Churubusco
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #136
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #40
West Noble Regional Rank #13
West Noble Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 72.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 9/7 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19
Team Rating 954 934 1,049 1,084 978 946
Team Adjusted Rating 934 1,007 949 978 946
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
548  Sam Keily 12 17:39 17:04 17:37 17:35 17:30 17:47 17:48
567  Eli Lantz 11 17:41 17:59 18:06 18:08 17:41 17:36 17:24
931  Levi Skinner 11 18:13 18:10 17:49 18:30 18:20 18:11
1,347  Shawn Prater 12 18:42 19:03 18:34 18:41 18:40 18:43 18:57
Dylan Stroder 10 19:45 21:11 19:39 19:54 19:53 19:35
Kyle Brandt 11 20:02 20:41 20:15 20:17 19:52 19:58 20:02
Wyatt Neireiter 9 21:06 21:26 21:28 20:36
Korbyn Reister 12 21:23 20:31 20:40 22:12
Cody Graft 12 21:44 23:16 20:19 21:44 21:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 72.8% 9.6 265 0.0 30.6 42.3
Sectionals 100% 5.0 149 0.0 31.6 41.3 21.4 5.7 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 0.9% 89.5 0.9% 0.9%
Eli Lantz 0.6% 87.3 0.6% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 100% 53.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Eli Lantz 100% 53.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Levi Skinner 100.0% 66.8 99.9% 100.0%
Shawn Prater 82.0% 79.1 33.7% 68.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Keily 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.4 5.5 8.7 13.4 19.1 19.2 13.6 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.2
Eli Lantz 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.7 3.1 5.0 7.6 11.5 18.1 20.0 16.0 9.7 3.7 0.7 0.4
Levi Skinner 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.5 12.4 20.2 13.5
Shawn Prater 35.3 0.0 0.2 0.6