Fishers
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #6
New Haven Semi-State Rank: #2
Delta Regional Rank #1
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 3.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 44.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 83.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County THSB State Preview First to the Finish RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 230 215 213 216 207 700 216 232 266 332 249 260
Team Adjusted Rating 215 213 216 207 230 216 232 266 332 249 260
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County THSB State Preview First to the Finish RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
26  Will Clark 11 16:09 15:44 16:13 16:20 16:15 16:01 16:13 16:20 16:17 16:42 16:12 16:02
42  Jaylen Castillo 11 16:18 17:13 16:15 16:12 16:22 16:01 16:14 16:11 16:50 16:46 16:12 16:20
54  Drew Smith 12 16:23 16:04 16:19 16:24 16:15 17:14 16:59 16:39 16:19 16:35 16:12 16:29
92  Matthew Leppert 11 16:35 17:23 16:31 16:12 16:30 16:37 16:15 16:26 16:34 16:37 17:06 17:00
158  Max Mccollum 11 16:51 16:20 16:45 17:12 16:40 16:29 16:33 16:42 16:54 17:32 16:52 17:17
177  Colin Simons 10 16:55 18:05 16:55 16:50 17:08 16:48 16:56
219  Tate Meaux 9 17:02 16:44 16:54 16:43 16:47 17:12 17:14 17:04 17:14 17:28 16:55
306  Alec Foster 10 17:15 17:03 17:01 17:58 17:08 17:39 17:04 16:51 17:14 17:43
336  Jonathon Roth 11 17:18 17:04 16:47 17:14 17:02 18:09 16:48 17:32 17:16 17:45
342  Josh Brown 11 17:19 17:34 17:12 17:18 17:19 17:40 17:11
375  Austin Wilson 9 17:21 17:24 17:08 17:28 17:16 17:30
378  Caden Carpenter 9 17:22 17:06 17:25 17:20 17:27 17:42 17:15
390  Bailey Wilson 11 17:23 17:58 17:38 17:16 17:22 16:59 18:02 17:19
571  Nick Pulos 10 17:42 17:41 18:07 17:30 17:24 17:42 17:56 17:41
586  Logan Arive 9 17:43 17:41 17:31 17:36 17:37 17:55 17:53
598  Matthew Roach 11 17:44 17:44 17:46 17:09 17:37 18:24 17:43
661  Aathreya Murthy 12 17:50 17:36 17:49 16:58 17:32 17:57 18:39
674  Elza Niemeier 9 17:51 18:09 17:52 17:55 18:12 17:51 17:23
782  Ethan Nix 9 18:01 18:51 17:58 18:14 18:02 17:33
783  Peyton Hagedorn 10 18:01 17:46 17:58 17:23 18:16 18:04 18:50 17:47
930  Jacob Maehler 10 18:13 18:13 18:07 18:15 18:00 18:25 18:19
956  Sean Simpson 12 18:15 19:15 18:24 18:27 18:15 18:09 18:17 18:13
1,057  Jacob Pierce 10 18:23 18:37 18:00 18:18 18:22 18:46 18:19
1,111  Griffin Semona 12 18:26 17:47 18:36 18:32 18:26 18:32 18:13 18:30
1,169  Cooper Kane 9 18:30 18:19 18:11 18:42 18:44 18:31 18:29
1,193  Grant Belush 9 18:31 18:09 18:46 18:24 18:39 18:26 18:44
1,235  Tiernan Bass 10 18:35 18:19 19:34 18:35 18:41 18:37 18:22
1,330  Nate Albin 10 18:42 18:19 18:26 18:45 18:51
1,356  Tommy Chesebrough 11 18:43 19:02 18:43 18:54 18:39
1,407  Spencer Anderson 12 18:47 18:46 19:06 18:30 18:28 18:49 19:11
1,411  Mitchell Giesting 10 18:47 19:40 19:08 18:57 18:42 18:37 18:36
1,592  Ben Greiwe 10 18:59 18:19 17:58 18:14 19:20 19:28 19:45
Nathan Jordt 11 19:02 19:00 18:39 19:20 18:54 18:57 19:04 19:21
Jake Schwanke 10 19:15 18:51 19:13 19:26 19:03 18:53 19:24 19:39
Tyler Schiesser 9 19:17 19:21 19:50 19:49 19:16 19:02 19:07
Ali Mohamed 11 19:17 19:24 19:17 19:45 19:11 19:03 19:24
Truman Mohr 10 19:21 18:41 19:37 19:40 19:48 19:25 18:58
Zach Seifert 10 19:43 18:45 20:34 19:21 19:41 20:27 19:41
Jack Douthit 10 19:49 18:46 19:02 20:46 19:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 6.7 230 3.6 7.6 10.8 11.5 11.1 10.2 9.1 7.5 6.7 5.6 4.6 3.5 2.6 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.4 96 10.4 45.7 36.3 6.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 32 92.8 7.2
Sectionals 100% 1.1 28 93.1 6.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Clark 99.9% 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.5 14.3% 95.2%
Jaylen Castillo 99.9% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.2 14.3% 81.9%
Drew Smith 99.9% 57.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.0% 67.9%
Matthew Leppert 99.9% 82.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 31.3%
Max Mccollum 99.9% 121.2 0.0% 3.0%
Colin Simons 99.9% 129.7 0.0% 1.5%
Tate Meaux 99.9% 144.7 0.0% 0.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Clark 100% 8.6 0.3 1.5 4.7 7.5 7.9 8.0 8.0 7.6 7.0 6.2 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.2 3.6 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.2 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 100.0%
Jaylen Castillo 100% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.4 5.4 4.7 4.4 4.6 3.9 4.2 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.5 100.0%
Drew Smith 100% 18.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.7 3.6 4.2 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.6 4.1 3.5 3.5 100.0%
Matthew Leppert 100% 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.5 4.1 100.0%
Max Mccollum 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 100.0%
Colin Simons 100% 48.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Tate Meaux 100% 57.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Clark 100% 2.5 1.8 33.2 28.3 20.3 10.7 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Jaylen Castillo 100% 4.4 0.2 5.3 14.1 21.7 24.6 19.0 10.2 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Drew Smith 100% 5.4 0.0 1.3 5.1 12.0 20.1 25.7 21.6 9.8 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Leppert 100% 7.5 0.2 1.1 3.4 9.2 20.4 31.1 20.8 10.0 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Max Mccollum 100% 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 4.0 13.1 20.2 24.1 17.5 10.6 5.4 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Colin Simons 100% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 7.3 14.2 20.6 21.5 16.0 9.4 5.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tate Meaux 100% 12.8 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.4 9.1 15.4 23.3 19.4 13.7 7.5 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Clark 2.1 2.0 45.9 30.4 15.1 4.9 1.4 0.2 0.0
Jaylen Castillo 3.6 0.2 7.7 24.8 28.5 23.0 11.4 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0
Drew Smith 4.6 0.0 2.1 9.7 21.8 28.4 23.7 10.2 3.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
Matthew Leppert 6.5 0.0 0.6 2.4 9.3 21.8 32.1 20.3 10.0 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
Max Mccollum 9.4 0.1 0.9 4.2 13.9 22.1 24.8 18.4 9.7 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Colin Simons 10.1 0.1 0.4 2.0 7.7 15.2 22.3 23.7 16.6 8.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Tate Meaux 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.4 9.6 18.6 28.7 21.4 10.1 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1