All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Brownsburg Invitational |
First to the Finish |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
233 | |
260 |
284 |
206 |
933 |
197 |
220 |
815 |
272 |
271 |
250 |
240 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
260 |
284 |
206 |
233 |
197 |
220 |
233 |
272 |
271 |
250 |
240 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird (4k) |
Brownsburg Invitational |
First to the Finish |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Nike Valley Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 19 |
Alex Freeman |
12 |
16:03 |
16:18 |
15:41 |
16:03 |
16:04 |
|
15:41 |
16:13 |
|
16:12 |
16:10 |
16:03 |
16:17 |
| 50 |
Trevor Nolan |
11 |
16:22 |
16:39 |
16:28 |
16:40 |
16:18 |
|
16:13 |
16:09 |
|
16:44 |
16:25 |
16:21 |
16:15 |
| 61 |
Jacob Kodrick |
11 |
16:25 |
16:47 |
16:32 |
16:29 |
16:04 |
|
16:24 |
16:22 |
|
16:25 |
16:32 |
16:37 |
16:25 |
| 115 |
Panin Skiles |
12 |
16:41 |
17:41 |
16:45 |
16:52 |
16:35 |
|
16:33 |
16:33 |
|
16:39 |
16:55 |
16:41 |
16:47 |
| 148 |
Kole Kelley |
11 |
16:50 |
16:51 |
17:09 |
17:07 |
16:51 |
|
16:44 |
16:50 |
|
17:00 |
16:57 |
16:55 |
16:43 |
| 531 |
Brett Heckman |
12 |
17:38 |
18:15 |
17:44 |
17:46 |
17:52 |
|
17:33 |
17:47 |
|
17:41 |
17:24 |
17:31 |
17:42 |
| 543 |
Aiden Rademacher |
11 |
17:39 |
18:04 |
17:52 |
17:53 |
17:37 |
|
17:20 |
17:48 |
|
17:35 |
17:39 |
17:31 |
17:52 |
| 767 |
Mael Brouwer |
12 |
17:59 |
18:22 |
18:38 |
18:11 |
18:09 |
17:54 |
17:46 |
18:06 |
17:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 881 |
Josh Hamilton |
12 |
18:08 |
18:38 |
18:56 |
18:22 |
|
18:10 |
17:46 |
18:14 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,031 |
Patrick Voglewede |
10 |
18:21 |
|
18:21 |
18:29 |
|
18:19 |
18:33 |
18:24 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,251 |
Zachary Lien |
9 |
18:36 |
|
18:43 |
18:44 |
|
18:48 |
18:31 |
18:34 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,309 |
Andrew Moodie |
12 |
18:40 |
|
18:25 |
18:27 |
19:25 |
18:55 |
18:36 |
19:02 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,337 |
Caedmon Oliger |
10 |
18:42 |
|
18:44 |
18:45 |
|
18:33 |
18:36 |
18:15 |
20:34 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,577 |
Caeden Ramsey |
9 |
18:58 |
|
19:34 |
18:59 |
|
19:02 |
19:10 |
18:39 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,602 |
Elijah Grant |
9 |
19:00 |
|
19:12 |
18:36 |
|
18:55 |
19:03 |
19:56 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Caedmon Barksdale |
10 |
19:04 |
|
19:23 |
19:11 |
|
18:59 |
19:22 |
18:46 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jalen Larkey |
9 |
19:40 |
|
19:20 |
19:42 |
|
19:35 |
20:18 |
20:08 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
94.7% |
7.2 |
239 |
2.3 |
5.0 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
10.6 |
10.0 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
7.4 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.7 |
130 |
7.9 |
17.4 |
25.5 |
21.0 |
14.0 |
8.9 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.3 |
50 |
76.7 |
21.5 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
29 |
97.8 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Freeman |
99.1% |
21.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
82.1% |
97.3% |
| Trevor Nolan |
94.9% |
52.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.0% |
60.0% |
| Jacob Kodrick |
94.8% |
60.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.5% |
47.9% |
| Panin Skiles |
94.7% |
96.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
8.7% |
| Kole Kelley |
94.7% |
117.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.7% |
| Brett Heckman |
94.7% |
192.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Aiden Rademacher |
94.7% |
192.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Freeman |
100% |
9.3 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Trevor Nolan |
100% |
21.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Kodrick |
100% |
25.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Panin Skiles |
100% |
42.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Kole Kelley |
100% |
53.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
99.8% |
| Brett Heckman |
100% |
127.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.8% |
| Aiden Rademacher |
100% |
128.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Freeman |
100% |
3.5 |
4.8 |
12.4 |
21.2 |
23.6 |
16.8 |
10.4 |
6.1 |
3.0 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Trevor Nolan |
100% |
7.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
7.6 |
11.5 |
14.5 |
15.7 |
14.0 |
12.8 |
8.8 |
5.7 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Kodrick |
100% |
8.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
4.0 |
7.2 |
11.5 |
13.8 |
15.3 |
14.2 |
12.6 |
9.6 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Panin Skiles |
100% |
12.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
9.3 |
13.4 |
17.0 |
13.6 |
10.3 |
7.9 |
5.5 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Kole Kelley |
100% |
15.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
8.0 |
12.3 |
11.6 |
11.2 |
10.3 |
8.8 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Brett Heckman |
100% |
43.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Aiden Rademacher |
100% |
43.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Alex Freeman |
1.7 |
16.9 |
48.6 |
25.7 |
7.9 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Trevor Nolan |
4.1 |
0.2 |
1.8 |
15.0 |
28.3 |
33.7 |
18.1 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Kodrick |
4.7 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
7.1 |
19.0 |
31.4 |
34.3 |
5.8 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Panin Skiles |
6.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
12.2 |
48.8 |
19.8 |
7.8 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Kole Kelley |
8.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
11.6 |
37.5 |
18.6 |
11.1 |
7.7 |
5.1 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Brett Heckman |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
9.0 |
| Aiden Rademacher |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
9.7 |
|
