All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hare and Hounds Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Columbus North Invitational |
CougarPalooza Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Hancock County |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/28 |
9/7 |
9/11 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/24 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
| Team Rating |
731 | |
740 |
641 |
638 |
791 |
796 |
828 |
843 |
776 |
723 |
|
901 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
730 |
641 |
638 |
712 |
701 |
693 |
751 |
706 |
671 |
|
812 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hare and Hounds Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up |
Columbus North Invitational |
CougarPalooza Invitational |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Hancock County |
Delta Eagle Invitational |
Hoosier Heritage Conf. |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Rushville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 241 |
Conner Kinnaman |
12 |
17:05 |
16:50 |
17:10 |
17:11 |
16:39 |
17:17 |
17:12 |
16:55 |
17:07 |
17:14 |
16:58 |
|
17:12 |
17:19 |
16:59 |
| 439 |
Austin Nigh |
11 |
17:29 |
17:52 |
17:32 |
17:16 |
17:12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 815 |
Matthew Wickham |
10 |
18:04 |
18:00 |
17:54 |
17:38 |
17:46 |
17:53 |
17:51 |
|
18:21 |
18:07 |
17:55 |
|
18:29 |
18:51 |
|
| 932 |
Jonah Fletcher |
11 |
18:13 |
17:45 |
18:29 |
18:01 |
18:32 |
17:55 |
18:03 |
17:56 |
17:59 |
18:22 |
18:01 |
|
18:32 |
19:13 |
|
| 1,040 |
Micah Smith |
12 |
18:22 |
18:58 |
|
18:15 |
18:04 |
18:37 |
18:15 |
18:47 |
18:52 |
17:54 |
18:04 |
|
18:57 |
|
|
| 1,243 |
Tyler Osborn |
11 |
18:36 |
18:55 |
18:14 |
19:09 |
18:17 |
18:28 |
19:38 |
18:52 |
|
18:09 |
18:08 |
|
18:30 |
19:47 |
|
| 1,320 |
Gage Guenin |
11 |
18:41 |
18:43 |
|
17:59 |
18:23 |
|
18:43 |
|
18:39 |
19:28 |
18:42 |
|
18:44 |
|
|
| 1,321 |
Jacob Presser |
10 |
18:41 |
|
18:39 |
18:23 |
18:16 |
19:00 |
19:09 |
18:20 |
19:13 |
19:06 |
18:29 |
|
18:36 |
|
|
| 1,371 |
Lucas Tutrow |
10 |
18:44 |
|
18:54 |
18:58 |
18:59 |
18:24 |
18:40 |
18:28 |
18:32 |
18:35 |
18:54 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
Adam Bright |
10 |
19:24 |
|
|
19:40 |
19:14 |
19:12 |
19:17 |
20:12 |
|
19:25 |
19:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Christian Voigt |
11 |
19:30 |
19:33 |
|
19:37 |
|
19:10 |
19:09 |
|
|
20:46 |
19:26 |
19:37 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
23.3% |
18.8 |
523 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
15.8 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
59.1% |
5.8 |
156 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
21.7 |
23.9 |
9.5 |
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.4 |
144 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.9 |
56.0 |
40.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Conner Kinnaman |
0.0% |
106.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Conner Kinnaman |
100.0% |
74.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
99.9% |
100.0% |
| Matthew Wickham |
24.7% |
145.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.8% |
4.6% |
| Jonah Fletcher |
23.5% |
154.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.8% |
| Micah Smith |
23.3% |
160.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Tyler Osborn |
23.3% |
168.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Gage Guenin |
23.3% |
171.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Jacob Presser |
23.3% |
171.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Conner Kinnaman |
100% |
5.7 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
6.5 |
11.6 |
17.1 |
16.6 |
11.3 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Matthew Wickham |
100% |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Jonah Fletcher |
99.9% |
46.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
| Micah Smith |
98.5% |
51.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
96.3% |
98.1% |
| Tyler Osborn |
81.0% |
57.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.6% |
76.5% |
| Gage Guenin |
69.9% |
59.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26.4% |
60.3% |
| Jacob Presser |
69.3% |
59.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.8% |
59.6% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Conner Kinnaman |
4.9 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
8.0 |
14.6 |
26.8 |
15.3 |
9.3 |
6.7 |
4.6 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Matthew Wickham |
29.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
| Jonah Fletcher |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
| Micah Smith |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Tyler Osborn |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
| Gage Guenin |
41.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Presser |
41.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
