Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #17
Brown County Semi-State Rank: #3
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 6.6%
Advance to State Finals 96.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 337 376 328 347 328 296 383 388 304 388
Team Adjusted Rating 376 328 347 328 289 361 366 304 388
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
86  Hunter Griffin 11 16:33 16:37 16:28 16:31 16:33 16:26 16:15 16:53 16:47 16:21 17:03
134  Luke Heinemann 12 16:48 16:39 17:23 16:44 16:35 16:59 16:45 16:47 17:00 16:45 16:42
163  Weston Naville 10 16:52 16:46 16:46 16:53 16:54 16:36 17:11
165  Eli Johnson 12 16:52 17:56 17:09 16:48 16:58 16:50 16:55 16:57 16:54 16:46 16:49
209  Mitchel Meier 10 16:59 17:10 17:11 17:11 17:11 17:02 16:59 17:00 17:00 16:47 17:03
231  David Heinemann 12 17:03 16:45 17:03 17:19 16:51 17:41
253  Justin McWilliams 11 17:07 17:12 17:33 16:59 17:13 17:02 16:29 17:11 17:13 17:03 17:28
290  Wade Woosley 11 17:13 17:31 17:19 17:25 17:16 17:00 17:10 17:11 17:11
462  Nicholas Gordan 11 17:32 17:46 17:18 17:50 17:33 17:16 17:29 17:44
682  Seth Owings 11 17:52 17:51 17:56 17:44 17:45 17:38 19:10
734  Garrett Gravitt 11 17:56 18:40 18:32 18:02 17:53 17:50 17:54
855  Adam Heitz 10 18:07 17:54 18:00 18:22 18:02 18:08
1,071  Ethan Lawver 12 18:24 18:05 18:31 18:13 18:32 18:34
1,329  Charlie Cook 10 18:42 18:43
Micah Yankey 9 19:16 19:17 18:52 19:45 19:17
Nathan Wheatley 9 19:22 19:03 19:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 96.1% 17.6 416 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.7 4.7 5.4 6.0 7.2 7.2 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.6 7.8 7.3 6.6
Semi-State 100% 4.0 138 1.6 7.3 34.9 25.4 16.5 10.4 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 43 59.4 40.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 97.4% 77.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 34.0% 83.2%
Luke Heinemann 96.1% 111.9 0.3% 37.1%
Eli Johnson 96.1% 122.8 0.3% 23.6%
Mitchel Meier 96.1% 138.3 0.0% 9.3%
David Heinemann 96.1% 147.2 0.0% 5.3%
Justin McWilliams 96.1% 154.8 0.0% 2.3%
Wade Woosley 96.1% 164.7 0.0% 0.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.3 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.5 4.6 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.4 100.0%
Luke Heinemann 100% 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.8 3.6 100.0%
Eli Johnson 100% 33.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.6 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 42.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 47.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 99.9%
Justin McWilliams 100% 53.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.8%
Wade Woosley 100% 60.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 3.2 4.1 19.1 23.7 20.4 12.7 9.0 5.5 3.0 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Luke Heinemann 100% 7.1 0.1 0.7 3.3 7.5 11.1 12.8 12.6 13.7 11.3 9.4 6.2 4.0 2.8 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Eli Johnson 100% 8.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 5.8 8.0 10.8 11.8 13.1 11.4 9.8 8.2 5.5 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.5 4.3 6.0 8.3 9.8 11.0 11.0 10.3 8.8 7.1 5.6 4.4 3.2 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.3 6.5 8.5 10.0 10.7 9.8 9.5 8.6 6.5 5.6 4.4 2.9 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.4 3.6 5.3 6.5 8.6 9.8 10.1 9.9 9.1 8.4 6.5 5.3 4.2 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.8 100.0%
Wade Woosley 100% 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 1.8 3.3 4.9 6.9 8.0 9.3 9.7 9.3 9.8 8.4 7.9 5.9 4.0 3.1 2.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 1.0 48.0 43.8 6.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Luke Heinemann 2.8 1.9 14.5 40.1 23.1 10.9 4.9 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eli Johnson 3.8 0.6 5.7 20.8 29.5 19.2 11.2 6.3 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mitchel Meier 5.5 0.0 0.9 5.1 12.6 21.1 19.2 14.7 10.4 6.7 3.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
David Heinemann 6.6 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.9 12.6 18.3 17.0 14.1 10.7 7.6 5.0 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Justin McWilliams 7.9 0.0 0.5 2.3 6.0 10.8 15.3 16.3 14.4 11.2 8.9 5.9 4.2 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Wade Woosley 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.8 7.6 12.4 15.1 14.3 13.4 12.3 8.4 5.3 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0