| 110 |
Neil Egyhazi |
12 |
16:39 |
17:31 |
17:13 |
16:51 |
16:46 |
16:40 |
16:38 |
16:34 |
16:41 |
16:41 |
16:40 |
16:37 |
16:34 |
16:40 |
| 175 |
John Asplund |
11 |
16:54 |
17:26 |
17:16 |
17:18 |
16:56 |
16:55 |
17:03 |
16:51 |
16:45 |
16:44 |
16:47 |
16:48 |
17:05 |
17:03 |
| 187 |
Nicholas Borders |
12 |
16:56 |
17:25 |
17:37 |
17:00 |
17:05 |
17:07 |
17:03 |
16:52 |
16:42 |
16:43 |
16:41 |
16:57 |
16:52 |
17:23 |
| 195 |
Zander West |
10 |
16:58 |
17:17 |
17:11 |
17:08 |
16:57 |
16:56 |
17:10 |
16:56 |
16:52 |
16:50 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
16:56 |
17:14 |
| 337 |
Mason Moore |
12 |
17:18 |
17:02 |
17:02 |
17:07 |
16:45 |
16:55 |
17:44 |
|
18:38 |
17:18 |
|
|
|
|
| 352 |
Sam Plumer |
11 |
17:20 |
17:24 |
17:25 |
17:25 |
17:40 |
17:36 |
17:28 |
17:14 |
17:07 |
17:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 440 |
Reid Hubbard |
10 |
17:29 |
17:00 |
17:32 |
17:40 |
17:35 |
17:45 |
17:20 |
17:55 |
17:23 |
17:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 445 |
Peter Valentino |
12 |
17:30 |
17:23 |
17:29 |
|
17:12 |
17:23 |
17:28 |
17:30 |
17:48 |
17:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 498 |
Zach Cornwell |
12 |
17:35 |
17:29 |
17:10 |
17:06 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
18:12 |
18:53 |
17:41 |
17:26 |
|
|
|
|
| 518 |
Patrick Morris |
11 |
17:37 |
17:55 |
18:16 |
|
17:54 |
17:42 |
17:53 |
17:44 |
17:26 |
17:20 |
|
17:25 |
|
|
| 569 |
Teddy Lashley |
12 |
17:41 |
|
18:07 |
18:04 |
17:48 |
17:31 |
17:38 |
17:51 |
17:38 |
17:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 687 |
Luke Kidd |
11 |
17:53 |
17:29 |
17:46 |
17:33 |
17:53 |
18:06 |
17:55 |
18:00 |
17:37 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 743 |
Jack Gildea |
9 |
17:57 |
|
18:14 |
18:41 |
18:09 |
18:05 |
18:00 |
17:56 |
17:38 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 810 |
Billy Moore |
12 |
18:03 |
17:52 |
|
17:55 |
18:13 |
18:14 |
18:13 |
18:02 |
17:56 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 942 |
Brendan Gillam |
10 |
18:14 |
18:30 |
17:47 |
18:10 |
18:42 |
18:12 |
17:58 |
18:40 |
18:35 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,027 |
Dante Valentino |
10 |
18:20 |
|
18:57 |
18:22 |
18:10 |
18:51 |
18:22 |
18:55 |
18:08 |
17:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,077 |
Matt Arnold |
12 |
18:24 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
19:23 |
19:06 |
18:06 |
18:23 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,242 |
Noah Sauer |
12 |
18:35 |
18:31 |
18:15 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,278 |
Callum Thurston |
12 |
18:38 |
19:31 |
19:47 |
18:57 |
20:02 |
18:15 |
18:39 |
18:28 |
18:44 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hunter Dilts |
12 |
19:05 |
|
19:23 |
19:21 |
18:51 |
19:14 |
19:12 |
19:07 |
|
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Riley Axsiom |
12 |
19:20 |
|
|
19:45 |
19:42 |
19:15 |
19:16 |
19:25 |
|
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jarien Reed |
12 |
19:29 |
|
20:40 |
20:09 |
19:40 |
19:39 |
19:26 |
19:10 |
|
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100.0% |
8.2 |
258 |
1.8 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
9.1 |
8.5 |
7.4 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.8 |
74 |
34.5 |
53.8 |
8.9 |
2.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
36 |
97.2 |
2.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
26 |
97.3 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
28.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
99.9% |
| Josh Miller |
100.0% |
65.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.0% |
92.8% |
| Neal Alderson |
100.0% |
68.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.0% |
91.4% |
| Neil Egyhazi |
100.0% |
93.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
64.7% |
| John Asplund |
100.0% |
128.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
19.3% |
| Nicholas Borders |
100.0% |
131.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
16.1% |
| Zander West |
100.0% |
135.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
12.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
4.0 |
8.9 |
13.1 |
13.8 |
14.0 |
11.6 |
9.3 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Josh Miller |
100% |
12.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Neal Alderson |
100% |
12.8 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Neil Egyhazi |
100% |
20.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| John Asplund |
100% |
36.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicholas Borders |
100% |
38.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Zander West |
100% |
40.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Gillard |
100% |
2.1 |
16.6 |
30.2 |
26.6 |
17.3 |
7.4 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Josh Miller |
100% |
5.4 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6.2 |
13.5 |
20.5 |
23.5 |
17.1 |
8.4 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Neal Alderson |
100% |
5.6 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
11.7 |
18.6 |
24.0 |
19.0 |
9.9 |
4.8 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Neil Egyhazi |
100% |
8.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
7.0 |
15.0 |
21.4 |
15.1 |
10.8 |
8.2 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| John Asplund |
100% |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.7 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Nicholas Borders |
100% |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
4.3 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
8.6 |
8.9 |
8.1 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Zander West |
100% |
15.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Gillard |
1.8 |
17.6 |
41.1 |
38.2 |
2.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josh Miller |
3.9 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
12.2 |
41.2 |
32.8 |
8.7 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Neal Alderson |
4.1 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
9.2 |
36.0 |
37.8 |
11.4 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Neil Egyhazi |
5.7 |
|
|
0.7 |
4.0 |
12.9 |
48.2 |
17.3 |
8.2 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| John Asplund |
8.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.8 |
15.4 |
17.4 |
16.3 |
14.0 |
11.6 |
9.2 |
6.0 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nicholas Borders |
9.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
2.0 |
12.0 |
15.2 |
16.3 |
14.9 |
12.8 |
9.8 |
7.3 |
4.6 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Zander West |
9.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
7.9 |
12.2 |
15.7 |
15.4 |
14.0 |
11.9 |
8.7 |
5.8 |
3.5 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
