Crawfordsville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #105
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #33
Ben Davis Regional Rank #10
South Putnam Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Keith Puckett Invitational Fountain Central Grand Prix Harrison (WL) Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Greencastle Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 827 818 935 741 818 877 908 793 775
Team Adjusted Rating 812 730 741 818 877 908 790 775
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Keith Puckett Invitational Fountain Central Grand Prix Harrison (WL) Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Greencastle Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
372  Drake Hayes 12 17:21 17:06 17:25 16:54 17:05 17:28 18:57 17:18 17:29 17:03 17:33
470  Hunter Hutchison 11 17:32 17:28 17:33 17:32 17:23 17:51 17:35 18:06 17:16 17:27
499  Eli Widmer 12 17:35 16:57 17:31 17:36 17:28 17:53 17:41 17:31 17:38
1,564  Nathanial Million 10 18:58 18:59 20:09 18:48 18:49 17:34 19:55
1,568  Devin Burris 12 18:58 19:03 18:39 18:53 19:07 19:24 19:21 18:43 18:44
1,593  Cole Watt 12 18:59 18:24 18:47 18:30 18:28 18:42 19:03 18:59 19:36 19:49
Arthur Ruano 10 19:13 18:42 19:44 19:40 19:21 19:32 19:00 18:54
Luke Stewart 12 19:15 19:45 21:05 19:18 19:07 19:18 19:27 19:07 19:00
Roman Contreras 9 20:14 20:10 20:17 20:19 20:21 20:34 19:55
Sam Decker 11 20:37 20:26 20:51 21:25 20:36 20:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 99.7% 9.2 232 0.1 0.4 7.5 68.1 23.7
Sectionals 100% 4.4 147 56.9 42.8 0.3 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drake Hayes 71.8% 95.5 71.8% 71.8%
Hunter Hutchison 27.5% 107.2 27.5% 27.5%
Eli Widmer 17.9% 110.4 17.9% 17.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drake Hayes 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.6 3.6 100.0% 100.0%
Hunter Hutchison 100% 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 100.0% 100.0%
Eli Widmer 100% 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Nathanial Million 99.7% 83.6 0.0% 9.3%
Devin Burris 99.7% 83.7 0.0% 9.3%
Cole Watt 99.7% 84.2 0.0% 7.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Drake Hayes 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.7 4.1 5.4 6.9 8.9 10.0 11.3 11.2 10.4 8.0 6.4 4.0 3.2 2.0 1.4 0.9
Hunter Hutchison 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.3 4.9 6.2 8.7 9.8 9.9 10.2 9.3 8.3 6.9 5.7
Eli Widmer 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.2 6.3 8.1 9.4 9.7 9.9 9.4 8.6 7.7
Nathanial Million 45.5
Devin Burris 45.5
Cole Watt 46.0