All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Warsaw Tiger Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
Hebron Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/27 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
263 | |
442 |
316 |
257 |
284 |
317 |
327 |
262 |
295 |
290 |
522 |
444 |
306 |
250 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
294 |
316 |
257 |
284 |
317 |
294 |
262 |
274 |
290 |
345 |
314 |
306 |
250 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Warsaw Tiger Invitational |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
Hebron Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 12 |
Geno Christofanelli |
12 |
15:52 |
15:37 |
|
15:50 |
15:55 |
15:41 |
15:53 |
15:54 |
15:45 |
16:03 |
15:58 |
16:26 |
|
15:49 |
15:48 |
| 67 |
Quinton Bock |
11 |
16:28 |
16:00 |
16:20 |
16:23 |
16:17 |
16:14 |
16:24 |
16:39 |
16:47 |
16:30 |
16:22 |
|
16:38 |
16:24 |
16:36 |
| 94 |
Cole Simmons |
11 |
16:35 |
|
17:11 |
17:28 |
16:55 |
17:21 |
17:10 |
16:48 |
16:39 |
16:38 |
16:42 |
17:02 |
16:50 |
16:39 |
16:28 |
| 155 |
Martin Marquez |
12 |
16:51 |
17:11 |
|
16:47 |
16:35 |
16:53 |
16:55 |
|
16:41 |
|
17:05 |
17:12 |
17:19 |
17:14 |
16:44 |
| 212 |
Anthony Saberniak |
11 |
17:00 |
16:55 |
17:00 |
17:02 |
16:58 |
16:45 |
17:11 |
17:05 |
16:51 |
16:57 |
17:05 |
|
|
17:12 |
16:55 |
| 413 |
Cameron Zimmerman |
10 |
17:27 |
17:34 |
17:21 |
17:39 |
17:13 |
17:30 |
|
17:18 |
18:08 |
17:09 |
17:21 |
17:22 |
17:30 |
17:35 |
17:39 |
| 454 |
Matt Bates |
11 |
17:31 |
17:40 |
18:17 |
18:00 |
17:48 |
17:45 |
17:36 |
17:47 |
17:30 |
17:33 |
17:27 |
|
17:13 |
17:22 |
|
| 681 |
Logan Clark |
12 |
17:52 |
18:05 |
18:42 |
17:41 |
17:05 |
17:45 |
17:45 |
17:29 |
17:33 |
17:45 |
18:16 |
|
18:09 |
|
18:40 |
| 755 |
Sebastian Ashbach |
11 |
17:59 |
17:43 |
17:36 |
17:54 |
17:25 |
17:43 |
17:38 |
17:56 |
17:57 |
17:55 |
18:54 |
|
19:05 |
|
|
| 852 |
Nathan Murphy |
9 |
18:07 |
|
|
17:56 |
18:21 |
18:02 |
18:28 |
18:06 |
18:14 |
17:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 859 |
Evan Murphy |
9 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
18:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,043 |
Jt Janda |
12 |
18:22 |
17:34 |
18:22 |
18:31 |
18:16 |
18:15 |
17:54 |
18:34 |
18:24 |
18:24 |
18:31 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
| 1,147 |
Evan Turner |
9 |
18:29 |
|
20:00 |
18:44 |
19:24 |
|
18:25 |
18:00 |
18:47 |
18:26 |
18:04 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
| 1,396 |
Jackson Holok |
11 |
18:46 |
18:19 |
18:16 |
18:43 |
18:41 |
18:39 |
|
18:56 |
19:11 |
19:00 |
18:51 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
| 1,526 |
Rylan Bovelle |
11 |
18:56 |
18:02 |
19:04 |
|
|
18:58 |
|
19:00 |
18:56 |
18:38 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jonathan Stephens |
12 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
19:21 |
19:06 |
|
|
18:58 |
18:56 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jace Churchill |
10 |
19:11 |
|
18:57 |
19:37 |
18:18 |
20:23 |
|
19:19 |
19:03 |
19:17 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
Noah Thomas |
11 |
19:38 |
19:23 |
19:18 |
19:59 |
19:20 |
18:58 |
|
21:22 |
|
20:03 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
10.7 |
300 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
9.3 |
8.6 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
4.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.0 |
81 |
45.3 |
28.0 |
14.9 |
8.5 |
2.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
34 |
99.5 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
26 |
100.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Geno Christofanelli |
100% |
11.9 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Quinton Bock |
99.9% |
67.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
50.0% |
97.8% |
| Cole Simmons |
99.9% |
84.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0% |
91.2% |
| Martin Marquez |
99.9% |
121.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
50.4% |
| Anthony Saberniak |
99.9% |
140.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
24.0% |
| Cameron Zimmerman |
99.9% |
183.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Matt Bates |
99.9% |
187.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Geno Christofanelli |
100% |
3.0 |
3.6 |
12.2 |
35.3 |
40.2 |
7.1 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Quinton Bock |
100% |
8.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
10.0 |
14.2 |
12.8 |
10.7 |
9.7 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Cole Simmons |
100% |
11.8 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.8 |
4.9 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Martin Marquez |
100% |
26.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Anthony Saberniak |
100% |
37.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Zimmerman |
100% |
75.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
98.3% |
| Matt Bates |
100% |
82.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
95.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Geno Christofanelli |
100% |
2.4 |
3.9 |
15.1 |
80.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Quinton Bock |
100% |
3.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
62.3 |
22.2 |
8.4 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Cole Simmons |
100% |
4.9 |
|
|
|
14.8 |
40.9 |
19.0 |
10.8 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Martin Marquez |
100% |
8.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.8 |
11.9 |
13.1 |
13.2 |
12.7 |
11.4 |
9.4 |
7.5 |
6.0 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Anthony Saberniak |
100% |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.9 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
9.4 |
10.8 |
11.3 |
9.5 |
8.6 |
7.9 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Zimmerman |
100% |
21.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
6.5 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
9.6 |
7.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Matt Bates |
100% |
23.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
5.6 |
7.4 |
8.8 |
10.5 |
10.9 |
9.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Geno Christofanelli |
1.5 |
8.8 |
91.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Quinton Bock |
2.8 |
|
0.0 |
65.8 |
23.0 |
7.5 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cole Simmons |
3.7 |
|
|
16.3 |
46.9 |
19.9 |
10.5 |
4.2 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Martin Marquez |
6.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.3 |
17.4 |
19.9 |
20.3 |
18.1 |
11.0 |
7.3 |
3.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anthony Saberniak |
8.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
3.1 |
8.2 |
13.0 |
17.5 |
21.8 |
14.6 |
17.2 |
3.5 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cameron Zimmerman |
12.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
6.5 |
24.9 |
24.0 |
18.0 |
10.0 |
5.1 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Matt Bates |
13.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
3.0 |
12.7 |
21.7 |
21.1 |
16.8 |
9.4 |
5.8 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
