Danville
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #112
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #34
Ben Davis Regional Rank #11
South Putnam Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 98.2%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 861 799 813 826 1,017 972 834 940
Team Adjusted Rating 799 813 826 846 972 834 940
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
353  Alec Means 10 17:20 16:59 16:47 17:00 17:26 18:25 17:22 17:03 17:33
843  Garrett Deskovick 12 18:06 17:54 18:15 17:44 17:47 18:15 18:09 18:32
946  Jake Roof 10 18:14 18:03 17:43 18:26 18:10 18:09 18:31 18:03 18:42
1,126  Wyatt Dorsey 11 18:27 17:56 18:42 18:30 18:30 18:31 18:32 18:15 18:24
1,349  Joe Oliver 12 18:43 18:18 18:33 18:30 18:39 18:45 19:27
1,408  Lucas Steward 9 18:47 18:58 18:34 18:35 18:56 18:35 18:54 19:09
1,438  Josh Cruz 12 18:50 17:42 19:10 18:47 18:54 18:32 18:34 19:20
Kyle Cook 12 19:04 18:46 18:59 19:28 19:38 18:31 18:40 20:16
Joseph Countryman 9 19:11 19:26 18:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 98.2% 9.7 249 0.8 23.7 73.8
Sectionals 100% 4.6 152 43.0 55.2 1.5 0.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 73.0% 93.1 73.0% 73.0%
Garrett Deskovick 0.0% 135.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.3 100.0% 100.0%
Garrett Deskovick 99.9% 60.0 96.0% 99.7%
Jake Roof 99.6% 65.0 76.3% 98.0%
Wyatt Dorsey 98.6% 71.7 22.6% 84.1%
Joe Oliver 98.3% 78.1 1.1% 42.8%
Lucas Steward 98.2% 79.8 0.6% 29.6%
Josh Cruz 98.2% 80.7 0.0% 23.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 3.2 5.0 6.4 7.7 8.4 10.1 10.5 10.6 8.8 7.4 5.4 4.6 3.6 2.2 1.6 1.0
Garrett Deskovick 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4
Jake Roof 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4
Wyatt Dorsey 34.1 0.0
Joe Oliver 39.4
Lucas Steward 41.4
Josh Cruz 42.5